public sector finances Flashcards
Government borrowing
public sector borrowing is the amount the gov must borrow each year to finance its spending, equal in size to deficit
National debt:
public sector debt is a measure of the accumulated borrowing owed by the government sector
Cyclical budget deficit
gov borrows as a result of fluctuations in tax rev and spending due to the economic cycle, e.g. recession = tax rev fall + spending on unemployment benefits increase
Automatic stabilisers:
mechanisms used to reduce the impact of changes in the economy on national income, thus reducing fluctuations around the trend rate, which occur automatically
Structural budget deficit
an estimate of how large the fiscal deficit would be if the economy was operating at a normal, sustainable level of employment and activity
Factors affecting the size of national debt:
- Rate of interest
- Rate of economic growth
- Government policy
- aging population
PROS of debts and deficits:
- Temporary deficit can protect economics welfare
- Infrastructure investment will increase LRAS
- Can stimulate AD, a deficit can help economy escape a liquidity trap (savings ratio is high despite low interest rate – mon. Policy is ineffective)
- A deficit can help kick start growth in an economy which pays back debt
Evaluation of pros of debts and deficits:
- LRAS not guaranteed to rise
- High deficits to stimulate an economy may act as a signal that future tax rates will rise, could lead to early savings, cutting C and I.
CONS of debts and deficits: part 1
- Debt interest payments need paying back in the future – higher T or lower G = opportunity cost
- Need to borrow more leads to higher yield rates, which may reduce private setor growth
CONS of debts and deficits: part 2
- More borrowing may reduce a country’s credit rating – diff country can demand higher interest rate for security
- High deficit and debt will reduce investor confidence – less FDI in the UK
- Deficits in a boom period are particularly unsustainable – structural deficit
- Inflation risks
Evaluation of cons of debts and deficits:
Depends on interest rate – low = not costly borrowing.
Policies to reduce fiscal deficits
fiscal deficit:
- fiscal austerity
- demand stimulus by high spending
- supply side reform
- use of automatic stabilisers
Policies to reduce national debts
- Turn fiscal deficit into surplus
- Allow inflation to erode the real value of debt
- Default on debt where a gov stops paying back bond owners and writes off the remaining debt it owes
- Increase growth to reduce debt
fiscal austerity
- tax rises or G cuts designed to reduce a deficit, e.g. benefits freeze under Cameron
- Reduce bureaucracy and X inefficiency as it encourages cost cutting by firms
Supply side reform
increase growth creates a fiscal dividend and reduces debt to GDP ratio