Sec S Exp Rate, Multi-Choice, LGs, SGs, Refund Form, Cred Lvls Flashcards
Steps for developing premium rates in a mutliple-choice environment
- Determine the actuarial value of each benefit option as if it were sold on an independent basis
- Estimate the enrollment mix by plan option
- Estimate the relative health status factor for each option based on the expected enrollment mix
- Calculate the preliminary selection adjusted rates for each option. This equals the actuarial rates from step 1 multiplied by the relative health status factors in step 3
- Calculate the average selection load as the ratio of the average of the step 4 selection adjusted rates and the average of the step 1 actuarial rates
- Calculate the blended selection adjusted rates by multiplying the step 1 actuarial rates by the average selection loading from step 5
Situations where employees may be offered multiple choices
- Choice between medical coverage and no coverage - this creates antiselection because employees who waive employer coverage often have lower than average health costs than those who don’t
- Choice between the employer’s plan and other available coverage, such as a spouse’s employer’s plan
- Choice based on member cost sharing - options may differ by deductible, coninsurance, etc
- Choice based on provider networks or medical management - the level of provider choice, the degree of medical management, and the presence of specific providers may drive employee selection decisions
- Choice based on presecription drug formularies - such as differences in coverage and cost sharing for drugs that treat chronic conditions
- Choice among insurers - two or more insurers may offer health plan options to the same employee
- Optional riders added to core coverage - the insurer may allow employees to buy coverage riders such as vision, disability, and dental
- Choice between consumer-directed plans and traditional plans
Factors that influence an employee’s choice of health plan in a multiple-choice environment
- Inertia - employees often prefer to stay with a prior plan option
- Plan provisions and costs - such as covered services and employee cost sharing amounts
- Employee and dependent demographics - such as age, gender, health status, and family size
- Employer actions and attitudes - such as employer contributions towards premiums and the attitude toward managed care
- Eligibility for other health insurance coverage - such as through a spouse’s plan
- Information available about options - such as employee communications and advertising
- Provider and provider network attributes - such as provider availability, reputation, quality, and medical management restrictions
- Insurer and administration issues - such as claim administration and customer service
Special funding arrangements for group insurance
- Reserveless plans (aka deferred premium or premium drag plans) - the insurer foregoes equal to part or all of the claim reserves. In return, the insurer receives a terminal premium when the group terminates (but it risks not receiving this payment). The policyholder chooses how to invest money
- Fully insured plans - the standard arrangement. Policyholder pays insurer, who pays claims
- Self-insured plans - a trust receives employer money and pays the claims. Stop loss i usually purchased from an insurer. Governed by ERISA, so premium taxes and state mandates are avoided
- Minimum premium contracts - fully insured plan that includes a minimum premium rider (provides for the employer to fund an account which the insurer uses to pay claims). Avoids premium tax on the portion of premium used to pay claims
- Stop loss contracts (specific and/or aggregate) - used with self-insured plans to provide insurance for claims that exceed the expected claim level
- Retrospective premium arrangements - the policyholder pays some percent of the regular premium (e.g., 90%). At the end of the period, the policyholder is liable for an additional premium up to some amount (there is a risk of nonpayment)
Special types of large groups
1, Association programs:
a) Association of individuals - such as members of a medical society, who formed together to further a common interest
b) Multiple-employer trust - covers the employees of two or more employers in the same industry
2. Taft-Hartley groups - state laws differ with respect to eligibility rules, types of coverage permitted, and minimum size requirements
3. Purchasing alliances - formed when two or more non-affiliated large groups come together to solicit insurance (in order to enhance their purchasing power). A more recent version of a purchasing alliance is a coalition of very large employers who contract directly with providers
Characteristics of successful multiple-employer health plans
- The sponsoring association is a strong entity with a high percentage of eligible firms participating
- There is a large pool of eligible members
- There is a relatively small average employer size
Reasons for experience rating
- Many policyholders prefer to pay premiums based on their own experience, rather than having their experience pooled with other groups
- The insurer wants to quote and charge premiums that are as competitive as possible
- The insurer wants to avoid antiselection, with good groups going to competitors and bad groups staying
Steps in prospective experience rating
- Develop past claim experience - should be incurred claims for an experience year (restated)
- Use pooling methods to dampen random statistical fluctuation
- Calculate net premium (expected claim cost)
a) Calculate a historical claim cost per unit of exposure
b) Trend the historical experience to account for changes in claim costs - may be due to changes in morbidity, mortality, demographics, benefits, or antiselection - Calculate gross rates from net rates - apply loadings (retention) to the net premium
