Investment appraisal – Discounted cash flow techniques Flashcards
Money received today is worth more than the same sum received in the
future, i.e. it has a time value.
This occurs for three reasons:
potential for earning interest/cost of finance
impact of inflation
effect of risk
Compounding
A sum invested today will earn interest. Compounding calculates the future or
terminal value of a given sum invested today for a number of years.
To compound a sum, the figure is increased by the amount of interest it would
earn over the period.
The NPV represents
the surplus funds (after funding the investment)
earned on the project
the NPV gives the impact of the project on shareholder wealth
Advantages and disadvantages of using NPV
Advantages
Theoretically, the NPV method of investment appraisal is superior to all
others. This is because it:
considers the time value of money
is an absolute measure of return
is based on cash flows, not profits
considers the whole life of the project
should lead to maximisation of shareholder wealth.
Disadvantages
It is difficult to explain to managers
It requires knowledge of the cost of capital
It is relatively complex.
Discounting annuities
An annuity is a constant annual cash flow for a number of years. The PV of the
entire set of annuity cash flows can be determined in a single calculation using
an annuity factor
Discounting perpetuities
A perpetuity is an annual cash flow that occurs forever.
The PV of a perpetuity is found using the formula
PV = Cash flow/ R
The PV of a growing perpetuity is found using the formula
PV = cash flow at T1 × 1/r – g
IRR of a perpetuity =
Annual inflow/
Initial investment ×100
Advantages and disadvantages of IRR
Advantages
The IRR has a number of benefits, e.g. it:
considers the time value of money
is a percentage and therefore easily understood
uses cash flows not profits
considers the whole life of the project
means a firm selecting projects where the IRR exceeds the cost of capital
should increase shareholders’ wealth
Disadvantages
It is not a measure of absolute profitability.
Interpolation only provides an estimate and an accurate estimate requires
the use of a spreadsheet programme.
It is fairly complicated to calculate.
Non-conventional cash flows may give rise to multiple IRRs, which means
the interpolation method can’t be used.
Contains an inherent assumption that cash returned from the project will
be re-invested at the project’s IRR, which may be unrealistic
NPV versus IRR
Both NPV and IRR are investment appraisal techniques that discount cash
flows and are superior to the basic techniques discussed in the previous
chapter. However only NPV can be used to distinguish between two mutually-
exclusive projects. NPV is therefore the better technique for choosing between projects
The advantage of NPV is that
it tells us the absolute increase in
shareholder wealth as a result of accepting the project, at the current cost
of capital. The IRR simply tells us how far the cost of capital could
increase before the project would not be worth accepting