Brehm Ch. 2 Flashcards
Three evolutionary steps of the decision analysis process
Deterministic project analysis (uncertainty handled judgmentally), risk analysis (MC sim), certainty equivalent (quantifies risk judgment using utility function)
How efficient market theory removes need for certainty equivalent step
Efficient market theory can ignore risk premium
Two counterarguments to efficient market theory removing need for certainty equivalent step
Difficult to differentiate which risks are firm-specific vs. systematic; market-based risk signals often lack refinement needed to mitigate/hedge risk
Corporate risk tolerance
Organization’s size, resources, ability and willingness to tolerate volatility
How an efficient frontier can be used to select an insurance portfolio
Change risk or return on sub-optimal portfolios
Determining Risk-Adjusted Return On Captial (RAROC)
Allocate risk capital to portfolio elements, then multiply allocated risk capital by hurdle rate
How RAROC is used
Calculate economic value added (EVA) by subtracting RAROC from the NPV; want EVA > 0
Assuming risk capital allocated, how cost-benefit analysis can be used
Pursue activities where benefit > costs of implementation
Assuming cost of capital allocated, how cost-benefit analysis can be used
Pursue activities with positive EVA
Four advantages of using economic capital for ERM analysis
Provides unifying measure for all risks; more meaningful to management; forces firm to quantify risks and combine in a probability distribution; provides framework for setting acceptable risk levels
Why 1-in-4000 VaR target capital is used when currently holding 1-in-4256 VaR
Round number and requires slightly less capital