Stats Flashcards

1
Q

A characteristic of an individual measured or recorded in a study. What is this describing

A

A variable

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2
Q

What is the difference between qualitative and quantitative variables

A
  1. Categorical (or qualitative) variables which arise when an individual falls into a category. These can be subdivided into:
    (a) Nominal categorical variables - which have no ordering e.g. sex (male\ female), blood group (A\B\AB\O)
    (b) Ordinal categorical variables - which have an ordering e.g pain (mild \ moderate \ serve); breast cancer stage (1,2,3,4).
  2. Quantitative (or interval scale) variables which arise when a response is measured on a scale e.g. height (in cm), temperature (in oC), blood pressure (in mmHg).
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3
Q

Which one of the following variables is nominal categorical:
a) Number of episodes of disease
in a patient over a year.
b) Serum bilirubin level.
c) Blood group (O/A/B/AB).
d) Severity of haemophilia ( mild/moderate/severe).
e) Reduction in blood pressure following antihypertensive treatment.

A

C

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4
Q

What does a frequency distribution show

A

A frequency distribution shows the frequency (or count) of the occurrence of different values of a variable, and may be presented either as a table or as a graph (called a bar chart).

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5
Q

What is relative frequency

A

relative frequency is presented which is the frequency expressed as a proportion (or percentage) of the total frequency.

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6
Q

What is the mean and how is it calculated

A

(Average)

(i) The mean is the most widely used measure of location.
i. e. the sum of all the observations divided by the total number of observations.

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7
Q

What is the median

A

The median is the middle value if a sample is arranged in increasing order

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8
Q

What is the range

A

The range is the difference between the largest and smallest observations in the sample

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9
Q

What is the problem with using the range

A

severely affected by outlying observations

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10
Q

What is the interquartile range

A

(ii) The interquartile range is the difference between the third and first quartiles.

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11
Q

What is the variance

A

The variance (s2) is approximately the arithmetic mean of the squared deviations of the values from their mean

(Distance of each observation from the mean)

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12
Q

The mean of a set of values:

a) Is a useful summary measure for a nominal categorical variable.
b) Coincides with the median if the distribution of the data is symmetrical.
c) Is always greater than the median.
d) Cannot be calculated if the data set contains both positive and negative values.
e) Is a useful summary measure of location if the data are skewed.

A

B

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13
Q

What is standard deviation

A

(iv) The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. It has an advantage of being in the original scale of measurement, and is therefore used in preference to the variance.

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14
Q

What is the coefficient of variation

A

This provides a measure of variation which is independent of the unit of measurement and hence can be used to compare the variation of variables measured on different scales.

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15
Q

The median:

a) Is a useful measure of the spread of the data.
b) Is a useful summary measure when the data are skewed.
c) Is always less than the mean when the data are skewed.
d) Can be distorted by outliers.
e) Is equal to the 66th percentile

A

B

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16
Q

What’s the significance of the mean and standard deviation in a normal distribution

A

The mean determines how far right or left the distribution sits on the x-axis. The standard deviation determines the width of the distribution; the larger the standard deviation the wider and shorter the distribution.

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17
Q

What does the z value represent in normal distribution

A

Occasionally values of a variable are converted to Z-scores. This is equivalent to counting the number of standard deviations above or below the mean a value is

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18
Q

What is the definition if probability

A

Using the relative frequency definition, the probability of an event of interest occurring in an experiment is the proportion of times the event of interest occurs (its relative frequency) when the experiment is repeated a large number of times.

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19
Q

Which one of the following variables is nominal categorical:

a) Number of episodes of disease in a patient over a year.
b) Serum bilirubin level.
c) Blood group (O/A/B/AB).
d) Severity of haemophilia (mild/moderate/severe).
e) Reduction in blood pressure following antihypertensive treatment.

