Quantitative Flashcards
P(AB)
P(A|B) * P(B)
P(A or B)
P(A) + P(B) - P(AB)
Probability
to
Odds
P(E)
—————
1 - P(E)
Expected Value
E(X)
ΣX*P(X)
Weighted average of the possible outcomes of a random variable, where the weights are the probabilities that the outcomes will occur.
Degrees of Freedom
n - 1
Combination
n!
——————
(n - r)! r!
Permutation
n!
——————
(n - r)!
Percentile
(n + 1)*(y/100)
Money-Weighted
Rate of Return
The internal rate of return (IRR)
The rate of return where NPV = 0
Time-Weighted
Rate of Return
For periods less than one year
Σ(1 + HPRn) - 1
For periods greater than one year (geometric mean)
Σ(1 + HPRn)1/n - 1
The rate at which $1 compounds over time.
HPR
(P1 + D)
———— - 1
P
Harmonic Mean
1
———————
Σ(1/Pn)
Average cost of shares purchased over time.
(Dollar cost averaging)
Population Variance
Σ(x - µ)<span>2</span>
—————
n
Sample Variance
Σ(x - µ)<span>2</span>
—————
(n - 1)
MAD
Σ|x - µ|
—————
n
Z or T
(x - µ)
————
σ
Standard Deviation
σ
SQRT of the Variance (σ2)
SQRTσ2
Standard Error
σ
————
SQRTn
The deviation between the sample mean and the population mean.
Z Score for 90%
1.65
µ (+/-) 1.65σ
Z Score for 95%
1.96
µ (+/-) 1.96σ
Z Score for 99%
2.58
µ (+/-) 2.58σ
Confidence Interval
X(+/-) Zσ
or
X(+/-) Z(Standard Error)
7 Steps in
Hypothesis Testing
- State hypothesis
- Select test statistic
- Specify level of significance
- State decision rule
- Collect sample, calculate sample statistic
- Make a decision based on hypothesis
- Make a decision based on results
Hypothesis Test Statistic
(x - H0)
————————
Standard Error
Coefficient of Variation
CV
S
———
X
Excess risk per unit of return.
(Lower is better)
Sharpe Ratio
E(Rp) - Rrf
——————
σp
Excess return per unit of risk.
(Higher is Better)
Chebyshev’s Inequality
The percentage of observations that lie within k standard deviations of the mean is at least
1 - 1/k2
for all k > 1 regardless of the shape of the distribution.
Roy’s Safety First Criterion
E(Rp) - RL
——————
σp
Probability that the portfolio expected return E(Rp) will be greater than the threshold RL.
(Higher is Better)
APR to EAR
(1 + APR/n)n - 1
EAR to APR
[(1 + EAR)1/n- 1]n
EAR to HPR
(1 + EAR)n/365 - 1
HPR to EAR
(1 + HPR)365/n - 1
HPR to r<span>mm</span>
HPR(360/n)
EAR with
Continuous Compounding
er - 1
or
(rex - 1)
Perpetuity
PMT
P = ———
r