question 18: decision tree Flashcards

1
Q

explain why option a might not be the best option

A

It is high risk and has a 20% chance where option b is low risk and has 60% success rate and 40% failure.

Option a has higher initial cost adding more to the risk than option b

Option a has net gain of 3m but 80% chance of failure and option b has net gain of 2.4 m but has 40% chance of failure.

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