A

C

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20
Q

Which one of the following variables is ordinal categorical:

a) Number of episodes of disease in a patient over a year
b) Serum bilirubin level
c) Blood group (O/A/B/AB)
d) Severity of haemophilia (mild/moderate/severe)
e) Reduction in blood pressure following antihypertensive treatment

A

d

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21
Q

Which one of the following variables is interval scale:

a) Height in cm.
b) Ethnic group.
c) Social class (I/II/III-N/III-M/IV/V).
d) Age categorised as young, middle-aged or old.
e) Blood group.

A

a

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22
Q

Which one of the following statements is true:

a) A nominal variable has categories that can be ordered in some way.
b) Quantitative data arises when an individual falls into categories.
c) Categorical and quantitative data are presented in exactly the same way.
d) A categorical variable can be either nominal or ordinal.
e) Nominal data are usually measurements made on a scale.

A

d

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23
Q

A histogram:

a) Can be used to display any type of variable.
b) Is the same as a bar chart but there are larger gaps between the bars.
c) Contains bars, with the height of each bar being proportional to the frequency of the observations in the range specified by the bar.
d) Can be used instead of a pie chart to display categorical data.
e) Is used to show the relationship between two variables.

A

c

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24
Q

A bar chart:

a) Is used to display categorical data.
b) Should be drawn without gaps between the bars.
c) Can only be used to display data which have a symmetrical distribution.
d) Can be used to display any type of variable.
e) Is used to show the relationship between two variables.

A

a

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25
Q

The mean of a set of values:

a) Is a useful summary measure for a nominal categorical variable.
b) Coincides with the median if the distribution of the data is symmetrical.
c) Is always greater than the median.
d) Cannot be calculated if the data set contains both positive and negative values.
e) Is a useful summary measure of location if the data are skewed.

A

b

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26
Q

The median:

a) Is a useful measure of the spread of the data.
b) Is a useful summary measure when the data are skewed.
c) Is always less than the mean when the data are skewed.
d) Can be distorted by outliers.
e) Is equal to the 66th percentile

A

b

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27
Q

Which one of the following statements is true. The standard deviation:

a) Is a measure of location.
b) Has the same units of measurement as the raw data.
c) Is a measure of spread which is equal to the range.
d) Is unaffected by outliers.
e) Is an appropriate measure of spread for skewed data.

A

b

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28
Q

What is a ‘population’

A

A population is any collection of individuals (or measurements made on those individuals) in which we are interested.

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29
Q

What is the population distribution

A

The frequency distribution of a variable in the population is referred to as the population distribution

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30
Q

What are population parameters

A

Summary values (e.g. means, proportions) calculated in populations are referred to as population parameters

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31
Q

What is a sample

A

A sample is any subset of a population and is ideally selected to be representative of the population

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32
Q

What makes a sample random

A

A random sample is one chosen in such a way that each member of the population has the same chance of selection.

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33
Q

What are sample statistics and what are they used for

A

Summary values calculated in samples (e.g. means and proportions)

These sample statistics are used to estimate population parameters.

34
Q

Describe accuracy

A

Absence of bias

35
Q

Describe precision

A

Repeatability from one sample to the next

36
Q

What is the sampling distribution of a statistic

A

The sampling distribution of a statistic is the frequency distribution of that statistic over all possible samples of a given size selected from the population

37
Q

What is the standard error and what is it used for

A

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a statistic is referred to as its standard error and is used to calculate confidence intervals.

38
Q

What is the definition of 95% confidence intervals

A

In 95% of repeated samples from the population confidence intervals calculated in this way will capture the population parameter

39
Q

The 95% confidence interval for a
proportion:
a) Cannot be calculated if the sample size is large.
b) Is the interval within which all sample proportions would lie if we were to take repeated samples of a given size from the population.
c) Is the interval within which we expect the population proportion to lie with 95% certainty .
d) Is wider than the 99% confidence interval for the proportion.
e) Is calculated as the sample proportion ± standard error of the proportion.

