Study Session 12 - Equity Valuation Flashcards

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1
Q

Which cash flow and rate used for firm valuation

A

FCFE @ required return on equity

Equity value= Firm value - market value of debt

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2
Q

General FCFF calculation

A

NI + Noncash charges + Interest * (1-tax rate) - Fixed Capital investment (capex) - Working Capital investment

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3
Q

1) General Fixed Capital Investment calculation
2) If no long-term assets were sold during the year
3) If long-term assets were sold during the year

A

1) capex - proceed from sales of long-term assets
2) capex = ending gross PP&E - beginning gross PP&E
3) capex - proceeds from sale of long-term assets OR ending net PP&E - beginning net PP&E + depreciation - gain on sale + loss on sale

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4
Q

FCFF calculation starting with CFO

A

CFO + interes*t(1-tax rate) FCInv

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5
Q

FCFE calculation starting with FCFF

A

FCFF - interest*(1-tax rate) + net borrowing

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6
Q

Calculating FCFF from EBIT

A

EBIT*(1-tax rate) + dep - FCInv - WCInc

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7
Q

Calculating FCFF from EBITDA

A

EBITDA(1-tax rate) + dep tax rate - FCInv - WCInv

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8
Q

Calculating FCFE from CFO

A

CFO - FCInv + net borrowing

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9
Q

What to do if the stock has preferred shares…

A

treat them just like debt, except preferred dividend are not tax deductible

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10
Q

Which cash flow and rate used for firm valuation

A

FCFF @ WACC

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11
Q

FCFE vs Dividend discount model

A

FCFE takes a control perspective that assumes that recognition of value should be immediate

DDM take a minority perspective, under which value may not be realized until the dividend policy accurately reflects the firm’s long-run profitability

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12
Q

2 methods of forcasting FCFE

A

1- apply a growth rate

2- using a target debt-to-assets ratio (DR)
FCFE= NI-(1-DR)(FCInv-Dep) - (1-DR)WCInv

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13
Q

Effect of dividend, share repurchases, share issues, and changes in leverage on the future FCFE and FCFF

A

dividends, share repurchases and issues have no effect on FCFF and FCFE. Changes in leverage have only a minir effect on FCFE and no effect on FCFF

FCFF and FCFE represent cash flow available to investors and shareholders, respectively, before any financing decision

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14
Q

2 method for focasting the terminal value in a multistage valuation model

A

1) apply a stable growth rate FCF/(r-g)

2) use a valuation multiple like P/E
terminal value= trailing P/E* earning in year n
“””” = leading P/E * forecasted earnings in year n+1

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15
Q

Rationale for using P/E

A
  • earnings power
  • popular in the investment community
  • empirical research shiws that its differences are significantly related to long-run average stock returns
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16
Q

Shortcomings of P/E ratio

A
  • earnings can be negative
  • the volatile, transitory portion
  • management discretion within allowed accounting practices
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17
Q

Trailing and leading P/E

A

Trailing: Market price per shre/EPS past 12 mo

Leading: Market price per share/forecasted EPS over next 12 months

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18
Q

advantages of P/B

A
  • Book value is a cumulative amount that is usually positive, even when loss occur and negative EPS
  • more stable than EPS
  • approriate value of NAV fir firms that primarily hold liquid assets
  • approriate ratio for expected out of business firms
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19
Q

disadvantage of P/B

A
  • do not reflect the value of intangible economic assets
  • different accounting convention
  • inflation and technological change
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20
Q

P/B ratio

A

market value of equity/Book value of equity

book value of equity=
common shareholder’s
= total assets - total liabilities - pref. stock

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21
Q

advantage of P/S

A
  • meaningful even for distressed firms. always positive
  • not easy to manipulate sales
  • not as volatile as P/E
  • approriate for stocks in matire or cyclical industries and star-up with no records of earnings
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22
Q

disadvantage of P/S

A
  • high growth in sales does not necessaraily inducate high operating profit
  • dies nor capture differences in cost structure
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23
Q

advantage of P/CF

A
  • CF harder to manipulate than earnings
  • more stable than P/
  • handkes tge provlem of differences ibthe quality of reported earnings, which is a probkem for P/E
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24
Q

Advantage of dividend yield D/P

A
  • commonly used for valuing indexes

- contributes to total investment return

25
Q

trailing D/P

leading D/P

A

trailing: 4*most recent quarterlu div/market price per share
leading: forecasted dividends over next four quarters/market price per share

26
Q

two method to normalize earnings

A

1- historical average EPS

2- average return on equity: Normalized EPS is eastimated as average ROE*BVPS. prefered because account for size effects

27
Q

justified trailing P/E calculation

A

P_0/E_0 = D_0*((1+g)/E_0)/(r-g)

