Quiz 3 Flashcards
On avg, Americans move…
-Once every 6 years
-in 2022, 820K left Cali and 550K left NY
Out-migration rate?
Out-migrations/total pop X 1000
In-migration rate?
In-migrations/total pop X 1000
Net migration rate?
I - O / total pop X 1000
Gross migration rate?
I + O /total pop X 1000
What’s the most common form of internal migration?
Intramural migration/ residential mobility (move addresses but stay in same area)
Macro approach to regional migration?
Focused on structural factors like employment, cost of living, climate
Micro approach to regional migration?
Focused on individual decision making including perceptions of places, psychological factors, aging
Macro explanations of migration:
-income (seek best wages)
-employment opportunities
-urbanization (more attractive, although US pattern has reversed somewhat)
-education
-amenities
Micro explanations of migration:
-Human Capital model (migration is an investment in self)
-family migration theory (marriage discourages migration, jobs in couples)
What trend have we been seeing the U.S. as far as moving goes?
People are not moving not moving nearly as much (only 9.8% in 2019)
Why is internal migration on the decline?
-pop growth in least mobile groups (elderly, homeowners)
-rise in dual career couples
-rise in divorce rates
-de unionization
-labor market convergence (WFH)
-Great Recession
What’s the gravity model?
Predicts gross migration between places
With moderate carbon emissions, by 2070, niche zones (best habits for humans) will move…
North (and even in extreme scenarios, move further north)
What trends are we seeing with where people move in the U.S. in relation to climate change?
People are moving in large numbers to the South, which is where climate change is going to wreak the most havoc.
Could erase 8% of economic output
In 2022, about how many homes were impacted by a climate disaster?
1/10
What kind of disasters are we going to see and where?
-flooding: mostly in eastern cities, but Seattle and Portland make the list too
-fire: Southwest shrub lands
-drought: west
-heat: south Florida, south Texas, Arizona
Number one killer for climate disaster…
Cold weather
Phoenix AZ, what’s the deal with their dangers?
-one of the fastest growing places in the country
-super risky place because it’s going to keep getting hotter, more days over 95 degrees (possibly over half the year)