Regional Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (chap 7) Flashcards
Mexico - Import Substitution Industrialization (ISI)
- Inefficient industries without economics of scale
- Large Government Subsidies
- Budget Deficit
Member in NAFTA?
- Canada
- Mexico
- USA
what association was previous NAFTA?
- CUSTA , canada and USA,
it finish with NAFTA in 1994
what is the diverging size of the member of NAFTA? (GPD)
- canada is 85% of USA GDP
- Mexico is 30% of USA GDP and 36% of Canada
What was Canada mayor trade agreement ?
- The auto pact (1965)
2. The Canadian- US free trade agreement (CUSTA)(1989)
What consequence had the Auto pact (1965)?
-car producers produced some models in Canada and other in the USA , for the entire North American market
- Canadian export grew by 169%(1963-1969)
- productivity in Canadian industry caught up with US
Justification for CUSTA? (Canada)
- the danger to Canada of increasing US protectionism
2. Productivity in canada should increase if they are force to compete with imports
objections against CUSTA?(Canada)
- Canada lacked of economies of scale as the US
- Canada might have to abandon social programs in order to reduce taxes to the US levels
- threat to Canadian cultural industries
- Increase of foreign ownership of Canadian firms
How CUSTA workout for Canada?
- employment and productivity still in debate ( -15% industries most affected), long run +17%
- There were cuts in social programs duo contractionary policies
- Cultural Industries are not part of the treaty
- The General trend in the 80’s was pro- FDI , Taxes reduced with or without NAFTA
what was the motivation for NAFTA? (Canada and Mexico )
Canada was trade
Mexico was to reassure foreign investment
what was the cause of Mexican’debt crisis ?
- The large portfolio borrowed from the international financial market
(after Mexico had been force to IMF stabilization package 1976, 70’s oil price were high, 78 new reserves of oil in Mexico )
When the bonanza of Mexico finish ?
after the IMF stabilization
1982 with the debt crisis
the reasons of the end of mexican’ bonanza ?
after the IMF stabilization
- The rise of world interest rate (US federal reserve contractionary policies agains inflation)
- world oil prices fall (- export , + debt )
what Mexico announce in 1982? and what consequence it had?
- In 1982 announced the suspension of the debt principal (not interest)
- it cause the collapse of international lending ( Latin America , Africa ,eastern Europe)
what happens in The Lost Decade ?(in Mexico)
- Foreign Capital stopped flowing in
- Debt repayment flowed out
- GDP grow was nearly zero
- Real income fell 15% (1982-1986)