Risk assessments Flashcards
The process of risk assessment includes both a — and —- component
Name them
Prediction and management
The critical function. Of risk assessments is violence —— not violence —–
Prevention
Not prediction
Name how risk assessments are conducted for criminal and civil contexts
Civil context: - civil commitment ( psychiatric hold) - child protective services -Immigration laws -School and labour relations Duty to warn
Criminal setting :
- granting for parole prison and psych facilities
- assessment for potential risk
In risk assessments, predicting future events will result in one of four outcomes what are they?
True positive
True negative
False positive
False negative
A correct prediction that occurs when a person is predicted to engage in some type of behaviour( violent act) does so
Is a definition of what?
True positive
A correct prediction that occurs when a person who is predicted not to engage in some type of behaviour but does not
Is a definition of what?
True negative
An incorrect prediction that occurs when a person is predicted to engage in some type of behaviour but does not
Is a definition of wha?
False positive
An incorrect prediction that occurs when a person is predicted not to engage in some type of behaviour but does
Is a definition of what?
False negative
A false positive error has implications for the individual being assessed
Name one
Whereas a false negative error has implications for society and the potential vicitims
Give some examples
Such as a denial of freedom
Such as another child victimized by a sexual offender
What is an issue with the base rate problem ?
It does not show an accurate rate of criminal activity within a percentage of people.
It is better to limit research to groups with high base rate of violence such a as incarcerated offenders
It is easier to predict frequent events than infrequent events
What cases have been responsible for the implementation of risk assessments?
Baxstrom v. Herald ( detained beyond his sentence expiry )
Dixon v. Attorney general of the commonweatlth of Pennsylvania ( people who were released from psych hospitals committed crime within 4 years of release)
What are the existing methods(3)of doing risk assessment ?
Unstructured clinical judgement
Actuarial prediction
Structures profession judgement
Decisions characterized by a substantial amount of professional discretion and lack of guidelines
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Unstructured clinical judgement
Decisions are based on risk factors that are selected and combined Based on their empirical or statistical association with a specific outcome
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Actuarial prediction
* mechanical prediction**
Decisions are guided by a predetermined list of risk factors that have been selected from the research and professional literature. Judgement of risk level is based on the evaluators professional judgment
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Structure professional judgement
—– is a measurable feature of an individual that predicts the behaviour of interest, such as violence.
Risk factors
Risk factors are divided into two types, what are they?
Static and dynamic
Risk factor that does not fluctuate over time and is not changed by treatment ( eg.. Age at first arrest)
Is a definition of what type of risk factor ?
Static risk factor
*aka historical risk factor
Past behaviour
Age of onset
Childhood history of maltreatment
Risk factors that fluctuate over time and are amenable to change
Is a definition of what type of risk factor?
Dynamic risk factor
Researchers have investigated and found factors that are associated with future violence
What are they?
Historical risk factors ( static risk factor) Dispositional risk factors Clinical risk factors Contextual risk factors Situational risk factors
——-Risk factors that reflects the individuals traits, tendencies, or styles (personality )
Dispositional risk factors
Impulsiveness and psychopathy
——Types and symptoms of mental disorders (substance abuse )
Clinical risk factors
Mental disorders
—–Risk factors that refer to aspects of the current environment ( access to victims or weapons)
Contextual risk factors ( situational risk factors)
Lack of social support
What are two commonly used risk assessment instruments ?
VRAG( violent risk appraisal guide)
HCR-20
The — is an emprically derived 12 item measure designed to assess the Long term risk for violent recidivism in offenders with mental illnesses
VRAG
Violence risk appraisal guide
—— was designed to predict violent behaviour in correctional and forensic psychiatric patients
HCR-20
Past violence
Dynamic risk factors
Risk management
What are some of the differences between men and woman offenders
Woman engage in much less criminal behaviour ( prostitution)
Woman are more likely to have a mental disorder( skiz,bipolar,depression)
What risk assessment tool is mostly used on woman offenders?
LSI-R
Describe the recidivism process
Precipitating situation
Cogivifice & emotional appraisal
Individual influences
Available response mechanism
Criminal Behavior
——- factors that mitigate or reduce the likelihood of a negative outcome(eg. Delinquency, aggression)
Protective factors
What are some examples of protective factors?
Strong social support
Prosocial involvement
Intelligence
Work, school
Prior to the 1900s, risk was seen as —- the individual was either dangerous or not dangerous. Nowadays, risk is regarded as a—– The individual can vary in the degree to which he or she is considered dangerous
Dichotomy
Range
The process of risk assessment includes both a — and —- component
Name them
Prediction and management
The critical function. Of risk assessments is violence —— not violence —–
Prevention
Not prediction
Name how risk assessments are conducted for criminal and civil contexts
Civil context: - civil commitment ( psychiatric hold) - child protective services -Immigration laws -School and labour relations Duty to warn
Criminal setting :
- granting for parole prison and psych facilities
- assessment for potential risk
In risk assessments, predicting future events will result in one of four outcomes what are they?