A

C

40
Q

Describe a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis

A

In a trial, the null hypothesis (H0) often that the true difference in mean/proportion on treatment or on placebo is 0.

An alternative hypothesis (H1) is also stated which usually just contradicts the null hypothesis

41
Q

What is the p-value

A

The P-value is: the probability of observing a test statistic (i.e. results) as, or more, extreme than that observed in your sample, in hypothetical repetitions of the study assuming that the null hypothesis is true

42
Q

How do we use the p value to accept/reject a null hypothesis

A

If P < 0.05, the test is “statistically significant” at the 5% level and the null hypothesis is rejected. Alternatively if P > 0.05, the test is not “statistically significant” at the 5% level there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

43
Q

Describe a type I error

A

A Type I error occurs if the null hypothesis is rejected when it is true. The probability of a Type I error, the rejection of a true null hypothesis, equals the significance level (and is therefore usually 5%).

If you reject the null hypothesis there is. Chance of type I error

44
Q

Describe a type II error

A

A Type II error occurs if the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false

If you don’t reject the null hypothesis then chance of type II error

45
Q

When is a chi-squared test used

A

used to compare proportions between two independent groups

46
Q

What is the absolute risk reduction

A

The absolute risk reduction is the difference in risk between the two treatment groups

47
Q

What is the relative risk

A

The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the risk in the treatment divided by the placebo group

48
Q

The best approximation of a truly random sample of the general population would be obtained by:

a) Selecting an individual from every fourth house on a street.
b) Selecting every individual with a surname beginning with the letter ‘S’.
c) Allocating each individual from the electoral roll a unique number, putting these numbers in order and selecting every 20th individual from this list.
d) Allocating each individual from the electoral roll a unique number and using a computer to randomly generate numbers for selection.
e) Closing your eyes and sticking a pin into a telephone directory.

A

d

49
Q

The 95% confidence interval for a proportion:

a) Cannot be calculated if the sample size is large.
b) Is the interval within which all sample proportions would lie if we were to take repeated samples of a given size from the population.
c) Is the interval within which we expect the population proportion to lie with 95% certainty.
d) Is wider than the 99% confidence interval for the proportion.
e) Is calculated as the sample proportion ± standard error of the proportion.

A

c

50
Q

The mean BMI of a random sample of 5926 US men was found to be 28.7, with 95% confidence interval (28.3, 29.1). The confidence interval is interpreted to mean that:

a) 95% of US men have a BMI between 28.3 and 29.1.
b) We are 95% certain that a US man has BMI between 28.3 and 29.1.
c) If we were to take a different sample of 5926 US men, the mean BMI of this new sample would lie within 28.3 and 29.1 with 95% certainty.
d) There is a 95% chance that the mean BMI score in the population of US men is greater than 29.1.
e) There is a 95% chance that the mean BMI in the population of US men lies within the calculated confidence interval.

A

e

51
Q

In a prospective study of post-traumatic stress disorder in children involved in road traffic accidents, post-traumatic stress was found in 41/119 children (35%, 95% CI 26% to 44%). Select all of the following statements which you believe to be true:

a) In the population of children involved in road traffic accidents, the true rate of post-traumatic stress is greater than 35%.
b) In this sample, the rate of post-traumatic stress could take any value between 26% and 44%.
c) In 95% of random samples, confidence intervals calculated in this way would capture the proportion with post-traumatic stress of the population of children involved in road traffic accidents.
d) The authors would have obtained a more precise estimate of the proportion of children with post-traumatic stress if they had included fewer children.
e) If an earlier study into the same issue had reported that the rate of post-traumatic stress in children after road traffic accidents was only 27%, we could conclude that the rate of post-traumatic stress was increasing.

A

c

52
Q

In the same prospective study of post-traumatic stress disorder in children the authors decided to calculate a 99% confidence interval. Bearing in mind the original estimate was 35% (95% CI 26% to 44%), without doing calculations, which of the following is the 99% confidence interval:

a) 0% to 44%.
b) 26% to 44%.
c) 28% to 42%.
d) 0% to 99%.
e) 24% to 46%.

