READING 1 RATES AND RETURNS Flashcards

1
Q

What do interest rates measure?

A

Interest rates measure the time value of money the compensation required for deferring consumption or accepting risk in financial securities.

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2
Q

What determines equilibrium interest rates?

A

The intersection of supply (savers/lenders) and demand (borrowers) in financial markets. It’s the rate where the market clears (required return = market return).

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3
Q

What is the real risk-free rate?

A

A theoretical rate with:

No inflation (purchasing power constant).
No default risk (guaranteed repayment).
Reflects pure time preference (reward for waiting).

*Used in models like CAPM

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4
Q

What’s the difference between real and nominal rates?

A

Nominal Rate: Observed rate (includes inflation premium).
Real Rate: Nominal rate adjusted for inflation (true purchasing power).

(1+Nominal) ≈ (1+Real) × (1+Inflation)

T-bills are nominal risk-free (include inflation).

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5
Q

What risks increase the required rate of return?

A

Default Risk: Borrower fails to pay.
Liquidity Risk: Can’t sell quickly at fair value.
Maturity Risk: Longer-term bonds have more price volatility.

Required Return ≈ Nominal Risk-Free Rate + Risk Premiums

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6
Q

Are T-bill rates real or nominal risk-free rates?

A

Nominal risk-free they include an inflation premium but no default risk.

Why Not Real? Expected inflation is embedded in T-bill yields.

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7
Q

Why do longer-term bonds have higher yields?

A

Maturity risk premium compensates for:

Greater price sensitivity to interest rate changes.
Uncertainty over future inflation/default risk.

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8
Q

What are the components of a security’s required interest rate?

A

Real Risk-Free Rate (RRFR)
+Inflation Premium

+Default Risk Premium
+Liquidity Premium
+Maturity Risk Premium

Nominal Rate ≈ RRFR + Inflation + Risk Premiums

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9
Q

Why does the real risk-free rate reflect “time preference”?

A

It quantifies how much society prefers current consumption over future consumption.

High RRFR = Impatient population (demands high reward to save).
Low RRFR = Patient population (willing to defer consumption).

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10
Q

How does liquidity risk affect corporate bonds vs. T-bills?

A

T-bills: Near-zero liquidity risk (deep market).
Corporate bonds: Higher liquidity risk → higher yield demanded.

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11
Q

Why are long-term bonds more sensitive to rate changes?

A

Duration risk, longer maturities have more cash flows exposed to discount rate changes.

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12
Q

How is the inflation premium determined?

A

By expected future inflation (not past inflation).

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13
Q

What’s the simplified formula for the real rate?

A

Real Rate ≈ Nominal Rate − Inflation

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14
Q

Rank asset classes by risk premiums (low to high):

A
  1. T-bills (nominal risk-free)
  2. T-bonds (+ maturity risk)
  3. Investment-grade bonds (+ default risk)
  4. High-yield bonds (+ higher default risk)
  5. Equities (+ liquidity, business risk)
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15
Q

What is the arithmetic mean return?

a) A weighted average of periodic returns
b) The simple average of periodic returns
c) A return adjusted for outliers

A

b) The simple average of periodic returns

The arithmetic mean is the sum of periodic returns divided by the number of periods. It’s an unbiased estimator of the true mean return.

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16
Q

When is the geometric mean equal to the arithmetic mean?

a) When returns are volatile
b) When all periodic returns are identical
c) When outliers are removed

A

b) When all periodic returns are identical

The geometric mean equals the arithmetic mean only if there’s no variability in returns (all observations are equal).

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17
Q

How does the geometric mean compare to the arithmetic mean for volatile returns?

a) Geometric mean > Arithmetic mean
b) Geometric mean = Arithmetic mean
c) Geometric mean < Arithmetic mean

A

c) Geometric mean < Arithmetic mean

The geometric mean accounts for compounding and is always ≤ arithmetic mean, with the gap widening as volatility increases.

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18
Q

Q: What is the harmonic mean used for?

a) Calculating average portfolio returns
b) Average cost of shares purchased over time
c) Adjusting for inflation in returns

A

b) Average cost of shares purchased over time

The harmonic mean is used for dollar-cost averaging (e.g., fixed monthly mutual fund purchases).

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19
Q

For non-identical values, how do the means rank?

a) Harmonic < Geometric < Arithmetic
b) Geometric < Harmonic < Arithmetic
c) Arithmetic < Geometric < Harmonic

A

a) Harmonic < Geometric < Arithmetic

Harmonic < Geometric < Arithmetic is a mathematical property (e.g., for returns: 2%, 5%, 8%).

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20
Q

Why is the harmonic mean relevant to dollar-cost averaging?

a) It ignores volatility
b) It lowers the average share cost
c) It compounds returns

A

b) It lowers the average share cost

Buying fixed dollar amounts over time reduces average cost per share, which the harmonic mean captures.

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21
Q

Which measure is most affected by outliers?

a) Geometric mean
b) Arithmetic mean
c) Harmonic mean

A

b) Arithmetic mean

The arithmetic mean includes all values, making it sensitive to outliers.

