QFIP-139: IAA Risk Book Ch 13 - ALM Flashcards

1
Q

Describe how ALM is different between life insurance companies and P&C companies

A

Life insurers have long duration liabilities that are primarily focused on interest
rate risk

P&C firms have shorter-term liabilities and are more exposed to catastrophes and
mispricing
Ÿ More focused on maintaining liquidity, given the uncertainty of cash outflows

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2
Q

Describe the elements of measuring risk exposure in ALM

A

Use metrics such as duration, convexity, and scenario testing to measure
sensitivity of assets/liabilities to changes in interest rates, equity levels, etc

One can also simulate the risk distribution of the assets and liabilities under
stochastic simulation, and compute risk measures such as VAR and CTE

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3
Q

Describe the elements of managing risk exposure in ALM

A

This involves using traditional ALM metrics, such as duration and convexity, to set
risk limits and rebalance the portfolio when needed

For example, suppose we had a criteria that the percentage difference between
the duration of the assets and liabilities cannot be greater than 2.5%

If this risk limit is ever breached, than we would rebalance the portfolio by
purchasing or selling assets to realign the asset and liability durations

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4
Q

Why do life insurance companies struggle under a prolonged low interest rate
environment?

A

Difficult to earn returns on the asset portfolio that were assumed during pricing of
the life insurance products

A rapid decline in interest rates can hurt insurance companies due to their
convexity exposure
Ÿ Possible for the duration of liabilities to increase by a greater amount than the
duration of the assets

Difficult to immunize traditional guaranteed products with long durations
Ÿ Companies may not want to invest in long-term, low-yield bonds and lock in losses

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5
Q

List a few ways insurance companies can increase the return on their asset portfolio
during a low interest rate environment

A
  1. Investing in bonds with lower credit quality
  2. Increasing allocation to riskier asset classes such as equities, real estate, etc
  3. Increasing yield-to-maturity in an upward sloping term structure
    Ÿ Sell shorter duration assets with lower yields, and buy longer duration assets with
    higher yields
  4. Transfer risk to new policyholders by replacing sales of traditional guaranteed
    products with unit linked products
  5. Hedging (i.e. swaps, floors)
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6
Q

List some basic questions that one should ask before performing ALM

A
  1. What sources of financial risk fall within the scope of ALM?
  2. Which risk exposure matters, and which does not?
  3. On what basis should risk be measured and managed?
  4. What assets and liabilities should be included and which, if any, should be
    excluded?
  5. At what aggregation level should ALM be performed?
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7
Q

Compare and contrast using ALM as a risk mitigation exercise vs. using ALM as part
of a strategic decison making framework

A

Some companies execute ALM as a risk mitigation exercise
Ÿ In this case, the goal is simply to track the risk exposure of the firm’s surplus and
make sure it is within specified risk limits
Ÿ Example: Make sure that asset duration is always within 1% of liability duration

Other firms integrate ALM within a broader ERM and strategic decision making
framework
Ÿ The goal is to achieve a certain financial objective, subject to risk tolerances and
constraints
Ÿ Example: Asset portfolio must return 7% annually, while still being within 2% of the
liability duration

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8
Q

List three different basis companies can use for measuring risk exposure

A
  1. Protect economic surplus by minimizing the volatility of:
    PVpAssetCFsq PVpLiabilityCFsq
  2. Protect market value by minimizing the volatility of: MVpAssetsqMVpLiabilitiesq
  3. Protect accounting results by minimizing the volatility of:
    BVpAssetsq BVpLiabilitiesq
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9
Q

List different ways risk limits for interest rate risk can be expressed

A

The difference between the dollar duration of assets and liabilities must be less
than X% of asset value

The net partial duration sensitivity must be less than Y% of the asset value at all
yield curve points

The worst case scenario must be less than Z% of asset value

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10
Q

List different sources of risk for life insurance companies that are typically within the
scope of an ALM program

A
  1. Interest rate risk
  2. Liquidity risk
  3. Credit risk
  4. Currency risk
  5. Market risk
    Ÿ Associated with losses in market value of non-fixed income (NFI) assets, such a
    equity or real estate
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11
Q

Describe three methods for measuring the interest rate risk of NFI assets backing
liabilities

A
  1. Model real estate and equities as bonds with a fixed equity risk premium when
    calculating their duration
  2. Perform sensitivity analysis for various deterministic interest rate and equity return
    scenarios
  3. Use a stochastic model that generates economic scenarios, and then obtain a
    probability distribution of surplus
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12
Q

Describe what the carveout strategy is

A

A carve-out strategy explicitly separates out the long-term liability cash flows after a
certain number of years (called the carve-out point)

Standard fixed income assets would be used to immunize the short-term liability
cashflows that occur before the carveout period

NFI assets would be used to back the long-term liability cashflows that occur after
the carveout period

This method allows an insurer to explicitly measure and manage the risk exposure
associated with using NFI assets to back the long-term liabilities

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13
Q

What are two different methods for determining the carve-out point for liabilities?

A
  1. Use the latest tenor where liability cash flows can be effectively immunized with
    available fixed income assets
    Ÿ The remaining amount of assets is invested in NFI securities
  2. Determine the amount of exposure to NFI assets first, and then determine the
    carve-out point based on how many years of cash flows the NFI assets can
    support
    Ÿ Example: Allocate 30% of the asset portfolio to NFI assets, which can support
    long-term liability cashflows that occur past 40 years from now
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14
Q

List some best practices of ALM governance

A

Have the board of directors and senior management promote ALM

The ALM committee has experienced individuals with the necessary expertise

Roles and responsibility are clearly defined

Reports are created that clearly communicate the risk profile of the insurance
company and supports decision making

Risk is consolidated at the company level and understood by senior management

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15
Q

Compare and contrast having an ALM framework’s financial objective be based on
economic results vs. accounting results

A

Focusing on economic reality (based on actual cash flows) ensures the
organization can realize higher earnings over the long-term

However, focusing on accounting results can have short-term benefits because
these are the results that currently get reported to shareholders, rating agencies,
etc

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16
Q

Provide some arguments against focusing on economic results for an ALM’s financial
objective

A

Future long-term economic earnings may not be realized due to forced actions
caused by regulatory constraints

Economic results depend on future projections of cashflows that may not be
reliable
Ÿ For example, many economic assumptions are needed to project these long-term
cashflows

Long-term interest rates used to discount long-term liability cash-flows may not be
observable

17
Q

Provide some arguments against focusing on accounting results for an ALM’s financial
objective

A

Short-term focus

It can mask interest rate and other financial risks

Changes to accounting rules may give a very different financial picture and risk
exposure

It can run counter to the capital objectives in a company

18
Q

Why is executing an ALM strategy based on segmentation bad?

A

Segmentation is when we explicitly back a block of liabilities with certain assets

Each line of business receives its own asset portfolio

This is not recommended, because it does not consider offsetting risk across
different lines of businesses, and may end up increasing the company’s overall
risk exposure

Best practice is to aggregate risk exposures and manage at the total company
level