The economic environment for business Flashcards
The principal objectives of macroeconomic policy will be to achieve the
following:
full employment of resources
price stability (low inflation)
economic growth
balance of payments equilibrium
an appropriate distribution of income and wealth.
Macroeconomic policy is
the management of the economy by
government in such a way as to influence the performance and behaviour
of the economy as a whole
The objectives of macroeconomic policy
The full employment of resources applies in particular to the labour
force. The aim is both full and stable employment.
Price stability means little or no inflation putting upward pressure on
prices.
Economic growth is measured by changes in national income from one
year to the next and is important for improving living standards.
The balance of payments relates to the ratio of imports to exports. A
payment surplus would mean the value of exports exceeds that of
imports. A payment deficit would occur where imports exceed exports.
What is considered an appropriate distribution of income and wealth
will depend upon the prevailing political view at the time
Potential for conflict
Both economic theory and the experience of managing the economy
suggest that the simultaneous achievement of all macroeconomic
objectives may be extremely difficult. Two examples of possible conflict
may be cited here.
There may be conflict between full employment and price stability. It is
suggested that inflation and employment are inversely related. The
achievement of full employment may therefore lead to excessive
inflation through an excess level of aggregate demand in the economy.
Rapid economic growth may, in the short-term at least, have damaging
consequences for the balance of payments since rapidly rising incomes
may lead to a rising level of imports.
Government reputation and business confidence will both be damaged
if the government is seen to be pursuing policy targets that are widely
regarded as incompatible.
Policy objectives may conflict and hence governments have to consider
trade-offs between objectives. The identification of targets for policy
should reflect this
Aggregate Demand (AD) is
the total demand for goods and services in
the economy
Exchange rates
Macroeconomic policy may involve changes in exchange rates. This
may have the effect of raising the domestic price of imported goods.
Most businesses use some imported goods in the production process;
hence this leads to a rise in production costs
Taxation
Fiscal policy involves the use of taxation: changes in tax rates or the
structure of taxation will affect businesses, e.g. a change in the
employers’ national insurance contribution (NIC) will have a direct
effect on labour costs for all businesses. Changes in indirect taxes (e.g.
a rise in sales tax or excise duties) will either have to be absorbed or
the business will have to attempt to pass on the tax to its customers
Interest rates
Monetary policy involves changes in interest rates. These changes will
directly affect firms in two ways:
Costs of servicing debts will change, especially for highly-geared
firms.
The viability of investment will be affected since all models of
investment appraisal include the rate of interest as one, if not the
main, variable
Monetary policy is concerned with influencing the overall monetary
conditions in the economy in particular:
the volume of money in circulation – the money supply
the price of money – interest rates.
The choice of targets
A fundamental problem of monetary policy concerns the choice of
variable to operate on. The ultimate objective of monetary policy is to
influence some important variable in the economy – the level of
demand, the rate of inflation, the exchange rate for the currency, etc.
However, monetary policy has to do this by targeting some
intermediate variable which, it is believed, influences, in some
predictable way, the ultimate object of the policy
Monetary policy - The broad choice here is between targeting the stock of money or the
rate of interest:
The volume of money in circulation. The stock of money in the
economy (the ‘money supply’) is believed to have important
effects on the volume of expenditure in the economy. This in turn
may influence the level of output in the economy or the level of
prices.
The price of money. The price of money is the rate of interest. If
governments wish to influence the amount of money held in the
economy or the demand for credit, they may attempt to influence
the level of interest rates
Interest rate smoothing
Interest rate smoothing is the policy of some central banks to move
official interest rates in a sequence of relatively small steps in the same
direction, rather than waiting until making a single larger change
Interest smoothing - This is usually for the following reasons:
economic (e.g. to avoid instability and the need for reversals in
policy) and
political (e.g. higher rates are broken to the electorate gently)
Inflation may be:
demand-pull inflation – excess demand
cost-push inflation – high production costs
The cost of finance.
Any restrictions on the stock of money, or
restrictions on credit, will raise the cost of borrowing, making fewer
investment projects worthwhile and discouraging expansion by
companies. Also, any increase in the level of general interest rates will
increase shareholders’ required rates of return so unless companies
can increase their return, share prices will fall as interest rates rise.
Thus, in times of ‘tight’ money and high interest rates, organisations are
less likely to borrow money and will probably contract rather than
expand operations