Risk Management and Single- Pilot Resource Management Flashcards
Define Risk….
- Probability and Possible Severity
- Accident or loss from exposure to various hazards
- Injury to people and loss of resources
What is Total Risk?
Sum of identified + unidentified
What is Identified Risk?
- Been determined through various analysis techniques
- First task of system safety: Identify, within practical limitations all possible risks
What is Unidentified Risk?
- Not yet identified
- Some unidentified risks are identified when a mishap occurs
- Some risk is never known
What is Unacceptable Risk?
- Cannot be tolerated by managing activity
- Subset of identified risk that MUST be eliminated or controlled
What is Acceptable risk?
- Part of identified risk that is allowed to continue without further engineering or management action.
- Decision is made with full knowledge that the user is exposed to the risk
What is Residual Risk?
- Risk leftover after safety methods are fully employed
- Not the same as an acceptable risk
- Sum of Acceptable + Unidentified
- = Total risk passed on to a user
What is Risk Management?
Risk management is a decision-making process. Identify hazards systemically, assess the degree of risk and determine the best course of action.
What is a Hazard?
- Present condition, event, object, or circumstance
- Could lead or contribute to an unplanned or undesired event
- Source of danger
What is a Risk?
- Future impact of hazard that is not controlled or eliminated
- Possibility of loss or injury
- Measured by;
- Number of people or resources affected (Exposure)
- Extent of possible loss (Severity)
- Likelihood of loss (Probability)
What is Safety?
- Freedom from conditions that cause:
- Death
- Injury
- Occupational illness
- Damage to or loss of equipment or property
- Absolute safety is never possible
- Relative term that implies a level of risk that is both perceived and accepted
The goal of Risk Management?
- Proactively identify safety-related hazards and mitigate the associated risk
What is the ability to make good decisions based on?
- Direct or indirect experience
- Education
What are the 4 fundamental principles of risk management?
- Accept no unnecessary risk
- Make risk decisions at the appropriate level
- Accept risk when benefits outweigh costs
- Integrate risk management into planning at all levels
What is an unnecessary risk?
- Risk that carries no commensurate return in terms of benefits or opportunities
What are the steps in the risk management process?
- Identify hazard
- Assess the risk
- Mitigate the risk
Step 1 of the Risk Management Process is to Identify Hazard
Explain this…
A hazard is defined as any real or potential condition that can cause degradation, injury, illness, death, or damage to property or equipment.
Experience, common sense, and specific analytical tools help identify risks
Step 2 of the Risk Management Process is to Assess the Risk
Explain this…
Each identified risk is assessed in terms of its probability and consequences.
You can use a risk assessment matrix such as an online flight risk awareness tool.
Step 3 of the Risk Management Process is to Mitigate the Risk
Explain this…
Investigate specific strategies and tools to reduce, mitigate or eliminate the risk.
High/ serious risk may be mitigated by lowering likelihood and or severity
Medium/Low risks do not normally require mitigation
Tips for implementing risk management process….
- Apply the steps in sequence
- Each step is a building block and should be completed before starting the next - Maintain a balance in the process
- Allocate time and resources to all steps - Apply the process in a cycle
- Supervise and review - Involve people in the process
- Ensure risk controls are mission supportive
- Ensure people who do the work see them as a positive
What does PAVE stand for?
P- Pilot
A- Aircraft
V- Environment
E- External pressure
P in the PAVE acronym…
Pilot in Command
- Am I ready for this trip?
- Experience
- Currency
- Physical condition
- Emotional condition
IMSAFE Checklist
A in the PAVE acronym…
Aircraft
- Is this the right aircraft for the flight?
- Am I familiar and current with this aircraft?
- Is this aircraft equipped for the flight?
- Instruments?
- Lights?
- Navigation?
- Communication?
- Can this aircraft use the runways available with an adequate margin for safety under current conditions?
- Can this aircraft carry the planned load?
- Can this aircraft operate at the altitude needed for this trip?
- Does this aircraft have sufficient fuel capacity, with reserves for the trip?
- Does the fuel quantity delivered match the fuel quantity ordered?
V in the PAVE acronym…
Environment
- What is the current ceiling and visibility?
- In mountainous terrain consider having higher minimums
- Consider the possibility that the weather may be different to the forecast. have alternate plans and be ready and willing to divert should an unexpected change occur.
- Consider winds at the airport and the strength of the crosswind
- In mountainous terrain consider the strong winds aloft and possible turbulence and downdraughts.
- Are there thunderstorms present/ forecasted?
- If there are clouds; is there any icing forecast?
- What is the dew point temp and the current temperature at altitude?
- Can descent be made safely along the entire route?
- If icing is encountered are you experienced to use de-icing equipment? Is the equipment functional?
- What icing conditions are the aircraft rated?
Airport considerations
- Light available?
- Check NOTAMS’s?
- Engine failures and distance to the closest aerodrome
Airspace considerations
- Remote areas?
- Overwater?
- Any airspace?
Night flying considerations
- Overwater?
- Aircraft lights?
E in PAVE acronym…
External Pressures
- Somone waiting
- Don’t want to disappoint passenger
- Desire to impress someone
- Emotional pressure
Typical SOP’s to manage external pressures?
- Allow time for the unexpected
- Have alternates
- Leave early
- Inform others of delays
- Manage passenger expectations
- Eliminate pressure to return home
What is the IMSAFE checklist?
I- Illness M- Medication S- Stress A- Alcohol F- Fatigue E- Emotion
Risk likelihood ratings
- Probable
- Occasional
- Remote
- Improbable
In regards to likelihood ratings…
What does Probable mean?
An event will occur several times
In regards to likelihood ratings…
What does Occasional mean?
An even twill probably occur sometimes
In regards to likelihood ratings…
What does Remote mean?
An event is unlikely to occur but is possible
In regards to likelihood ratings…
What does Improbable mean?
An event is highly unlikely to occur
The severity of event ratings?
- Catastrophic
- Critical
- Marginal
- Negligible
In regards to severity ratings…
What does Catastrophic mean?
Results in fatalities, total loss
In regards to severity ratings…
What does Critical mean?
Severe injury, major damage
In regards to severity ratings…
What does Marginal mean?
Minor injury, minor damage
In regards to severity ratings…
What does Negligible mean?
Less than a minor injury, less than minor system loss
What are the 3 FRAT score ranges and definitions for each?
RED (HIGH)
- Risk likelihood and severity are normally reduced before departure
- If risks cannot be mitigated flight cancellation occurs
YELLOW (SERIOUS)
- Risk likelihood and severity needs reduction before departure
- Begin by mitigating some higher scoring items
GREEN (MEDIUM)
- Flight can departure or continue
- Risk severity and likelihood may be reduced
What is the 3 P model for pilots?
- Perceive
- Process
- Perform
What is the goal of the first P; Perceive?
- Develop situational awareness
- Look at how present events, objects or circumstances can contribute to an undesired future event
- Pilot identifies and lists hazards associated with every aspect of flying
What is the goal of the second P; Process?
- Process information to determine if hazards constitute a risk
- Measure degree of risk in terms of exposure , severity and probability
What is the goal of the third P; Perform?
- Take action to eliminate the hazard or mitigate risk
- Continue to evaluate outcome of this action