Residual Income Valuation Flashcards
Residual income breaks firm value into these two components:
- Adjusted current BV of equity
2. PV of expected future RI
What is residual income (or economic profit)
RI = Net income - equity charge
Equity charge = equity capital * cost of equity
Calc Intrinsic value of stock with RI model
V0 = B0 + (RI1/(1+r)^1 + RI2/(1+r)^2 + …)
B0 = current book
Single stage RI model value calc
V0 = B0 + ((ROE - r)*B0)/(r-g)
Strengths of residual income model
- terminal value doesn’t dominate
- uses available accounting data
- applicable to non-dividend paying firms
- focuses on economic profits
Limitations of residual income
- accounting data can be manipulated
- may require adjustment
- assumes clean surplus relationship (ending BV = beginning BV + earnings - dividends)
Residual income is most appropriate for …
Non dividend paying firms
Firms with negative FCF
Firms with high uncertainty about terminal value of equity
Accounting issues w/residual income model
- any direct charge to equity causes relationship to break down
- BS adjustments such as changing inventory from LIFO to current, capitalization of operating leases, pension asset/liability issues, goodwill
How to calc multistage residual income
V0 = B0 + (PV of interim high growth RI) + (PV of continuing residual income)
Persistence factor w is included in RI model with the following assumptions:
RI persists forever; w = 0
RI drops immediately to zero; w = 1
RI declines over long run; 0<1 (to cost of equity or avg level consistent with industry)
If a competitive advantage is more sustainable and industry is stronger, persistence factor will be…
Higher