A

e

53
Q

In a study to evaluate the importance of different factors on the development of cirrhosis among hepatitis C virus positive individuals (Verbaan H et al. J Vir Hep 1998; 5: 43-51), 35/79 of those without cirrhosis reported alcohol abuse compared to 10/20 of the individuals with cirrhosis (P=0.84).

We could use the unpaired t-test to analyse these data.

b) The appropriate null hypothesis is that the same number of individuals in the populations with and without cirrhosis report alcohol abuse.
c) The appropriate null hypothesis is that the same proportion of individuals in the populations with and without cirrhosis report alcohol abuse.
d) An appropriate null hypothesis is that the same mean alcohol abuse is the same in individuals number of individuals in the populations with and without cirrhosis report alcohol abuse.
e) The appropriate null hypothesis is that the same proportion of individuals in the samples with and without cirrhosis report alcohol abuse.

A

C

54
Q

(Q 2 study: In a study to evaluate the importance of different factors on the development of cirrhosis among hepatitis C virus positive individuals (Verbaan H et al. J Vir Hep 1998; 5: 43-51), 35/79 of those without cirrhosis reported alcohol abuse compared to 10/20 of the individuals with cirrhosis (P=0.84)) In the study in question 2 the P-value of 0.84 indicates that:

a) There is evidence of a difference in the true rates of alcohol abuse in the two groups.
d) The rates of alcohol abuse in the cirrhosis group is 0.84 times that of the non-cirrhosis group.
c) There is an 84% probability the rates are different.
d) The rates of alcohol abuse in the non-cirrhosis group is 0.84 times that of the cirrhosis group.
e) There is no evidence of a difference in the true rates of alcohol abuse in the two groups.

A

E

55
Q

When is McNemar’s test used

A

McNemar’s test is used to compare an outcome with two categories between two paired groups

56
Q

When is an independent samples t-test used

A

An independent samples t-test is used to test whether the mean of an interval scale variable in one group is equal to the mean in another group when the two groups are independent.

57
Q

What would the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis be in an independent samples t-test

A

The Null hypothesis (H0) is that the population or true mean in group 1 equals the
population or true mean in group 2 (μ1 = μ2).
The Alternative hypothesis (H1) is that the population or true mean in group 1 does not equal the population or true mean in group 2 (μ1 ≠ μ2).

58
Q

What are the two assumptions made if a sample size is small (<30) in an independent samples t-test

A

1) Normally distributed outcome in both groups,

2) standard deviation of outcome similar in groups.

59
Q

A Chi-squared for a 2x2 table is used:

a) To compare an interval scale variable between two groups.
b) To compare two proportions between two independent groups.
c) To compare an interval scale variable between two groups provided that the variable is normally distributed.
d) To compare two proportions between two paired groups.
e) To compare any outcome between two independent groups.

A

b

60
Q

In an observational study of defibrillation in theatre, 23 surgeons and 25 anaesthetists were asked to manage simulated ventricular fibrillation. The percentage successful managing to defibrillate according to advanced life support protocols was 28% (7/25) of the surgeons and 4% (1/23) of the anaesthetists (P=0.06).

a) This lack of significance could be due to a Type 1 error.
b) The chance of a Type 2 error increases as the sample size increases.
c) A larger sample size would have reduced the risk of Type 1 error.
d) If this study was repeated and a difference of 24% (28%-4%) was observed again, this difference would not be significant, regardless of the size of the study.
e) This lack of significance could be due to a Type 2 error.

