Stats related Flashcards

1
Q

What is type 1 error?

A

occurs when we incorrectly reject a null hypothesis that is true (false positive) e.g. positive pregnancy test in a male

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2
Q

What is a type 2 error?

A

occurs when we fail to reject (accept) a null hypothesis that is false (false negative) e.g. negative pregnancy test in a pregnant woman

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3
Q

What is statistical significance (alpha)?

A

the probability of a type 1 error occurring. This can be pre-determined as the acceptable amount of Type 1 error or alpha. Most likely to be 0.05

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4
Q

What is study power?

A

Study power is the ability of a study to find a difference between the two arms.

It is predetermined to reduce type 2 error.
Most studies are powered to 0.8

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5
Q

What can researchers do to increase power?

A

Increasing power reduced type 2 error and this is achieved by:
1. Increasing sample size
2. increasing effect sizes (what difference in outcomes is seen to be representative of a difference)
3. increase significance levels (alpha)

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6
Q

What is a confounder?

A

a variable that influences both the dependent variable and independent variable, causing a spurious association. It can also be a source of bias

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7
Q

What does a 95% confidence interval convey?

A

95% confident that the true outcome effect lies between X and Y

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8
Q

What affects the confidence interval of a sample mean?

A

Standard deviation, sample size, and the type of sample data distribution

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9
Q

What studies are best suited for using odds ratios?

A

Case-control studies

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10
Q

How would you interpret a risk ratio of 2?

A

The exposure group has 2-times the risk of developing the outcome compared to the non-exposure group

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11
Q

How do you interpret a p-value of 0.05?

A

The chance of the observed difference occurring by random chance is 5%. A p-value less than 0.05 is often noted as being statistically significant.

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12
Q

When comparing baseline characteristics between two groups, what do you want your p-value to be?

A

As close to 1 as possible, to signify no significant difference in a baseline characteristic between the two groups

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13
Q

What is confounding by indication?

A

confounding caused by the indication of the intervention. For example, C-sections are 4.3 times more likely to result in maternal death compared to NVD. The confounding factor is the reason for a C-section.

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14
Q

True or False. Does standardization reduce confounding and other forms of bias?

A

True

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15
Q

What is a null hypothesis?

A

A null hypothesis assumes that any observed difference is a result of random chance and that no association exists

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16
Q

How are cohort studies different from case-control studies?

A

They are both examples of observational (non-interventional) studies
Cohort study you are comparing an exposure (most often a risk factor or disease) to a control (do not have the risk factor or disease)) and measuring their effect on an outcome. These are more likely to be prospective and measure effect as risk ratios
Case-control study you know what the outcome is (a disease for example) and you are trying to determine the effect of a risk factor. These are more likely to be retrospective and measure effect as odds ratios.

17
Q

What is critical appraisal?

A

a systematic process used to identify the strengths and weaknesses of a research article to assess the usefulness and validity of its research findings

18
Q

What are the six key components of critical appraisal?

A

(1) Assessing the appropriateness of the study design for the research question;
(2) Careful assessment of the key methodological features of this design;
(3) Suitability of the statistical methods;
(4) Accuracy of subsequent interpretation;
(5) identify potential conflicts of interest;
(6) Relevance to their surgical practice

19
Q

What is the evidence hierarchy of medical literature?

A

Level 1:
- A: Systemic review of RCT
-B: High quality RCT
-C: RCT
Level 2:
- A: Systemic review of cohort studies
- B: Cohort study
- C: Outcome research
Level 3:
- A: Svstemic review of case control studies
- B: Case control study
Level 4: Case series
Level 5: Expert opinion

20
Q

What is sensitivity?

A

The ability of a test to capture all individuals with a disease

21
Q

What is specificity?

A

The ability of a test to exclude those who do not have a disease

22
Q

What are the different types of randomization?

A

Simple, blocked, stratified, minimized

23
Q

What is p-value?

A

The probability of the null hypothesis being true

24
Q

What influences the p-value?

A

(1) Sample size (the larger a sample size, the more likely a difference will be detected);
(2) Magnitude of effect (a larger magnitude of effect will likely pick up a difference and therefore reduce the p-value;
(3) Spread of data (the bigger the standard deviation, the more spread, and the lower the p-value)

25
Q

What is PRISMA?

A

Stands for Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis. It is an evidence based minimum set of items for reporting in systematic reviews and meta-analyses via a 27-point check-list and flow chart

26
Q

What are the six main components of the PRISMA checklist?

A

Interrogation of:
1) abstract
2) introduction
3) methods - eligibility criteria, databases used, search terms used, screening process for choosing studies, risk of bias assessment tool
4) results - use of PRISMA flow diagram including why studies were excluded, summary of the study characteristics + results, bias assessment outcome
4) discussion - interpretation of results, limitations of studies used, limitations of the review, implications of results
5) if a protocol was followed and where to find it
6) conflicts of interests

27
Q

What are the benefits of PRISMA?

A

(1) Demonstrates the quality of the review.
(2) allows readers to assess strengths and weaknesses.
(3) permits replication of review methods.

28
Q

What is incidence and prevalence?

A

Prevalence - the proportion of population with the disease in a time point

Incidence - the rate of new onset disease during a period of time

29
Q

What are four types of bias?

A

Selection bias - sampling bias and response bias
Observation bias - failure to measure factors/outcomes accurately
Attrition bias - number of drop outs differs in separate arms, those who are left are not representative of the original study
Confounding factors - associated with exposure and outcome but independent.

30
Q

What are mean, median, and mode?

A

Mean - sum of all values / number of values in the data set

Median - middle value of the data set

Mode - most common value of the data set

31
Q

What is a meta-analysis?

A

A meta-analysis is the use of statistical methods to combine results of individual studies, usually RCTS.
It allows researchers to have a more precise estimation of treatment effect.

32
Q

What is a systematic review?

A

Type of secondary research that involves collating all empirical evidence that fits pre-specified eligibility criteria in order to answer a specific research question.
It uses explicit, systematic methods to minimizing bias, thus providing more reliable findings from which conclusions can be drawn and decisions made

33
Q

What are the advantages and disadvantages of meta-analysis?

A

Advantage
1. Greater statistical power to detect an effect than a single study
2. Combine results from several studies hence less likely to be influenced by local factors.
Disadvantages
1. pooling results from several studies may not predict the results of a single large study.
2. if the source is poorly designed, the meta analysis will produce unreliable results.

34
Q

What is a Forest plot?

A
  1. It is used to demonstrate the results of meta analysis
  2. vertical line of no effect
  3. Diamond = point estimate of pooled
    result
  4. Horizontal line - 95% Cl; if CI crosses the vertical line of no effect, either sample size to too small or the result is not statically significant.
35
Q

What is a Randomised control trial?

A

A research design that allows:
1. Comparison of 2 or more possible interventions
2. Participants are randomly divided to separate arms

Advantages:
- Minimise the risk of allocation bias
- Can be combined into systemic reviews/meta analysis to produce high level evidence

Disadvantages:
- Time and cost
- Difficult on long term FU
- Usually focus on a narrow area of patients condition

36
Q

What are the different phases of RCT?

A

Phase 1: 50-100 healthy volunteers to evaluate drug safety and side effects
Phase 2: 100-300 patients with relevant illness to assess effectiveness and assess minimal dose
Phase 3: Large RCT thousands of volunteers to confirm drug safety + effectiveness when compared to a placebo or standard treatment
Phase 4. Postmarketing surveillance