Study Session 12 - Equity Valuation Flashcards
Which cash flow and rate used for firm valuation
FCFE @ required return on equity
Equity value= Firm value - market value of debt
General FCFF calculation
NI + Noncash charges + Interest * (1-tax rate) - Fixed Capital investment (capex) - Working Capital investment
1) General Fixed Capital Investment calculation
2) If no long-term assets were sold during the year
3) If long-term assets were sold during the year
1) capex - proceed from sales of long-term assets
2) capex = ending gross PP&E - beginning gross PP&E
3) capex - proceeds from sale of long-term assets OR ending net PP&E - beginning net PP&E + depreciation - gain on sale + loss on sale
FCFF calculation starting with CFO
CFO + interes*t(1-tax rate) FCInv
FCFE calculation starting with FCFF
FCFF - interest*(1-tax rate) + net borrowing
Calculating FCFF from EBIT
EBIT*(1-tax rate) + dep - FCInv - WCInc
Calculating FCFF from EBITDA
EBITDA(1-tax rate) + dep tax rate - FCInv - WCInv
Calculating FCFE from CFO
CFO - FCInv + net borrowing
What to do if the stock has preferred shares…
treat them just like debt, except preferred dividend are not tax deductible
Which cash flow and rate used for firm valuation
FCFF @ WACC
FCFE vs Dividend discount model
FCFE takes a control perspective that assumes that recognition of value should be immediate
DDM take a minority perspective, under which value may not be realized until the dividend policy accurately reflects the firm’s long-run profitability
2 methods of forcasting FCFE
1- apply a growth rate
2- using a target debt-to-assets ratio (DR)
FCFE= NI-(1-DR)(FCInv-Dep) - (1-DR)WCInv
Effect of dividend, share repurchases, share issues, and changes in leverage on the future FCFE and FCFF
dividends, share repurchases and issues have no effect on FCFF and FCFE. Changes in leverage have only a minir effect on FCFE and no effect on FCFF
FCFF and FCFE represent cash flow available to investors and shareholders, respectively, before any financing decision
2 method for focasting the terminal value in a multistage valuation model
1) apply a stable growth rate FCF/(r-g)
2) use a valuation multiple like P/E
terminal value= trailing P/E* earning in year n
“””” = leading P/E * forecasted earnings in year n+1
Rationale for using P/E
- earnings power
- popular in the investment community
- empirical research shiws that its differences are significantly related to long-run average stock returns
Shortcomings of P/E ratio
- earnings can be negative
- the volatile, transitory portion
- management discretion within allowed accounting practices
Trailing and leading P/E
Trailing: Market price per shre/EPS past 12 mo
Leading: Market price per share/forecasted EPS over next 12 months
advantages of P/B
- Book value is a cumulative amount that is usually positive, even when loss occur and negative EPS
- more stable than EPS
- approriate value of NAV fir firms that primarily hold liquid assets
- approriate ratio for expected out of business firms
disadvantage of P/B
- do not reflect the value of intangible economic assets
- different accounting convention
- inflation and technological change
P/B ratio
market value of equity/Book value of equity
book value of equity=
common shareholder’s
= total assets - total liabilities - pref. stock
advantage of P/S
- meaningful even for distressed firms. always positive
- not easy to manipulate sales
- not as volatile as P/E
- approriate for stocks in matire or cyclical industries and star-up with no records of earnings
disadvantage of P/S
- high growth in sales does not necessaraily inducate high operating profit
- dies nor capture differences in cost structure
advantage of P/CF
- CF harder to manipulate than earnings
- more stable than P/
- handkes tge provlem of differences ibthe quality of reported earnings, which is a probkem for P/E