Section 3: 8 Measures of Frequency & Association Flashcards
What is a prevalence count?
number of cases at a particular time
What is an incidence count?
number of case onsets that accumulate over time
Why are ratios important in analysis of case counts?
Counts without context of population size are seldom useful
What are 3 types of ratios used in epidemiology?
- Rates - denominator contains element of time
- Proportions - numerator is subset of denominator
- Odds - numerator is not subset of denominator
What are the two measures of disease frequency in a population?
prevalence and incidence
What is prevalence?
proportion of population with condition
What is incidence proportion (a.k.a. risk, cumulative incidence, expected proportion developing disease)?
number of new cases (onsets) divided by population at risk at a given time
What is the relation between incidence
and prevalence?
prevalence ≅ (incidence rate)× (average duration)
P≅ ID
What are two factors that may be reflected in a high incidence rate?
- High risk
- - Prolonged survival without cure
What are three factors that may be reflected in a low incidence rate?
- Low risk
- Rapid fatal disease progression
- Rapid cure
How do epidemiologists quantify the effect of E (exposure) on D (disease)?
comparing rates of disease in an exposed group (E+) and non-exposed groups (E-)
What are the 5 steps of epidemiological reasoning?
- Suspicion that a factor (exposure) may influence occurrence of disease
- Formulation of specific hypotheses
- Conduct analytic studies
- Assess validity of association
- Make a judgment of whether a cause-effect relation between factor (exposure) and disease exist
What is a risk factor?
A factor (exposure) found to be associated with a health condition and that increases the probability of occurrence of disease
What are some examples of risk factors?
- behavior
- genetic
- environmental
- social
What is epidemiologic association?
- Statistical relationship between two or more events, characteristics, or other variables
- Statistical relationship between exposure and disease
What are the two types of epidemiologic measures of
association?
absolute and relative
What is Risk Difference and how is it calculated?
the absolute elevation in risk associated with an exposure.
RD = R1 − R0
Where R1 represents the risk/rate in the exposed group
R0 represents the risk/rate in the non-exposed group
What is Relative Risk and how is it calculated?
the relative risk associated with an exposure:
RR=R1/R0
Where R1 represents the risk/rate in the exposed group
R0 represents the risk/rate in the non-exposed group
How is the value of the relative risk calculation interpreted to determine if there is an association between exposure and disease?
1 = No association between exposure & disease (incidence rates are identical between groups) >1 = Positive association (exposed group has higher incidence than nonexposed group) <1 = Negative association or protective effect (non-exposed group has higher incidence)
How are 2x2 tables used in epidemiology?
to summarize frequencies of disease and exposure and used for calculation of association
How are odds ratios used in epidemiology?
The ratio of the odds of a condition in the exposed compared with the odds of the condition in the unexposed. Usually used in prevalence studies rather than incidence studies.
What is attributable risk?
# of cases among the exposed that could be eliminated if the exposure were removed AR = Incidence in exposed - Incidence in unexposed
What is population attributable risk percent?
Proportion of disease in the study population that
could be eliminated if exposure were removed.
PAR = (Incidence in total population) - (Incidence in unexposed) divided by (Incidence in total population)
What are the two types of differences measures? (difference that removal of an exposure would make)
Attributable Risk (AR) and Population Attributable Risk (PAR)
What forms the basis for suspicions that a factor (exposure) may influence occurrence of disease?
- Observations in clinical practice
- Examination of disease patterns
- -Observations in laboratory research
- Theoretical speculation
What do epidemiologists look at when assessing the validity of an observed association?
whether there are alternative explanations for the
association (e.g., chance, bias, confounding)
What are measures of association?
Calculations used to measure disease frequency
relative to other factors; indications of how more or less likely one is to develop disease as compared to another
How are odds calculated?
p= p/1-p
Where p = the probability of an event
and 1-p = the probability that the event does not occur