Term 2 - Theme 2 (2) Flashcards
Hazard - Wisner et al (2004)
Natural events that may affect different places slightly or in combination at different times.
Disaster - Wisner, B et al (2004)
A disaster occurs when a significant number of vulnerable people experience a hazard and suffer sever damage and/or disruption of their livelihood system in such a way that recovering is unlikely without external aid.
Vulnerability
Characteristics of individuals or groups that influence impact and recovery.
Risk equation
Hazard probability x elements at risk x vulnerability
Stages of disaster
Impact, relief, rehab and recovery.
Park’s (1991) disaster response curve
Stage 1 - modifying the case and event, Stage 2 - The hazardous event, Stage 3 - Entering relief stage - Search, rescue and care. Stage 4 - Entering rehab stage - may include outside help. Stage 5 - reconstruction phase - nature of recovery related to: the need to reduce vulnerability and the need to restore asap.
Risk - Smith and Petley (2009)
Risk assessment involves - the identification of hazards likely to result in disasters, the estimation of the likelihood of such events and the evaluation of social consequences of the hazard.
Magnitude-probability relationship - Smith and Petley (2009)
Many natural hazards can be mesured objectively on scientific scales of magnitude or intensity. Unfortunately, such scales tend to measure just one physical factor that influences disaster impact.
Disaster effects on vulnerability
Disaster impact severity reflects the level of vulnerability, vulnerability is not static it varies over time, when the magnitude is plotted against the logarithm of its frequency it usually exhibits a relationship of increasing frequency/decreasing magnitude and vice versa.
Specific characteristics of hazard and its context
Velocity of avalanche flow - nature of snow. One factor scales e.g. maximum sustained wind speed. Local conditions e.g. earthquake on a mountain vs earthquake on a submarine fault.
Annual probability of events for an American (Landon, 1994, book of risk).
Having a car accident - 1 in 12, Being murdered - 1 in 11,000, being killed in aeroplane crash - 1 in 250,000. Being killed by lightning - 1 in 10,000,000.
Garvin, 2001
An individual’s perception of risk is the result of complex interactions between the goal attitudes taken by the community in which the person lives and any personal experience of dealing with the hazard in question..
Social amplification
When factors combine to create an exaggerated fear of a threat. If tends to occur when the threat is new to individuals, when people believe that the true magnitude of the risk is being hidden from them in some way.
Wynne (192) risk perception
Coined the term ‘deficit mode’ to denote how objective scientists are juxtaposed to irrational lay people in many theories of the human response to risk.
Starr (1969) Voluntary and involuntary risks
In the case of the voluntary activities, the individuals uses his own value system to evaluate life experiences. Involuntary activities differ in that the criteria and options are determined not by the individuals affected but by a central body.