FIS Ch 4: Refinements in Interest Rate Risk Management Flashcards
Define Convexity
Convexity C
1
P
d2P
dr 2
Convexity measures the percentage change in the price of the security due to the
curvature of the price with respect to the interest rate r
Using duration and convexity to approximate change in portfolio value from rate
changes
Using both duration and convexity, we obtain a more accurate approximation of the
impact of changes in interest rates on bond prices
dP D dr P
1
2 C dr 2
P
Convexity of Zero Coupon Bonds
The price of a zero coupon bond is given by:
Pzpr , t; Tq 100 er pTtq
The convexity of the zero-coupon bond is:
Cz
1
Pz
d2Pz
dr 2
1
Pz
rpT tq
2
Pz s
pT tq
2 X
Convexity of a portfolio of securities
The convexity of a portfolio of securities is equal to the weighted average of the
convexities of the individual securities
CW
¸n
i1
wiCi
The weights wi are given by;
wi
Ni Pi
W
Ni = the units of securities 1,..,n in a portfolio
Pi = the price of the ith security
W
°ni
1 NiPi = the value of the portfolio
Ci = the convexity of security i
Positive convexity of a bond
E
dP
P
D Erdr s
1
2 C Erdr 2
s
We can assume Erdr s 0, and Erdr 2s is likely to be positive
It then follows that the expected return of the bond from convexity, E
dP
P
, will be
positive
The positive expected return from the bond price convexity will be
counterbalanced by a lower yield to maturity of the bond
Change in value of hedged portfolio from duration hedging
Suppose we are long a coupon bond with price P, and we duration hedge the position
with k-units of a zero-coupon bond with price Pz . The change in value of the hedged
portfolio is:
dV dP k dPz
dP = change in value of the firm’s coupon bond
dPz = change in value of the zero-coupon bond
Change in value of hedged portfolio from duration-convexity hedging
Use two zero-coupon bonds (with different maturities) to hedge a security with price P
Let P1 and P2 be the prices of these two bonds
Let D1, D2, C1, and C2 be their durations and convexities
Let k1 and k2 be the positions in these two bonds
The value of the hedged portfolio is given by:
V P k1 P1 k2 P2
The change in the hedged portfolio value is:
dV dP k1 dP1 k2 dP2
Number of units of zero-coupon bonds to purchase to apply duration-convexity hedging
k1
P
P1
D C2 C D2
D1 C2 C1 D2
k2
P
P2
D C1 C D1
D2 C1 C2 D1
Describe factor models
A factor model takes into account changes in the slope and curvature of the interest
rate term structure
Let T1,T2,..,Tn be n points on the interest rate curve
Let ri r pt, Ti q denote the corresponding spot rate on the interest rate curve
The factor model assumes that dri is driven by a set of common factors
1,2, …,m
dr1 11d1 12d2 … 1mdm
dr2 21d1 22d2 … 2mdm
…………………………………….
drn n1d1 n2d2 … nmdm
The ij ’s determine the sensitivity of the dri ’s to changes in the factors dj
(j 1, ..,m)
Define factor duration
The factor duration of an asset with price P with respect to factor j is:
Dj
1
P
dP
dj
For example, for the slope factor j 2, D2 measures the percentage impact of a
change in slope of the yield curve on the price P
Factor duration of zero-coupon bond
The sensitivity of a zero coupon bond price to the factor j can be calculated from the
chain-rule:
dPzpt, Ti q
dj
dPzpt, Ti q
dri
dri
dj
dPzpt, Ti q
dri
ij
The factor duration of the zero coupon bond with respect to factor j is:
Dj,z
1
Pzpt, Ti q
dPzpt, Ti q
dj
1
Pzpt, Ti q
pTi tq Pzpt, Ti q ij
pTi tq ij X
Using factor duration to approximate change in the bond price
dP
P D1 d1 D2 d2 D3 d3