- A final adjustment may be required when dealing with a politically-sensitive policyholder. Be sure to know the financial impact of any changes
- Plan choice considerations - when employees can choose between an HMO, PPO, and/or indemnity, there is often antiselection against the indemnity plan
- Small group considerations
a) Prior to the ACA, insurers recognized small group experience through formula-based and re-underwriting methods
b) All small groups with fully insured medical coverage are now subject to the community rating restrictions of the ACA
Pooling methods
- Regardless of method chosen, a pooling charge must be applied to all groups being pooled to offset the average cost of claim modifications made during the pooling process*
1. Catastrophic claim pooling - remove large claims
2. Loss ratio or rate increase limits - put a cap on one of the following: the loss ratio used in pricing, the rate increase proposed, or the aggregate claim dollars a group will be charged
3. Credibility weighting - weight with the expected incurred claims for the entire pool
4. Multi-year averaging - combine several years of experience (may give more weight to recent years)
5. Combination methods - e.g., use both catastrophic claim pooling and a rate increase cap
Loadings on the net premium (retention)
- Expense loadings - usually the largest part of retention
- ACA fees - such as the insurer fee
- Deficit recovery charge (may make rates uncompetitive) - charged to a specific policyholder to recover that policyholder’s past losses
- Termination risk charge - charged to all policyholders to finance (in advance) the risk of groups leaving while in a deficit position
- Pooling charges - usually covered in net premium
- Profit charge or contribution to free reserves - may be built into other assumptions
- Investment income - may be credited (net of investment management costs and taxes)
- Explicit margin - reduces insurer’s risk
- Charge to cover risk of rate guarantees. This risk arises due to misestimation risk and trend risk
Characteristics a small group insurer should consider in evaluating experience
- But a small group insurer cannot decline coverage or rate groups based on these characteristics*
1. Financial viability - consider how long the employer has been in business and whether there is significant employee turnover
2. Industry and occupation - consider the type of work done and the lifestyles of employees
3. Group size - larger groups result in a better spread of morbidity risk and lower administrative expenses on a per capita basis
4. Workers’ compensation - in states that do not require small employers to purchase this coverage, insurers will have to cover expenses that workers’ compensation would typically cover
5. Participation and employer contributions - historically, insurers required certain participation and contribution levels to help ensure a better spread of risk. Under the ACA, these requirements are no longer allowed except when coverage is issued outside of open enrollment periods
6. Prior coverage - for a group changing carriers or seeking coverage for the first time, consider the group’s motives for now seeking coverage
Typical retrospective refund formula
Policyholder account balance = prior balance carried forward + premiums + investment earnings - claims charged - expenses - risk charge - premium stabilization reserve addition - profit
- Prior year’s balance - ending balance is carried forward if not eliminated at prior year end
- Premiums - amount may be adjusted for interest based on the timing of payments
- Investment earnings - very important for coverages with significant reserves
- Claims charged = claims paid + increase in claim reserves - pooled claims + pooling charges + conversion charges + claim margins
- Expense charges typically vary by duration to allow for the recovery of acquisition costs
- Risk charge covers the risk that the policyholder will terminate cover while in a loss position
- Addition to premium stabilization reserve - to reduce the risk of a deficit on termination. The insurer may require a certain level of reserve before surplus can be paid as an experience refund
- Profit - usually built into other assumptions since the insurer is reluctant to show explicit profit in the formula
Considerations in deciding whether to use retrospective experience rating
- Group size - the group must be large enough to have credible data and to warrant the cost and time of experience rating
- Contract provisions regarding the funding arrangement - some funding arrangements (like retrospective premium arrangements) will replace the experience rating formula
- Company policies and practices - is an overriding factor
- Company financial situation - crucial for insurers with small surplus
Theoretical considerations in determining credibility levels
- Coverages with low claim frequency are more volatile and will require a larger exposure base to be credible
- Coverages with widely varying claim sizes will tend to be more volatile
- The statistical confidence interval chosen by the insurer
- Historically, statistical fluctuation was considered to vary inversely with the square root of the number of claims or lives. So it will take 4 times the exposure to double the credibility
- For coverages with stochastically independent claims, longer experience periods can be used to increase exposure and therefore credibility
Practical considerations in determining credibility levels
- Regulatory restrictions on the use of experience rating for certain group sizes
- Competitive pressures
- Ability of administrative and management areas to accept the level of experience rating
- The trade-off between the cost of experience rating and gains in the quantity and quality of new business
- The effect on existing business of a change in the credibility level
- Management philosophy regarding experience rating
- The need for consistency between classes of business