Task 3 Flashcards

1
Q

Define statistical inference

A

draws conclusions about a population or process from sample data

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2
Q

Name 2 types of statistical inference

A
  1. confidence intervals

2. tests of significance

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3
Q

What do the statistical inferences report?

A

both report probabilities that state what would happen if we used the inference method many times

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4
Q

When you use stat. inference, you assume the data came from what kind of sample or experiment?

A

random

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5
Q

How do you calculate a confidence interval?

A

C = estimate +or- margin of error

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6
Q

How do you calculate the margin of error?

A

z* x σ/square root of n

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7
Q

Define confidence interval

A

for a parameter is an interval computed from sample data bu a method that has probability C of producing an interval containing the true parameter value

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8
Q

How do you find the area on either side of a confidence interval

A

1-C/2

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9
Q

Name 2 desirable characteristics of a confidence interval

A
  1. high confidence 2. small margin of error
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10
Q

Name 3 ways of reducing the margin of error

A
  1. use a lower confidence level
  2. choose a larger n
  3. reduce standard deviation
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11
Q

What is the formula for the sample size for desired maring of error?

A

(z x σ)/m²

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12
Q

Define significance test

A

a formal procedure for comparing observed data with a hypothesis whose truth we want to address
-> results are expressed in terms of a probability

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13
Q

Differentiate between null and alternative hypothesis

A

Ho: the statement we want to prove wrong
Ha: the statement we want to prove right

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14
Q

Define statistical significance

A

the chosen boundary for the p-value, if the p-value becomes equal to or smaller than this number than this number, we reject the Ho, siginificant

aka alpha and usually = 0.05

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15
Q

Define critical value

A

a value z* with a specified area to its right under the standard normal curve, it is the p-value of exactly 5%

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16
Q

Define power

A

opposite of type 2 error, the probability of correctly rejecting the incorrect Ho

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17
Q

To increase the power (x3)

A
  1. increase alpha (bad solution as type 1 error increases)
  2. increase n (makes estimator more efficient by decreasing standard error)
  3. bigger effect (however we cannot control this)
    I μtrue - μ I
18
Q

Define a type 1 error

A

rejecting Ho when it is true (i.e. accepting Ha)

19
Q

Deine type 2 error

A

accepting Ho when it is not true (i.e. rejecting Ha)

20
Q

What is alpha the probability of?

A

a type 1 error

21
Q

How do you calculate a type 2 error using power?

A

1-p(type 2 error)

22
Q

If your alpha is too high you increase the probability of a type _ error and decrease the probability of a type _ error

A

1, 2

23
Q

What happens to the p-value on 2 sided tests?

A

you halve the p-value

24
Q

If zobs is greater than z* the z-score therefore falls into ______

A

the critical area

25
Q

How do you calculate the ideal sample size?

A

n = (z*σ/m)²

m = margin of error

26
Q

Name one way of reducing the probability of a type 1 error (rejecting a true Ho)

A

reduce significance level a, however, this is bad for the power as it is then more difficult to reject the Ho

27
Q

How do you calculate z*?

A

same as z, just signifies alpha level while not being the p-value of it

28
Q

What mathematically symbol cannot a Ho not have?

A

greater than or less to, must have =

29
Q

Give the z* values for 95%

A

1.96

30
Q

When searching for the z* for a confidence level remember ____

A

you divide the confidence level e.g. 95% -> 5%. Divide by 2 as there are 2 sides, now look for z value

31
Q

The confidence level pertains to

a) the sample distribution
b) the sampling distribution

A

b I mean look at the formula, it contains the SE and sure isn’t the confidence interval supposed to show the chances of a population mean lying within it?

32
Q

How likely are all values in a confidence level?

A

equal

33
Q

Power is not applicable ….

A

in the theoretical situation of a true Ho

34
Q

A z test can only be performed if the distribution of the population is ____

A

normal

35
Q

The p-value assumes that the ____ is true

A

Ho

36
Q

What is the critical sample mean?

A

the sample mean that would lead you to reject the null hypothesis

37
Q

What does SPSS paired samples correlation tell us?

A

how well 1 group predicts the scores of another

38
Q

Why does power increase when df increases?

A

increasing df means increasing sample size therefore our t* decreases

39
Q

With df do we round up or down?

A

be conservative round down!

40
Q

Why are p-values for t-tests in inequalities and z-tests aren’t?

A

This is because its a manual calculation, we cannot find exact df in a table however SPSS can