Text Book - Elections and Voting Flashcards
introduction
- In the US electoral system, power is held by both state and federal governments, reflecting the federalist nature of the USA
- The Founding Fathers created an electoral system in which federal elections are fixed and are held frequently, in order to hold politicians to account
- elections take place every 2 years
- first-past-the-post system is used, whereby a majority of votes is required to win
legislature: House of Representatives
- 2 year terms, no limit on number of terms
- 435 representatives, single seat districts
- seats are allocated to each state based on population
- the fixed to year terms of representatives was designed in order to create a chamber which is closely aligned to public opinion
- this ensures that this chamber is closely scrutinised and held to account
- redistricting often occurs to account for population shifts
legislature: Senate
- 6 year terms, no limit on number of terms
- 100 senators, state-wide senate seats
- every state has 2 senators
- staggered elections with one third being elected every 2 years
- the structure of the Senate is designed to uphold the federalist principles, by protection the interests of smaller states
- the staggered elections are used to ensure that the Senate is a more updated and contemplative body, closely aligned with the changing pubic opinion
executive: President and Vice-President
- 4 year term
- 2 term limit
- 2, elected together on the same ticket
- indirect election via 538 electoral college votes
- each state (plus DC) is allocated votes based on population
- FPTP winner of a state takes all the votes (except Maine and Nebraska) with 270 votes required to win
- executive body is designed to embody the national will of the USA, whilst ensuring that the federalist nature of America and the interests of smaller states are upheld
- the president and vice-president are elected together on a single ticket under the Electoral College system
- the president is elected indirectly
- each state is allocated a number of votes in the Electoral College, equivalent to the number of seats it has in Congress
- voters vote for ‘electors’ who will choose the president and VP in the Electoral College on their behalf
- the size of the Electoral College is equal to the total membership of Congress plus the three electors allocated to DC: 538, thus a candidate needs 270 electors to win
- most states (except Maine and Nebraska) apportion all electors on a FPTP winner takes all system, thus Obama was able to win all 29 of Florida’s Electoral College votes despite winning by a margin of only 0.8% of the popular vote
- the federalist nature of the USA is protected by the fact that all state, regardless of size, have at least three Electoral College votes, thus small states like Wyoming and Delaware had three electors each in 2012, meaning they were significantly overrepresented in comparison to more populous states like California, which received 55 electors
Invisible Primary
- the stage that runs up to the first primary in the USA
- period when party candidates position themselves to run for the presidency before the formal series of primaries and caucuses start
- candidates use this period to gin media coverage, to gather endorsements and to secure funding
Invisible Primary: Media coverage
- candidates seek to achieve widespread name recognition
- they seek to gather media airtime and coverage in the printed press
- they will aim to present themselves as credible candidates
- e.g. Romney began positioning himself to run as a conservative candidate in 2012, with speeches at the Lincoln Day dinners, the establishment of his ‘Free and Strong America PAC’, and fundraising activities for SBA List (a pressure group committed to electing anti-abortion women to poetical posts)
Invisible Primary: Endorsements
- candidates will to look to gain support from key individuals within the party
- in 2012, Romney had secured the support of 41 of the 153 unbound super delegates by March 2012, something that the National Journal referred to as his ‘path to victory’
- candidates will also look to gather endorsements from influential groups outside the party who will provide important grassroots support in mobilising a candidate’s campaign
- e.g. 7 months before the first 2012 primary, Michele Bachmann joined almost evert other major Republican presidential candidate in speaking at the Faith and Freedom Conference in Washington
Invisible Primary: Finance
- the most important function of this phase is to build up enough money to fight the long presidential campaign
- former Louisiana governor Buddy Roemer was forced to pull out of the 2012 race in February 2012, having raised only $340,000
- candidates will also look to pursue key pressure groups and political action committees, which will provide them with valuable funding
- they need sufficient funds in order to stay in the race
- Hillary Clinton has so far raised $29 million
Primaries and Caucuses
- the nomination stage is the first official stage of the presidential election process
- they take places usually between January and June of election year
- primary elections: party supporters in each state vote for delegates to go forward to the party convention, which meets to formally select the party’s presidential candidate
- each state is awarded party delegates according to the size of the state population
- candidates who win a state primary or caucus are allocated a certain number, or all, of those state delegates, who are then pledged to vote for that candidate at the national convention, depending on whether states allocate their delegates on a proportional or first-past-the-post basis
- in Florida in 2008 McCain picked up all 57 of the Republican pledged delegates, despite only beating Mitt Romney by 5%, while in the Democratic race delegates were split, with Clinton picking up 52 and Obama 39
open primaries
- any registered voter can participate in either the Republican or the Democratic primary, but not both, regardless of the voter’s party affiliation
- the open primary system is adopted for either party in 17 states, including Georgia
