Probability (1) Flashcards

1
Q

Equation for P(AuB)?

A

P(AuB) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AnB)

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2
Q

P(AuB) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AnB)

A

Equation for P(AuB)?

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3
Q

What if A and B are independent variables?

A

A does not affect the likelihood of B

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4
Q

A does not affect the likelihood of B

A

What if A and B are independent variables?

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5
Q

Calculate P(AnB) for independent variables?

A

P(A) * P(B)

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6
Q

P(A) * P(B)

A

Calculate P(AnB) for independent variables?

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7
Q

What if A and B are mutually exclusive?

A

When A cannot happen at the same time as B

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8
Q

When A cannot happen at the same time as B

A

What if A and B are mutually exclusive?

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9
Q

P(AnB) when mutually exclusive?

A

0

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10
Q

0

A

P(AnB) when mutually exclusive?

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11
Q

Four cards from a regular pack of 52 playing card. Find probability that all four cards are aces with replacement?

A

4/52 * 4/52 * 4/52 * 4/52

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12
Q

Four cards from a regular pack of 52 playing card. Find probability that all four cards are aces without replacement?

A

4/52 * 3/51 * 2/50 * 1/49

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13
Q

“Given that”

A

Reduces the total number of students

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14
Q

Reduces the total number of students

A

“Given that”

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15
Q

Formula for P(A|B)

A

P(AnB) / P(B)

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16
Q

P(AnB) / P(B)

A

Formula for P(A|B)

17
Q

Event J and K are independent events, where P(J)=0.7 and P(K)=0.1

Find P(J n K) and P(J u K)

Find P(L | K’)

A

P(J n K) = 0.7 * 0.1 = 0.07
P(J u K) = 0.7 + 0.1 - 0.07 = 0.73

P(L n K’) / P(K’) = 0.27 / 0.9 = 0.3

18
Q

Erwin drivers a delivery van for a company that sells fragile glasses. The probability that a glass is delivered on time is 0.8. The probability that a glass is broken but delivered on time is 0.56

Erwin claims that the probability of a glass being broken is not affected by the time he delivers it. If Erwin is correct, what’s the probability of the glass being broken when it’s delivered

A

Let B = glass broken and T = glass delivered on time

If B and T are independent, then P(B) = P(B|T) = 0.56

19
Q

Erwin drivers a delivery van for a company that sells fragile glasses. The probability that a glass is delivered on time is 0.8. The probability that a glass is broken but delivered on time is 0.56

Erwin is incorrect, the probability that a sculpture is broken when it’s delivered is 0.5. Find the probability that a sculpture was delivered late, give n it wasn’t broken when it was delivered

A

Use a tree diagram. Fill in the probabilities and for T’, use algebra

Since P(B | T’) and I want to find P(T’ | B’). Find x as P(B) = 0.5

Now find P(T’ | B’) and P(T’ n B’)/P(B’)