The external context of strategy Flashcards
Political …
…highlights the role of the sate and other political forces.
Economic…
…factors such as exchange rates, business cycles and differential economic growth rates around the world.
Social…
…cultures and demographics.
Technological…
…the internet, nano technology, the rise of new composite materials.
Ecological…
…‘green’ environmental issues, such as pollution, waste and climate change.
Legal…
…legislative and regulatory constraints or changes.
What is a limitation of using a PESTEL framework?
Analysing these factors and their interrelations can produce long and complex lists.
Can overcome PESTEL producing long lists by…
…first identifying the key drivers for change to focus on which PESTEL factors are most important.
Scenario analyses…
…carried out to allow for different possibilities and help prevent managers from closing their minds to alternatives.
Scenario analyses steps:
- Define scope - whether global or regional whilst considering the time span.
- Identify key drivers for change - - use PESTEL to determine which will have the a major impact.
- Identify key uncertainties
- Develop initial scenario themes
- Check for consistency and plausibility
(Shoemaker actually offers 10 steps)
The uses of scenario planning:
- Early warning signal
- Assess robustness of core competencies
- Evaluate risk
- Sets off exploration and contingency planning - so doesn’t matter if the scenarios do not come to pass
The three ways of scenario planning:
- Intuitive - major themes present themselves
- Heuristic - select two most important uncertainties
- Statistically - - combine outcomes for all key uncertainties
Limitations of scenario planning:
- Managers tend to ignore the ‘optimistic’ and ‘pessimistic’ in favour of the ‘middling’ - thus 2 or 4 should be considered to overcome this
- Shoemake found students were over confident
- Students over predicted - K&T refer to this as the “conjunction fallacy” which contradicts the laws of probability
- Tendency to look for confirming evidence
The Five Forces framework helps identify the… . The …. can be used to help set an agenda.
…attractiveness of an industry. … various critical issues that have been identified… .
The Five Forces are…
- Threat of entry
- Threat of substitutes
- Power of buyers
- Power of suppliers
- Intensity of rivalry
(Porter, 2008)