True positive
True negative
False positive
False negative
A correct prediction that occurs when a person is predicted to engage in some type of behaviour( violent act) does so
Is a definition of what?
True positive
A correct prediction that occurs when a person who is predicted not to engage in some type of behaviour but does not
Is a definition of what?
True negative
An incorrect prediction that occurs when a person is predicted to engage in some type of behaviour but does not
Is a definition of wha?
False positive
An incorrect prediction that occurs when a person is predicted not to engage in some type of behaviour but does
Is a definition of what?
False negative
A false positive error has implications for the individual being assessed
Name one
Whereas a false negative error has implications for society and the potential vicitims
Give some examples
Such as a denial of freedom
Such as another child victimized by a sexual offender
What is an issue with the base rate problem ?
It does not show an accurate rate of criminal activity within a percentage of people.
It is better to limit research to groups with high base rate of violence such a as incarcerated offenders
It is easier to predict frequent events than infrequent events
What cases have been responsible for the implementation of risk assessments?
Baxstrom v. Herald ( detained beyond his sentence expiry )
Dixon v. Attorney general of the commonweatlth of Pennsylvania ( people who were released from psych hospitals committed crime within 4 years of release)
What are the existing methods(3)of doing risk assessment ?
Unstructured clinical judgement
Actuarial prediction
Structures profession judgement
Decisions characterized by a substantial amount of professional discretion and lack of guidelines
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Unstructured clinical judgement
Decisions are based on risk factors that are selected and combined Based on their empirical or statistical association with a specific outcome
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Actuarial prediction
* mechanical prediction**
Prior to the 1900s, risk was seen as —- the individual was either dangerous or not dangerous. Nowadays, risk is regarded as a—– The individual can vary in the degree to which he or she is considered dangerous
Dichotomy
Range
The process of risk assessment includes both a — and —- component
Name them
Prediction and management
The critical function. Of risk assessments is violence —— not violence —–
Prevention
Not prediction
Name how risk assessments are conducted for criminal and civil contexts
Civil context: - civil commitment ( psychiatric hold) - child protective services -Immigration laws -School and labour relations Duty to warn
Criminal setting :
- granting for parole prison and psych facilities
- assessment for potential risk
In risk assessments, predicting future events will result in one of four outcomes what are they?
True positive
True negative
False positive
False negative
A correct prediction that occurs when a person is predicted to engage in some type of behaviour( violent act) does so
Is a definition of what?
True positive
A correct prediction that occurs when a person who is predicted not to engage in some type of behaviour but does not
Is a definition of what?
True negative
An incorrect prediction that occurs when a person is predicted to engage in some type of behaviour but does not
Is a definition of wha?
False positive
An incorrect prediction that occurs when a person is predicted not to engage in some type of behaviour but does
Is a definition of what?
False negative
A false positive error has implications for the individual being assessed
Name one
Whereas a false negative error has implications for society and the potential vicitims
Give some examples
Such as a denial of freedom
Such as another child victimized by a sexual offender
What is an issue with the base rate problem ?
It does not show an accurate rate of criminal activity within a percentage of people.
It is better to limit research to groups with high base rate of violence such a as incarcerated offenders
It is easier to predict frequent events than infrequent events
What cases have been responsible for the implementation of risk assessments?
Baxstrom v. Herald ( detained beyond his sentence expiry )
Dixon v. Attorney general of the commonweatlth of Pennsylvania ( people who were released from psych hospitals committed crime within 4 years of release)
What are the existing methods(3)of doing risk assessment ?
Unstructured clinical judgement
Actuarial prediction
Structures profession judgement
Decisions characterized by a substantial amount of professional discretion and lack of guidelines
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Unstructured clinical judgement
Decisions are based on risk factors that are selected and combined Based on their empirical or statistical association with a specific outcome
Is a definition for what type of risk assessment method?
Actuarial prediction
* mechanical prediction**
Prior to the 1900s, risk was seen as —- the individual was either dangerous or not dangerous. Nowadays, risk is regarded as a—– The individual can vary in the degree to which he or she is considered dangerous
Dichotomy
Range
The process of risk assessment includes both a — and —- component
Name them
Prediction and management
The critical function. Of risk assessments is violence —— not violence —–
Prevention
Not prediction
Name how risk assessments are conducted for criminal and civil contexts
Civil context: - civil commitment ( psychiatric hold) - child protective services -Immigration laws -School and labour relations Duty to warn
Criminal setting :
- granting for parole prison and psych facilities
- assessment for potential risk
In risk assessments, predicting future events will result in one of four outcomes what are they?
True positive
True negative
False positive
False negative