Session 9 Flashcards
Malthusian view and the key assumptions?
although technological innovation temporarily improves living standards, the resulting population increase would bring down wages to basic subsistence levels in the long run
Assump.
- Decreasing average product of labor: population growth leads to less-than proportional growth in production
- Wealthier households have more offspring
Marginal Product of labor
The additional output produced with one more unit of labor (holding other inputs constant)
Average product of labor
Total output divided by a labor point
Issues with Malthus and defence of malthus
Exogenous technology: technological innovation is treated as exogenous and independent
- “Exogenous” means coming from outside the economic model
This overlooks the possibilities that:
- A growing population spurs more innovation
- One innovation leads to more subsequent innovations
Def:
- Malthus was not merely short-sighted given the historical context
- His observations were consistent with data of his time: the Malthusian epoch spanned roughly 99.9% of human history, dating back 300,000 years (Change with ind revolution!)
Key narratives of Galor 2011 Unified growth theory
Look at Graphs!
- Initial period of Malthusian stagnation
-> A small population, slow technological progress, minimal investment in education
- Increasing importance of human capital (e.g. education) over time
-> As population increases, technological progress accelerates
-> After some threshold level of technology this creates industrial demand for education
- Demographic transition (decline in fertility rate)
-> Greater importance of education makes parents focus more on the quality of children and less on quantity
- Shift to sustained economic growth
->A virtuous cycle: human capital drives technological advancement, further raising human capital demand…