A

e

61
Q

Q3.5) In a study of critical ill patients with severe acute kidney injury, patients were randomly allocated to early initiation of renal replacement therapy (RRT) or delayed initiation of RRT. The proportion dead at 90 days was 39% (44/112) in the early group and 55% (65/119) in the delayed group (P=0.02).

a) There is a 2% chance of no difference between the two groups.
b) In hypothetical repetitions of the study assuming the null hypothesis is true, there is a 2% chance of observing a difference in proportions as extreme or more extreme than that observed in our samples.
c) We accept the null hypothesis.
d) There is a 2% chance the difference is real.
e) There is no evidence of a difference in the true rates of death in the two groups.

A

b

62
Q

In the study in Q5.
(Q5: In a study of critical ill patients with severe acute kidney injury, patients were randomly allocated to early initiation of renal replacement therapy (RRT) or delayed initiation of RRT. The proportion dead at 90 days was 39% (44/112) in the early group and 55% (65/119) in the delayed group (P=0.02).)
a) There is the possibility of a type 2 error.
b) The relative risk in the early group compared with the delayed group = 0.39 - 0.55 = 0.16.
c) The relative risk is 0.02
d) The relative risk in the early group compared with the delayed group = 0.39/0.55 = 0.72.
e) A type 1 error has occurred.

A

d

63
Q

The P-value is:

a) The probability that the null hypothesis is true.
b) The probability that the alternative hypothesis is true.

c) The probability of obtaining the observed or more extreme
results if the alternative hypothesis is true.

d) The probability of obtaining the observed results or results which are more extreme if the null hypothesis is true.
e) Always less than 0.05.

A

D

64
Q

A study is conducted to investigate a new ingestible and inflatable balloon system as a noninvasive way to fill up the stomach and curb appetite. Sixty clinically obese men (selected from the population of obese men) are randomly allocated to the intervention (i.e. the balloon) or a placebo. After 6 months, BMI is measured in the two groups. Which of the following is an appropriate null hypothesis for the study:

a) At the end of the 6 month period, the difference in BMI in the placebo and obese group is not statistically significant.
b) At the end of the 6 month period, the mean BMI on placebo is equal to that on the intervention in the population of obese men.
c) At the end of the 6 month period, the mean BMI on placebo is less than that on the intervention in the population of obese men.
d) At the end of the 6 month period, BMI in the placebo group and obese group is identical.
e) At the end of the 6 month period, the difference in BMI in the placebo and obese group is statistically significant.

A

B

65
Q

In a study, CD4 counts were measured in 48 HIV positive mothers who gave birth to children without HIV (mean=728, SD=274) and 11 HIV positive mothers whose children were HIV infected (mean=465, SD=271, P=0.006).

a) A paired t-test was performed on these data as the two groups were dependent.
b) The results are significant at the 5% level suggesting that the null hypothesis cannot be rejected.
c) There is the possibility of Type 2 error.
d) The null hypothesis can be rejected, there is evidence of lower CD4 counts in mothers who transmitted HIV to their children.
e) CD4 counts in these women are Normally distributed.

A

D

66
Q

When is a paired samples t-test used

A

To compare interval scale variable between two paired groups

67
Q

When is the analysis of variance used

A

To compare interval scale variable between three or more independent groups

68
Q

When is the Mann-Whitney U test used

A

To compare interval scale variable between two independent groups

69
Q

The Mann-Whitney U test:

a) Assumes that the outcome variable in each of the two groups are Normally distributed.
b) Can only be used when numbers are small.
c) Is appropriate when we wish to compare the distributions of an ordinal variable in two paired groups of individuals.
d) Is equivalent to the Chi-squared test.
e) Makes no assumption about the shape of the distribution of the outcome variable.

A

e

70
Q

In a study to evaluate the efficacy of the Attempted Suicide Short Intervention Program (ASSIP) 60 patients who had recently attempted suicide were randomly allocated to ASSIP or usual care. Over the two year follow-up period, the numbers of days in hospital, which was heavily skewed, was recorded in the ASSIP (n=29, median 29 days) and usual care group (n=31, median 102, Mann-Whitney U test P = 0.04)

a) An appropriate null hypothesis is that there is no difference in the median number of days in hospital on ASSIP or usual care in the population who had recently attempted suicide.
b) The Mann-Whitney U test is an alternative test to the paired samples t-test.
c) A Mann-Whitney U test was appropriate because the number of patients in each group was not the same.
d) An independent samples t-test could have been used to test these data.
e) An appropriate null hypothesis is that there is no difference in the mean number of days in hospital on ASSIP or usual care in the in the population who had recently attempted suicide.

