Risk Management & Economic Analysis Flashcards
It is good to borrow in what type of inflationary environment?
highly inflationary
What is SWOT and what are the factors?
Strengths/Weaknesses = Internal Factors, Opportunities/Threats = External Factors
What are Porter’s 5 Forces?
Barriers to Entry
Market Competitiveness
Existence of Substitute Products
Bargaining Power of Customers
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
What are types of Barriers of Entry?
Regulation, capital investments, supplier access, preexisting customer preferences, economies of scale, learning curve, patents
When will new competitors enter a market?
Lower barriers of entry, high profits in the markets, risk of retaliation is low
What makes for Market Competitiveness?
Firms
* can respond to changes,
* have investment in marketing and r&d
* market growth is slower
* have alliance with suppliers
When do substitute products enter a market?
When they are readily available to customers, easy to switch, priced at or below firms prices, more choices for customers
When do customers have bargaining power?
When buyers are price sensitive, have low brand loyalty, a customer has a large volume of the sales, there are lower switching costs, substitutes are vast.
When does a Supplier have bargaining power?
When a firm cannot change suppliers, switching costs are high, supplier reputation is high, their product is superior.
What are the components of ERM from COSO
GOPRO
Governance & Culture
Objective Setting & Strategy
Performance
Review and Revision
Ongoing Information, Communication & Reporting
What is the Governance & Culture broken down into?
DOVES
Desired Culture
Oversight Exercised by Board
Values (Core) and Commitment
Employees are attracted, developed and retained
Structure for Operating is established
Risk responses are generally classified as:
Accept - no action taken to change the severity
Avoid - remove the risk
Reduce - risk mitigation techniques
Share - through outsourcing and insurance
Pursue - accepts it to achieve improved performance
The unsuccessful launch of a new product represents
Value Erosion (faulty strategy and inefficient operations)
What is the COSO definition of ERM?
The culture, capabilities, practices integrated with strategy setting and performance that organizations rely on to manage risk in creating, preserving and realizing value.
Risk appetite has been exceeded when:
the likelihood and impact of negative events significantly exceed residual risk.
What is residual risk?
The risk that remains after management has taken actions to mitigate negative events.
What is inherent risk?
Risk to an organization if management does nothing to alter the likelihood or impact of a negative event.
You didnt do anything you just inherited it.
Risk adverse behavior describes higher or lower return for risk?
Demand of a higher return as risk increases. Expectation of compensation for increased risk.
What are the broad categories of risks?
DUNS:
Diversifiable
Unsystematic (non-Market)
Non-diversifiable
Systematic (Market)
What is portfolio theory concerned with?
Construction of an investment portfolio that balances risk with its rate of return.
What is price risk?
The exposure an investor has to a decline in the value of a portfolio.
How would you calculate the effective interest rate of a loan?
Annual interest/net cash available
What is the calculation of nominal dollars?
Inflation rate to the power of the number of periods * amount of real dollars
How would you calculate the market rate of interest on a one year US Treasury Bill?
Risk free rate + Inflation premium
What risk is the difference between US Treasury and corporate bonds?
Default Risk, they should have a default risk premium when compared.
What would be an effective hedge for the risk associated with interest rate fluctuations?
An interest rate swap agreement. This could be used to convert interest payments from floating rate to fixed rate.
How do you calculate profit on a call option?
Profit on call = exchange rate at settlement - (strike rate + premium on call)
When would you use a call option?
To hedge the impact of payables in foreign currency going up due to exchange rate strengthening vs. dollar.
When would you use a put option?
To hedge the impact of receivables in foreign currency going down due to exchange rate weakening vs. the dollar.
How do you calculate breakeven on a put option?
Breakeven point = Strike rate - cost of the option