Stats - Probability Flashcards
What is probability?
The likelihood of an event occurring: P(x)
P(x)
The probability of x occurring
A probability of 0
Means the outcome can never happen
A probability of 1
Means we are certain the outcome will happen
Probabilities of all outcomes
Must add up to 1
Experiment
Any observation or measurement of a random phenomena eg. tossing a coin
Outcomes
The possible results of an experiment
Sample space (s)
The set of all possible outcomes or results of an experiment e.g. flipping a coin is heads/tails
Types of probability
Subjective, Theoretical, Experimental
Subjective probability
Based on experience and intuition eg. Sony is a good brand so “odds are good that…”
Theoretical probability
Based on knowing all the likely outcomes of an experiment (ie. rolling a dice is 1/6 chance of rolling a 4)
P (event)
Number of favourable outcomes/total # of outcomes possible
Uniform probability distribution
P(x) Probability of each outcome
Experimental probability
Based on the repetitions of an actual experiment resulting in relative frequencies
Relative frequencies
Applies to events that can be repeated over and over again eg. How many students on campus eat poutine for lunch eg. P (eating poutine)