A

a

71
Q

what is survival analysis

A

Survival analysis is the name given to a collection of statistical procedures for analysing data for which the outcome of interest is the time taken for some event to occur.

72
Q

what is a Kaplan-Meier or survival curve

A

A Kaplan-Meier or survival curve (shown on the right for a small sample of prostate cancer patients) is a diagram which plots the proportion of the population that have survived up until a certain time against time

73
Q

when is the log-rank test used

A

To compare time to event variable between two independent groups

74
Q

what are hazard ratios

A

the hazard can be considered as the rate of an event and the hazard ratio is the rate of the event in one group divided by the other and is calculated with 95% confidence intervals

75
Q

In a randomized controlled trial patients were randomly allocated to once only colorectal cancer screening with flexible sigmoidoscopy or a usual care group who received no screening. After a median of six years of follow-up, the hazard ratio for mortality from colorectal cancer, comparing intervention with control, was 0.73 (95% confidence interval 0.47 to 1.13).

a) The result is not statistically significant at the 5% level because a HR of 1 (indicative of no association) is captured by the 95% confidence interval.
b) A hazard ratio was calculated because the outcome was mortality.
c) The result is statistically significant at the 5% level because a HR of 0 (indicative of no association) is not captured by the 95% confidence interval.
d) The rate of death from colorectal cancer in the screened is 73% greater than in the usual care group.
e) A Type 1 error may have occurred.

A

a

76
Q

Survival analysis techniques are used:

a) Only when the outcome is mortality.
b) When the outcome is not Normally distributed but displays heavy negative skew.
c) When the outcome is a time taken for an event to occur.
d) When the sample sizes are small.
e) When the outcome is Normally distributed.

A

c

77
Q

A randomized controlled trial was conducted of tamoxifen versus usual care in healthy women at increased risk of breast cancer to investigate the effect on long term breast cancer risk. After 16 years of follow-up, 601 breast cancers were reported (251 [7%] in 3579 patients in the tamoxifen group versus 350 [10%] in 3575 women in the placebo group; hazard ratio 0.70 [95% CI 0.60–0.81], P<0.0001).

a) The result is not statistically significant at the 5% level.
b) The rate of breast cancer in the tamoxifen group is reduced by 70% compared with the control group (i.e. HR=0.7).
c) Survival analysis techniques should not have been used because breast cancer was the outcome.
d) The rate of breast cancer in the tamoxifen group is 0.70 times that of the control group (i.e. reduced by 30%).
e) A Type 2 error may have occurred.

A

d

78
Q

what is meant by the ‘number needed to treat’ and how is it calculated

A

The number need to treat is based upon the absolute risk reduction and gives the number of patients that would need to be treated to prevent one adverse outcome.
Number needed to treat = 1 / absolute risk reduction

79
Q

Which of the following statements is correct:

a) Randomisation is when patients are randomly selected from a patient population to participate in a trial.
b) The main advantage of randomisation is that it reduces the sample sizes required.
c) Randomisation is when patients are randomly allocated to an intervention or a control group.
d) Randomisation is always unethical.
e) In a randomised controlled trial patients are asked what treatment they would like to receive.

A

c

80
Q

The main advantage of randomisation is that:

a) The intervention and control group are exactly the same size.
b) There will be no loss to follow-up in the intervention and control group.
c) The intervention and control group will not know what treatment they are receiving and therefore this will not bias their responses.
d) The intervention and control group is likely to be similar with respect to known and unknown characteristics.
e) It saves time.

A

d