Section 2.1 Flashcards
Just some extra notes from questions:
Are Advance Premiums a liability or asset?
If a portion of AB are non admitted, how does this impact surplus? How does this impact net income?
AP are a liability
Decreases surplus, but doesn’t impact Net Income Unless the agent’s balances are written/charged off. This is part of Other Income
Feldblum Surplus
Why do we bother with financial strength ratings at all?
for policyholders:
- financial strength ratings help buyers assess an insurer’s ability to pay claims
- if the potential policyholder is an insurer seeking reinsurance, the insurer may require the reinsurer have a high rating
for P&C insurers:
- a high rating can help insurers get business
- a financial strength rating by a rating agency can uncover potential solvency issues without involving a regulator (benchmark financial strength without regulatory intervention)
for Reinsurers:
- same as for insurers plus
- some insurers must place business with highly rated reinsurers
- a reinsurer may not be able to renew treaties without a good rating
Feldblum Ratings
Who does financial strength ratings?
A.M. Best:
- has the most experience with financial strength ratings of insurers
Moody’s:
- focuses more on debt ratings (versus overall financial strength ratings)
S&P (Standard & Poor’s):
- focuses more on debt ratings (versus overall financial strength ratings)
Feldblum Ratings
How are financial strength ratings done?
All 3 agencies use something called interactive rating as an overall methodology but they differ in their specific rating or capital model
Feldblum Ratings
How do rating agencies ensure consistency across insurers?
- standard information-gathering & assessment guidelines
- ratings are related to economic capital
- analysis & final rating should be issued by separate bodies.
Feldblum Ratings
Describe shortcomings of rating agencies
conflict of interest
- rating agencies are paid by the companies they rate (how dumb is that?!!!)
history of unreliability
- rating agencies have given high ratings to companies that then went bankrupt. (Enron Scandal in 2001)
Feldblum Ratings
Identify the legislative response to criticism of rating agencies
law now requires extensive DISCLOSURE of rating agencies’ methods to help users understand ratings
Feldblum Ratings
Why might rating agencies prefer stability over responsiveness in their rating methodology?
- stability increases trust in ratings
- being too responsive might mean responding to statistical noise (versus signal)
Feldblum Ratings
What is the broad description of ‘interactive rating’?
a comprehensive qualitative & quantitative evaluation of an insurer’s ability to pay claims (financial strength)
Feldblum Ratings
Describe the 5 steps of the interactive rating process
Research: by ratings analysts (insurer submits proprietary info)
Meeting: between rating analysts & insurer’s senior management for presentations
Proposal: the rating analyst leader proposes a rating (insurer may submit further info)
Decision: by ratings committee
Publication: to public & fee-paying subscribers
Feldblum Ratings
What drawbacks does interactive rating have?
Time-consuming: requires extensive meetings with senior management (note that it takes a while, not super reactive)
Intrusive: insurer must provide detailed operational info
Expensive: insurer must pay for rating agencies to do the interactive ratings
Feldblum Ratings
If interactive ratings are such a royal pain, why do insurers bother with them?
Unrated insurers: agents are wary of unrated insurers
Solvency assessment: 3rd parties such as regulators or investors may rely on a rating agency’s assessment
Efficiency: agents, underwriters, regulators don’t have the expertise to evaluate the financial strength of an insurer
An example where a rating is important is reinsurance because if downgraded to below investment grade, a reinsurer may not be able to renew its treaties and thus lose business.
Feldblum Rating
If rating agency concludes that an insurer’s financial strength has changed in a material way, what reporting options are available?
- downgrade or upgrade insurer’s rating
- change the outlook (do not upgrade or downgrade)
→ rating agencies hesitate to change ratings too quickly to avoid angering paying clients and to maintain consistency & reputation
Feldblum Ratings
Describe the (quantitative) capital models of each rating agency
Rating Agency / General Description / Detailed Description / Other
A.M. Best / Expected Policyholder Deficit / EPD = (Pure Premium for Treaty) / (Market Value of Reserves) / Selection: choose required capital so that EPD = 1%
Moody’s / stochastic cash flows to model economic capital / repeated simulations of loss distributions of separate risks / Time Horizon: project cash flows until liabilities are settled
Standard & Poor’s / PB (principles-based) models & ERM practices / evaluate insurer’s (ERM, internal capital model) / Rating: weighted avg of (S&P, insurer) capital assessment
Feldblum Ratings
How did A.M. Best divide insurers based on financial Strength?
May be outdated, they have new system.
Old way:
* Secure: likely to meet their obligations (divided furthur into 3 sub-levels)
* Vulnerable: May not meet their obligations in adverse scenarios (divided furthur into 7 sub-levels)
Feldblum Ratings
What are A.M. Best’s Credit Quality ratings for bonds?
- Investment Grade: 4 levels + sublevels
- Non-Investment Grade: 4 levels + sublevels
Feldblum Ratings
Briefly describe three differences between NAIC RBC requirements and rating agency capital requirements.
- Rating agency incudes risks not in RBC such as catastrophe risk
- RBC worst case year vs. rating agency may use value at risk or expected policyholder
deficit (EPD) - RBC is a fixed formula and rating agency may use stochastic economic capital models
- RBC has one model used for all companies but rating agencies models differ so the rating
agency model used for different companies may differ when a different rating agency is
used for each - RBC can cause regulatory action but rating agency does not have this power
- RBC is a transparent public formula while rating agency uses opaque proprietary formula
- RBC is the same for all lines vs. rating agency which may vary by line
- Regulator is stakeholder for RBC while stakeholder for rating agency is consumer, agent,
investor - RBC is quantitative formula while agency also uses qualitative information from interview
process - RBC based on public data; rating agency uses confidential data
- Regulator is stakeholder for RBC while stakeholder for rating agency is consumer, agent,
investor (if related to conservatism of RBC and/or going concern of rating agency) - RBC changes infrequently based on model law while rating agency can adapt and change
in response to emerging issues - RBC does not consider reserve adequacy, but rating agency does
- RBC does not discount reserves, but rating agency uses a conservative discount rate
Feldblum Ratings
Summarized RBC vs rating agencies
Method:
- rating agencies may use stochastic model & qualitative considerations
- RBC uses a fixed formula, quantitative only
regulatory action:
- rating agencies have no regulatory authority
- RBC results can initiate regulatory action
Data:
- rating agencies use confidential company data
- RBC uses public data
All risks:
- rating agencies can include any relevant risks
- RBC is constrained by the given formulas
Feldblum Rating
Identify an advantage of the capital model used by A.M. Best
- models individual risks then combines risks using a covariance adjustment (similar to RBC)
- sets capital level so that EPD (Expected Policyholder Deficit) = 1%
- GOOD because tail risks are modeled better than RBC’s ‘worst-case’ approach
Feldblum Ratings
Identify an advantage of the capital model used by Moody’s
- uses a stochastic cash flow model
- GOOD for complex multivariate risks
Feldblum Ratings