Return Concepts Flashcards
If expected return is > required return, asset is _____ valued
Under
Holding period return
HPR = P1-P0+CF1
—————
P0
Equity risk premium
Equity risk premium = required return on equity index - risk free rate
What are four types of estimates of equity risk premium?
Historical estimates
Forward looking estimates
Macroeconomic model estimates
Survey estimates
Drawbacks and benefits of each equity risk premium calculation
Hist - straightforward, outdated
Fwd - current, requires updates
Macro - current, only developed countries
Survey - easy to get, wide disparity
What are two models used to estimate equity risk premium
Gordon growth model
Ibbotsen-Chen (supply side)
Calc Gordon growth model
P0 = D1
——
r - g
Ibbotsen-Chen
Equity risk premium = ((1+infl)(1+rEg)(1+PEg) - 1 + DivYield) - RF
What are 7 models used to estimate required return on equity
CAPM Multi factor model Fama-French model Pastor-Stambaugh model Macroeconomic multifactor model Build up method Beta estimation
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
Required return = risk free rate + equity risk premium*stock beta
Multi factor model
Required return = RF + risk premium1 + … + risk premium n
Fama - French model
Required return = RF + beta mkt,j* (Rmkt - RF) + beta smb,j* (Rsmall - Rbig) + beta hml,j * (Rhmb - Rlbm)
Market risk premium + small cap risk premium + value risk premium
Pastor-Stambaugh model
Fama- French model + liquidity factor
Build up method and macro variable methods
Build up - like risk premium, without betas
Macro multifactor - factors associated w/Econ vars - affect cf or discount rate
How to estimate beta
Regress returns on publicly traded company stock provide a beta