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22
Q

What does a trimmed mean do?

a) Removes a percentage of extreme values
b) Compounds periodic returns
c) Adjusts for inflation

A

a) Removes a percentage of extreme values

A trimmed mean excludes a set percentage of the highest/lowest values to reduce outlier impact.

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23
Q

How does a winsorized mean handle outliers?

a) Replaces them with the nearest non-outlier
b) Excludes them entirely
c) Doubles their weight

A

a) Replaces them with the nearest non-outlier

Winsorizing caps outliers at a certain percentile (e.g., 95th percentile).

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24
Q

When should you use the arithmetic mean?

a) To measure compounded growth
b) To include all data points
c) To calculate average share cost

A

b) To include all data points

se the arithmetic mean when all values (including outliers) are relevant.

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25
When is the geometric mean preferred? a) For single period returns b) For multi-period compounded returns c) For risk-adjusted returns
b) For multi-period compounded returns The geometric mean reflects compounding over time (e.g., annualized returns).
26
Why does volatility reduce the geometric mean? a) Compounding magnifies losses b) Arithmetic mean overestimates growth c) Both A and B
c) Both A and B Volatility drag (compounding asymmetric returns) lowers the geometric mean below the arithmetic mean.
27
For returns of 10%, 20%, and -5%, which mean is largest? a) Arithmetic b) Geometric c) Harmonic
a) Arithmetic No need for calculation since returns are unequal arithmetic will automatically be the largest
28
Which mean is used to annualize multi-period returns? a) Arithmetic b) Geometric c) Harmonic
b) Geometric The geometric mean annualizes returns (e.g., 3-year returns → CAGR).
29
Why can the arithmetic mean mislead investors? a) It ignores compounding b) It’s always lower than the geometric mean c) It excludes outliers
a) It ignores compounding The arithmetic mean overstates growth for volatile returns because it ignores compounding effects.
30
How does dollar-cost averaging use the harmonic mean? a) By buying more shares when prices are low b) By fixing the dollar amount invested c) Both A and B
c) Both A and B Fixed dollar purchases automatically weight cheaper shares more, lowering average cost (harmonic mean < arithmetic mean).
31
Which financial metric is a harmonic mean? a) Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio average b) Portfolio return c) Sharpe ratio
a) Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio average The average P/E ratio of a basket of stocks uses the harmonic mean to avoid skew from high P/E outliers.
32
What is the money-weighted rate of return? a) The geometric average of periodic returns b) The IRR of all cash flows in/out of a portfolio c) The return adjusted for inflation
b) The IRR of all cash flows in/out of a portfolio MWR is the IRR that sets the NPV of all cash flows (deposits, withdrawals, beginning/ending values) to zero.
33
Why is TWR preferred for evaluating portfolio managers? a) It reflects the manager’s skill by ignoring cash flow timing b) It accounts for investor contributions/withdrawals c) It always equals the arithmetic mean return
a) It reflects the manager’s skill by ignoring cash flow timing TWR eliminates the impact of cash flow timing, isolating the manager’s performance.
34
How is IRR used in MWR? a) To calculate the average return over multiple periods b) To find the discount rate where NPV of cash flows = 0 c) To adjust returns for risk
b) To find the discount rate where NPV of cash flows = 0
35
If an investor adds funds before poor performance, how does MWR compare to TWR? a) MWR > TWR b) MWR < TWR c) MWR = TWR
b) MWR < TWR Poor performance after deposits lowers MWR (more money was exposed to losses), while TWR is unaffected.
36
When is MWR the appropriate measure? a) For pension funds with regular contributions b) When the manager controls cash flows c) For comparing mutual funds
b) When the manager controls cash flows MWR is suitable when the investor/manager controls timing of cash flows (e.g., private equity).
37
Why do mutual funds report TWR? a) Investors control cash flows b) Managers control cash flows c) To standardize performance comparisons
c) To standardize performance comparisons TWR allows fair comparison across funds, as it’s unaffected by investor deposits/withdrawals.
38
What makes MWR sensitive to timing? a) It compounds returns b) It weights returns by money invested c) It uses geometric mean
b) It weights returns by money invested MWR depends on how much money was exposed to each return period.
39
Why does TWR remove distortions? a) It uses harmonic mean b) It ignores cash flow timing c) It weights returns by time
b) It ignores cash flow timing TWR evaluates only the portfolio’s performance, not when money was added/withdrawn.
40
If an investor adds money before high returns: a) MWR > TWR b) MWR < TWR c) MWR = TWR
a) MWR > TWR More money benefits from high returns → MWR exceeds TWR.
41
When do TWR and MWR give the same result? a) When returns are volatile b) When no cash flows occur c) When using arithmetic mean
b) When no cash flows occur No cash flows → MWR = TWR (no timing impact).
42
Why might MWR misrepresent manager skill? a) It ignores compounding b) It’s distorted by investor cash flows c) It overweights outliers
b) It’s distorted by investor cash flows MWR reflects investor timing, not just manager decisions.
43
