Technology

Question 1

Amara’s Law

Answer 1

Overestimate impact of technology short-term but significantly underestimate the effect in the long run

Question 2

Moore’s Law & Rule of 72

Answer 2

# of transistors in a circuit doubles every 2 years. 
72/growth rate = years to double something

Question 3

Innovator’s Dilemma (Christensen)

Answer 3

Incumbent innovator can have a great idea but will have existing baggage and conflicts (incl cannibalisation) that might stop the disruptive tech from shining (IBM’s compute service of ‘02 vs AWS of ‘06)