closed primaries
- only voters who have declared an affiliation to a party can participate in that party’s primary
- the close primary is adopted for either party by 27 states, including Delaware and Kentucky
caucuses
- these are a state-based series of meetings between key party members and supporters, in order to select a party’s candidate for the presidency, the most notable of which is the Iowa caucus
Advantages of the nomination process: Democratic
- the system is open to the public and actively encourages a much wider voter participation in the selection of candidates
- the increasing use of primaries was a direct result of the McGovern-Fraser reforms, which followed the victory of Hubert Humphrey, who secured the Democratic nomination in 1968 despite standing in no primaries
Advantages of the nomination process: Electoral preparation
- the primaries are often used as a testing ground for candidates to iron out poetical campaigns, establish a network of grassroots support and gauge the demands of the electorate
- the gruelling nature of the process also narrows the field and eliminates candidates who do not have the poetical stamina to secure the presidency
- in this way Hermain Cain, an early Republican favourite in 2012 with his 9-9-9 tax plan and successes in the initial debates, was forced to suspend his campaign following his inability to deal with various allegations of sexual misconduct
Advantages of the nomination process: Policy debate
- the process allows for rival policies to be discussed and debated, enriching the level of political debate across the country
- the 2008 and 2012 primaries saw a series of debates, which pitted the leading candidates from each party against one another
- e.g. 2008 policy debate largely focussed on the deficit and healthcare
2012 debate focussed on the economy - Obama portrayed Romney as a rich and unscrupulous politician who didn’t care about 47% of the population
Disadvantages of the nomination process: undemocratic
- voter apathy is generated due to the huge number and frequency of US elections, primaries being an extra layer to this - turnout is often below 10% for primaries
- primary electorate is unrepresentative of the US population. Those that vote tend to me older, white, wealthy and more ideologically partisan, as seen by the relative success of libertarian Republican Ron Paul in both 2008 and 2012, McCain in 2008 and Romney in 2012
- furthermore, it has become common for voters to essentially raid the opposition primary, most recently seen by the efforts of Democrat activists in Michigan to push fellow Democrats into voting for Rick Santorum, Romney GOP opponent to lessen his votes, in the 2012 Republican primary
Disadvantages of the nomination process: undermines party control
- parties have less control over the selection process and this can lead to ill-qualified candidates, due to lack of peer-review
- candidates are therefore based on their personal qualities and campaign skills rather than their presidential qualities
- the introduction of super delegates to counter this was proven ineffectual in 2008, when Democrat super delegates were reluctant to support Clinton and go against Obama, who had secured a majority of pledged delegates
- lastly, the primary process is also deeply divisive as it causes ruptures within a party - bitter personal battles and inter-party rivalry has become required in order to secure the nomination. This was seen in the primary contest between Obama and Clinton in 2008
Disadvantages of the nomination process: Front loading
- primaries are being compressed as there is an increasing importance in scheduling them early as it gains candidates a strong foundation in the race
- this causes two things:
1. not enough time is given for debate and reflection as candidates with a poor early showing often drop out. This gives too much attention to the unrepresentative states of Iowa and New Hampshire, as seen by Michele Bachmann’s withdrawal from the Republican race the day after she came sixth in the 2012 Iowa caucus
2. candidates are forced to announce their candidacy early due to the increasing importance in raiding funds during the invisible primary.
Whilst JFK in 1060 announced his candidacy only 66 days before the first primary, Mitt Romney announced his candidacy 308 days before the Iowa caucus
what is Front loading?
- the phenomenon by which states, in order to claim a greater influence on the nomination process, have moved their primaries forward in the election cycle
- this leads to compression of the primary calendar, with many primaries falling into the first 2 months of the process
- in 2008 the Florida Democratic Party front loaded its primary to increase its significance in the process
- the Democratic National Committee punished Florida Democrats by awarding the Florida Delegates only 1/2 vote each at that year’s National Convention
Disadvantages of the nomination process: Financing focus
- the primary process tends to favour those who have the largest amount of funds, which gives too much weight to money and image rather than issues
- it creates a system dominated by those that can secure the most money for candidates, and causes the reality of daily politics in America to be overtaken by the need to raise funds for the next election
- in 2012 Obama raised over $715 million while Gary Johnson, the most successful minor-party candidate, raised just $2.5 million
Electing President: national party convention
- the traditional role of national party convention is to formally select the presidential nominee through a vote of pledged delegates and unplugged super delegates
- now, some argue that because of primaries the conventions now merely confirm rather than select the presidential candidate
national party convention: formal roles
- choosing the presidential candidate: winner must receive an absolute majority of votes from delegates
- choosing the vice-presidential candidate: chosen by the presidential candidate and confirmed by a convention vote
- deciding the party platform: agreement of the policies that the party’s candidate intends to pursue if elected