Teng and Perkins Flashcards
Premium asset
For retro policies, the premium that insurer expects to collect based on expected ultimate loss experience (less already booked)
Standard premium
Manual premium adjusted for emod
Premium deviation
Amount by which booked premium differs from standard premium
Retro reserve
Difference between premium deviation to date and ultimate premium deviation
Three advantages of retro rated policies
1) Encourage loss control by returning premium
2) Cash flow advantage (pay premium with losses)
3) Shifts a large portion of risk to insured
One advantage of using retro formula to estimate PDLD
Responds to changes in retro rating parameters that are sold
Disadvantage of using retro formula to estimate PDLD
Potential bias exists since approach uses average parameters for LCF, TM, maximum, minimum, and per accident limitation
Two types of data needed to calculate PDLD ratios empirically
Booked premium development
Reported loss development
How to segregate data for empirical PDLD ratios
Homogenous groups by size of account and type of rating plan sold
Organizational differences between premiums and losses
Premiums and losses should be organized into twelve month intervals. Premiums should lag losses by nine months to account for time to process and record adjusted premiums
Why might historical and formula PDLD ratios diverge
Worse than expected loss experience may cause larger portion to be outside the boundaries of retro maximum. In addition, average retro parameters may be changing over time
How negative PDLD ratios can occur
Upward development in layers resulting in no additional premium and downward development in layers within loss limitations
Three reasons why current booked premiums may not equal booked premium for prior retro adjustment
Timing of retro adjustments
Minor premium adjustments
Interim premium booking that occurs between regularly scheduled retro adjustments
Why PDLD method is preferable to using CL method on historical premium triangles when determining premium asset
Lag in processing and recording retro premium makes CL unusable until nine months after policy expiration. PDLD method can create initial estimate of premium asset sooner
How premium responsiveness changes with:
1) Maturity of book
2) Loss ratio
1) Book matures, responsiveness declines
2) Higher loss ratios, responsiveness declines