Supply Topic 4 (Beer Distribution Game) Flashcards
types of costs
- inventory holding costs
- backorder penalty costs
inventory holding costs
- kept and used later when demand comes from customers
-hold it for number of weeks - more inventory = higher inventory holding costs
backorder penalty cost
-double inventory cost
-ones that cant be fulfilled but are requested
-pay the penalty for the unfulfilled orders
-when inventory is fewer than demand
-more inveotry is lower backorder risk
backorder risk
hard to estimate how much is the downstream
make decision on how much to order from upstream
(shipping delay and info delay)
bullwhip effect
elements
- order vs real demand
- inventory/backholders vs real demand
order vs real demand
order we placed and the real demand
order = fluctuates a lot
variation increases as we go upstream to factory/distributor
retailers = costs is lowest (see end customer real demand, no info delay) = control cost
inventory/backorders vs real demand
stages alternate between phases of out of stock and over stock at different moment during the game
variation increases as we go upstream
back order = panic buy = now high inventory holding costs = overstock
what is the bullwhip effect
- customer has a small change in demand = larger changes for different stakeholders along supply chain from downstream to upstream = retailers are influenced
small changes in demand can produce whip like effects upstream
causes of the bullwhip effect
- what led you to order with these high variations
- did you have a specific strategy
9 causes of the bullwhip effect
- no communication or coordination
- anticipation of shortages
- long lead times
- lead time variability
- behaviour causes
- forecast errors
- price fluctuations
- quantity discounting
- order batching
4 consequences of the bullwhip effect
- lower revenues
- higher costs
- quality
- poor service
5 ways to tackle the bullwhip effect
- communicate more
- re-order only what is needed to keep a minimum stock at each stage (avoids peaks)
- project the future sales to plan/order in advance
- reduce the lead times
- reduce the number of tiers
backorders
created when an order cannot be filled immediately after it is placed because it is not currently in stock with the seller
want as few as possible as this creates costs