= (1-b)*(1+g)/(r-g)

28
Q

justified leading P/E calculation

A

P_0/E_1= D_1/E_1/(r-g)
= (1-b)/(r-g)
or

Trailing P/E / (1+g)

29
Q

justified P/B calculation

A

(ROE-g)/(r-g)

30
Q

sustainable growth calculation

A

ROE*retention ratio

NI/SalesSales/assetsassets/equity*ret. ratio

31
Q

justified P/S calculation

A

(E_0/S_0)(1-b)(1+b)/(r-g)

32
Q

justified P/CF calculation

A

FCFF_0*(1+g)/(r-g)

33
Q

justified yield calculation

A

(r-g)/(1+g)

34
Q

three main limitation of a predicted P/E estimated from linear regression

A
  • The predictive power of the estimated P/E regression for a different time period and/or sample of stocks is uncertain
  • The relationship between P/E and fundame tal variables examines may change over time
  • multicollinearity is often a problem, difficult to interpret
35
Q

PEG ratio calculation

A

P/E ratio / g

36
Q

drawback of PEG

A

relationship between P/E and g is not linear, which makes comparisons difficult

doest not account for risk

37
Q

terminal calue in year n based on:

leading P/E

trailing P/E

A

justified leading P/E * forecasted earnings in year n+1

justified trailing P/E * forecasted earnings in year n

38
Q

adjusted CFO calculation

A

CFO+ bet cash interest outflow*(1-tax rate)

39
Q

entreprise value calculation

A

EV= market value of common stock + market value of preferred equity + market value of debt + minority interest - cash and investments

40
Q

EV/EBITDA is useful for:

A

may be more useful than P/E when comparing firms with different degrees of financial levrage

useful for valuing capital-intensive businesses with high levels of depreciatio/ amortization

usually positive even when EPS is not

41
Q

drawback of EV/EBITDA

A

if working capital is growing, it will overstate CFO

42
Q

earning surprise calculation

A

reported EPS - expected EPS

43
Q

standardized unexpected earnings (SUE) calculation

A

earnings surprise/standard deviation of earnings surprise

44
Q

the portfolio or index P/E is best calculated as….. weighted harmonic, mean, arithmetic, harmonic mean???

A

weighted harmonic mean P/E.

1/sommation(weight/(P/E))

page 213 volume 3

45
Q

economic value added (EVA) calculation

A

NOPAT-(WACC*total capital)

=

EBIT*(1-t)-$$WACC

46
Q

market value added (MVA) calculation

A

market value - total capital

47
Q

Residual income per share in year t calculation

A

E_t-(rB_t-1) = (ROE-r)B_t-1

48
Q

Intrinsic value of stock at time 0 using residual income

A

V_0= Book value_0 + RI1/(1+r)^1 + RI2/(1+r)^2 + RI3/(1+r)^3+….+RIn/(1+r)^n

49
Q

Value tends to be recognized earlier in the RI approach than in other present value-based approach. why?

A

because, for the other approach like DDM, a large portion of the estimated intrinsic value comes from the present value of the expected terminal value

50
Q

general formula for valuation with residual incone approach

A

V_0= Book value_0 + [(ROE-r)*B_0/(r-g)]

51
Q

Continuing residual income concept and calculation

A

it is the residuak income that is expected over the lobg term (kind of terminal value)

PV of continuing residual income in year t-1=
RI_t/(1+r-w)

where w= persistence factor (between 0, high persistence, and 1, no persistence)

52
Q

higher and lower persistence factor in the continuing residual income

A

higher: low dividend, historically high persistence in the industry
lower: high ROE, high accounting accruals, significant levels of nonrecurring items

53
Q

strenghts of residual income models

A
  • terminal value does not dominate the intrinsic value estimate
  • use easy-to-find accounting data
  • does not need dividend or positive and stable FCF in tge short run
  • focus on exonomic profitability
54
Q

weakness of residual income models

A
  • accounting data can be manipulated by management
  • numerous nd significant adjustment on accounting data
  • the model assume that the clean surplus hold
55
Q

Residual income models are not appropriate when:

A

clean surplus accounting relation is violated significantly

uncertainty concerning the estimates of book value abd return on equity

56
Q

accounting issues in applying residual income models

A
clean surplus violations
variations from fair value
intangible asset effects on book value
nonrecurring items and other aggressive accounting practices
international accounting differences
57
Q

Discount for lack of control (DLOC) calculation

A

1-(1/(1+control premium))

58
Q

when we apply discount for lack of marketability (DLOM)?

A

when a interest in a firm cannot be easily sold

59
Q

total discount with DLOC and DLOM

A

total discount = 1-[(1-DLOC)(1-DLOM)]