Middle East and Africa (chap 11) Flashcards
What is OPEC?
Oil producing countries of the Middle East
OPEC-Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
What conditions the members of OPEC must satisfy?
- Demand must be inelastic
- the members must be able to agree on production quotas
- Mechanism to enforce the agreed upon prices and quotas
When was the first oil crisis ?
1973
what happen in 1973 ?
-October War / Kippur War
- Embargo to oil importer countries that back up Israel
(USA, Portugal, Netherlands)
In the first oil crisis , what action where taken by OPEC members ?
- Cut in production of 20%
- Prices rose by 400% in months, average rate of + 20%
- Little attempt at conservation, demand fell by 6%(Inelastic Demand).
what incentive the Second Oil Crisis( 1979)?
- The islamic revolution in Iran (1979) disrupted oil supply
From the First Oil Crisis to Second, what had change?
- The previous increase in price in 1973 had made it worthwhile for new producers outside of OPEC to enter the market.
- Attermp at conservation
- Central Banks became more concerned about inflation , therefore, tougher monetary policies cause a severe recession.
which crisis generated more revenue ? 1973 or 1979?
1973 was the most successful in transfer of wealth to producing states
wha happens with the non-oil exporting countries?(Middle East)
Economic Decline since 1970
What problems faced the non-oil exporting countries?
- Demographic changes
- Import Substitution policies (industrial)
- Financial instability and market labour instability.
- Political instability
What demographic change happens to the non-oil exporting countries?
A combination of declining infant mortality and rise of life expectancy cause a surge in the population (demographic bulge),
Higher youth unemployment
what policies took the non-oil exporting countries?
Import Substitution policies with regulation, high tariffs and low levels of foreign investment
why the non-oil exporting countries had finance problems?
The oil rich states : finance to non- oil exporters and import labour
all base on the oil world prices
why the non-oil exporting countries were unstable?
-the prevalence of authoritarian regimes and popular resistance increases the possibility of an abrupt political transition.
what indicators of economic and social problem showed the non-oil exporting countries?
- Total factor productivity
- Income Inequality
- Education