Study Session 14 - The Term Structure and Interest Rate Dynamics Flashcards
The expected return will be equal to the bond’s yield when…
the bond is held to maturity AND All payment are made on time and in full AND All coupons are reinvested at the original YTM
Forward rates notation
f(j,k)
the annualized interest rate applicable on a k-year loan starting in j years
Forward pricing model page 142
P_(j+k)=P_jF_(j,k)
therefore
F_(j,k)= P_(j+k)/P_j
Forward rate model
[1+S_(j+k)]^(j+k) = (1+S_j)^j * [1+f_(j,j))]^k
Relationship between spot and forward rates
(1+S_T)^T = (1+S_1)[1+f(1,T-1)]^(T-1)
Swap rate curve
Sommation(SFR_T/(1+S_t)^t) + 1/(1+S_T)^T = 1
on isole SFR_T
voir page 149 volume 4
Swap spread
swap rate_t - Treasury yield_t
I-Spread
amount by which the yield on the risky bond exceeds the swap rate for the same maturity.
linear interpolation if no similar maturity
Z-Spread
is the spread that, when added to each spot rate on the default-free spot curve, makes the present value of a bond’s cash flows equal to the bond’s market price
ex: 104,12$= 8$/(1+0.04+Z) + 108$/(1+0.05+Z)^2
we’re looking for Z—> Z=0.008
TED spread
is the amount by which the interest rate on loans between banks (3 months LIBOR) exceeds the interest rate on short-term U.S. government debt (3 months T-Bills)
TED spread is a good indicatir for?
indication of the risk of interbank loans
LIBOR-OIS spread
OIS: overnight indexed swap
is the amount by which the LIBOR rate (which includes credit risk) exceeds the OIS rate (which includes only minimal credit risk)