Stats definitions Flashcards
Should studies be registered?
Yes, all studies should be registered on a publicly accessible database
What is the null hypothesis?
Hypothesis stating that there is no real difference between the two groups, and any difference is due to chance
What is the alternate hypothesis
Hypothesis stating that there is a real difference between the two groups
What is bias?
Any tendency that influences the results of the trial causing over / underexageration of the results, other than the experimental intervention
What is blinding?
Technique used to eliminate bias by hiding intervention from the patient, clinician (double) and data analyst (triple)
What is evidence based medicine?
Using current best evidence judiciously to make the best decisions for the patient
What is efficacy?
Performance of an intervention under ideal and controlled circumstances
What is effectiveness?
Performance of an intervention under real world conditions
– think that “effective” is layman word > reflects real world, while “efficacious” is scientific
What is alpha?
Alpha = probability of rejecting Ho due to chance = False positive error = T1Error
What is alpha usually set as
0.05
What is beta?
Beta = probability of accepting Ho when it should have. been rejected = False negative = T2 Error
What is power (definition and as maths terms)
Power is the study’s ability to accept H1 when true (True positive)
Power = 1 - beta
What is power usually set as?
0.8
How can you increase power in a study?
By increasing the sample size
What is a type 1 error?
False positive.
You reject Ho even though Ho was true
What are causes of T1 error?
Bias
Confounding
Data dredging (cherry picking with multiple hypothesis testing)
What is a T2 error?
False negative
You accept Ho even though Ho was false
What are causes of a T2 error?
Sample size too small
Variance is too large.
What studies to heterogeneity and homogeneity apply to?
systematic reviews
What is heterogeneity?
the amount of incompatibility of trials included in the review, whether clinical (studies clinically different) or statistical (results different from each other)
What is homogeneity?
When studies included in a systematic review are clinically and statistically similar
What is incidence v prevalence?
Incidence = number of NEW cases occurring over a specific time
Prevalence = proportion of population with the condition in a specific time
What is internal. validity
Indicates how well the study backs the conclusion
i.e. the extent to which study methodology accomplishes what it set to accomplish
What is external validity?
the generalisability of the results to non-study population
depends on incl/exclusion criteria, patient demographics
What is a confounding variable?
A variable which is not the experimental variable but that may affect trial results (i.e. independent factor associated with both exposure and outcome)
What are ways to reduce confounding variables?
stratification, regression or randomisation
What is a confidence interval
the range in which the population value lies 95% of the. time
What is the NNT
Number needed to treat
So number of patients that need to be treated in order. for one to benefit
What is the ARR
Absolute Risk Reduction
So the amount by which your therapy reduces the risk of a bad outcome
So if a drug reduces risk from 50% to 30%, ARR = 0.5-0.3 = 0.2
How do you calculate the NNT based on ARR
NNT = 1/ARR