Sales forecasting Flashcards
Time series analysis
A variety of techniques to predict the future trends using past data.
The four components that a business wants to identify:
-the trend
-seasonal fluctuations
-cyclical fluctuations
-random fluctuations
Benefits of sales forecasting:
-inform cash flow forecasts so there’s a clear idea of what cash inflows
-allows business to plan orders of supplies
-enable them to ensure they have the correct staffing levels
-ensure it has the capacity to meet projected orders.
Factors affecting sales forecasting:
- Consumer trends
- Economic variables
- Actions of competitors
Consumer trends
Habits and behaviours of consumers, most of which are short term. Mostly a response to fashion and seasonal variations.
Economic variables
-Economic growth
-Interest rates
-Inflation
-Unemployment
-Exchange rates
Actions of competitors
Their 4p’s and if the impact is short term or long.
Difficulties of sales forecasting:
- volatile consumer taste snd preferences.
- opinions and judgements are subjective