Reading 25 - Capital Budgeting Flashcards
What are the 3 components for an Expansion Project?
- Initial investment outlay
- After-tax operating cash flows
- Terminal year after-tax non-operating cash flow (TNOCF)
What figures are included in the Initial Investment Outlay?
It may include the purchase price plus transportation and installation costs, additional costs such as training, and any increase in net working capital.
What is the formula to determine the amount of the **Initial Investment Outlay **for a new investment(project)?
***Critical Concept******
= FCInv + NWCInv
FCInv = includes purchase price, shipping & installation
NWCInv = ∆non-cash current assets - ∆non-debt current liabilities
How do you calculate the After-tax operating cash flow (CF)?
***Critical Concept******
Sales
-Cash Operating Expenses
-Depreciation
=Operating Income before taxes
-Taxes on Operating Income
=Operating Income After Taxes
+Depreciation
=After Tax Operating Cash Flow
How do you calculate the Terminal year after-tax non-operating cash flow (TNOCF) ?
***Critical Concept******
TNOCF= SalT +NWCInv-T(SalT -BT)
SalT = cash proceeds from sale of fixed capital
BT = book value of fixed capital
T = marginal tax rate
The cash flow estimation for Replacement Projects is similar to Expansion Projects, what two additional things that must be done for Replacement Projects?
- You must reduce the initial outlay by the after-tax proceeds of the sale of the existing asset.
- You must use only the change in depreciation that results from replacement.
What are some points to remember when estimating incremental after-tax cash flows?
- Ignore sunk costs
- Ignore any financing costs associated with asset purchase.
- Include any effects on the cash flows for other firm products (externalities)
- Include the opportunity cost of using any existing firm assets for the project
- Shipping and installation costs are included in the initial cost used to calculate the annual depreciation for new assets.
For mutually exclusive projects with unequal lives, you cannot simply use the NPV. What are the two approaches to put projects on an equal basis timewise?
- Replacement chain approach(aka Least Common multiple of lives approach) - Assume the short project can be repeated until ending at the same time as the longer project, then compare NPVs.
- Equivalent Annual Annuity (EAA) Approach - converts the NPV for each project into an equivalent annual payment and you select the project with the greater (+) equivalent annual payment.
What are the steps in using the Equivalent Annual Annuity (EAA) approach ?
- Find each project’s NPV
- Find an annuity (EAA) with a present value equal to the project’s NPV over its individual life at the WACC
- Select the project with the highest EAA.
How is the annuity figure actually calculated using the EAA approach?
****Critical Concept******
Simple, just plug number into the TVM calc
N = # of yrs of the project
I = required return of the project
PV = negative amount of the already calculated NPV
PMT = this is what we are solving for!!!!
FV = 0
What are the 3 techniques for estimating the risk of a capital investment/project ?
- Sensitivity Analysis : involves changing a variable and recalculating the NPV. The project with a greater % change in NPV for a given variable change is the riskier project.
- Scenario Analysis : Calculate the NPV for “base-case” , worst-case and a best-case scenario and assign probabilities to each of those outcomes.Then calculate the standard deviation of the NPV as you would with any probability model.
- Monte Carlo Simulation : Use assumed probability distributions for the key variables in the NPV calculatio, draw random values for these variables and calculate NPV (1,000’s of times), and use the distribution of NPV’s to estimate the expected NPV
What is Capital Rationing?
Is the allocation of a fixed amount of capital among the set of available projects that will maximize shareholder wealth.
**The goal is to maxmize the overall NPV within the capital budget, not necessarily to select the individual projects with the highest NPV.
What is the formula using CAPM to determine the discount rate for a project?
Rproject = Rf + ßproject [E(RM) - RF]
What are Real Options in regards to capital budgeting ?
Similar to financial call and put options in that they give the option holder the right, but not the obligation, to make a decision.
**Real Options are based on real assets rather than financial assets and are contingent on future events
**Real Options offer managers flexibility that can increase the NPV of individual projects.
What are the 5 types of Real Options?
FFEAT
- Fundamental options
- Flexibility options
- Expansion options
- Abandonment options
- Timing options