How is TWR calculated with cash flows? a) Split into sub-periods at each cash flow b) Use the IRR of all cash flows c) Take the arithmetic mean
a) Split into sub-periods at each cash flow TWR requires valuing the portfolio at each cash flow date to isolate returns.
44
Why do pension funds use TWR? a) They control contribution timing b) They must isolate manager performance c) MWR is too complex
b) They must isolate manager performance Pension sponsors need to evaluate manager skill separately from sponsor contributions.
45
What’s a quick approximation for TWR? a) Arithmetic mean return b) Geometric mean return c) Harmonic mean return
b) Geometric mean return Geometric mean approximates TWR for compound growth.
46
Which return measure aligns with GIPS standards? a) MWR b) TWR c) Arithmetic mean
b) TWR Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS) mandate TWR for fair comparisons.
47
When dealing with time value of money, what effect does more frequent compounding have on future and present values? a) Increases future value and increases present value b) Decreases future value and increases present value c) Increases future value and decreases present value d) Decreases both future value and present value
c) Increases future value and decreases present value
48
What is the mathematical limit of shortening the compounding period called? a) Instantaneous interest b) Nominal compounding c) Infinite compounding d) Continuous compounding
d) Continuous compounding
49
Which mathematical function is used to convert a holding period return (HPR) into a continuously compounded return? a) Square root b) Natural logarithm (ln) c) Base-10 logarithm (log) d) Exponential function (eⁿ)
c) Base-10 logarithm (log)
50
A key property of continuously compounded returns is that they are: a) Multiplicative over multiple periods b) Additive over multiple periods c) Exponential over multiple periods d) Geometric over multiple periods
b) Additive over multiple periods
51
What does gross return represent? a) Return after fees and costs b) Return before fees for management and administration c) Return after taxes d) Return adjusted for inflation
b) Return before fees for management and administration Gross return measures the total return on an investment before deducting management and administration fees but after necessary trading costs like commissions.
52
Net return is the return: a) Before management fees b) After deducting only taxes c) After deducting management and administration fees d) Before trading commissions
C) After deducting management and administration fees Net return is the return after deducting both trading costs (like commissions) and management and administrative fees.
53
Which costs are deducted in both gross and net returns? a) Management fees b) Commissions and necessary trading costs c) Only tax liabilities d) Only management bonuses
b) Commissions and necessary trading costs Both gross and net returns deduct necessary costs like commissions and trading expenses that are essential to generate returns.
54
Pretax nominal return refers to: a) Return before fees b) Return after paying taxes c) Return before paying taxes d) Return adjusted for inflation
c) Return before paying taxes Pretax nominal return is the return before any taxes are deducted. It reflects the gross earnings from investments.
55
Real return is: a) Nominal return minus taxes b) Nominal return plus inflation c) Nominal return adjusted for inflation d) Nominal return before inflation
c) Nominal return adjusted for inflation Real return adjusts the nominal return by removing the effect of inflation, showing the true increase in purchasing power.
56
If nominal return = 7% and inflation = 2%, the approximate real return is: a) 9% b) 5% c) 4.9% d) 7%
b) 5% Approximate real return = Nominal return − Inflation = 7% − 2% = 5%.
57
The exact real return formula is: a) (1 + Nominal Return) × (1 + Inflation) − 1 b) (1 + Nominal Return) / (1 + Inflation) − 1 c) (Nominal Return + Inflation) / 2 d) Nominal Return − Inflation Rate
b) (1 + Nominal Return) / (1 + Inflation) − 1 Exact real return = [(1 + nominal return) ÷ (1 + inflation)] − 1, accurately adjusting for compounding effects.
58
If inflation is 2% and an investor earns 7%, purchasing power increases approximately: a) 7% b) 5% c) 9% d) 2%
b) 5% 5% is the approximate real return, indicating how much purchasing power has increased.
59
What type of return involves using borrowed funds to magnify gains or losses? a) Net return b) Gross return c) Leveraged return d) Real return
c) Leveraged return Leveraged return arises from using borrowed funds, amplifying both gains and losses relative to the cash invested.
60
Futures contracts typically produce: a) Net returns b) Non-leveraged returns c) Leveraged returns d) Real returns
c) Leveraged returns Futures involve a small margin deposit to control a much larger value, creating leverage.
61
Leveraged investments are common in which asset class? a) Real estate b) Bonds c) Mutual funds d) ETFs
a) Real estate Real estate investors commonly finance a property partially with debt, creating leverage.
62
A fund’s unleveraged return (money amount) is calculated as: a) r × (V0 + VB) b) r × V0 c) (r − rB) × VB d) rB × VB
b) r × V0 Without leverage, the return is simply the rate earned (r) multiplied by the initial value (V0).
63
In the leveraged return formula, rB represents: a) Rate of return on the asset b) Risk-free rate c) Borrowing interest rate d) Benchmark return
c) Borrowing interest rate rB is the interest rate paid on borrowed funds, reducing the gross leveraged return.