Prob. and Stats. Flashcards

1
Q

What are the steps to Epi Studies?

A
  1. Define Question
  2. Determine Ideal approach
  3. Discern Sample Sizes
  4. Draft Protocols
  5. Enroll Subjects
  6. Collect Data
  7. Analyze Results
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2
Q

What are the 2 types of errors in studies?

A
  1. Random Error: due to chance

2. Systematic Error: due to Bias

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3
Q

A random error is the result of…

A

fluctuations around a true value bc of sampling or measuring variability

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4
Q

Statistical inference deals with…

A

random error

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5
Q

An error that is inherent to the study method being used and results in a predictable and repeatable error for each observation is…

A

a systemic error due to Bias

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6
Q

What estimates the likelihood that a study result was caused by chance resulting in unpredictable elements?

A

Tests of Statistical Inference

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7
Q

What is something that happens unpredictably w/out discernable human intention or with no observable cause?

A

A chance Occurrence

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8
Q

If you measure something over and over again and get slightly different measurements each time AND a few measurement may be extreme, this is called…

A

random variation

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9
Q

What estimates how much random variation there is in your measurements?

A

Confidence Intervals

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10
Q

T/F - Confidence Intervals can tell you something about the sample size.

A

True

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11
Q

A confidence interval is a range of values where…

A

the true value of our measurement could be found.

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12
Q

What is used to estimate whether the measure was likely to have been caused by CHANCE or not?

A

P-value

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13
Q

Using a P-value, you use a distribution of association values from…

A

a hypothetical pop. where there was no association.

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14
Q

The measured association is considered statistically significant if it is _____% of the values from many samples from the hypothetical distribution.

A

> 95%

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15
Q

If you read this statement in a journal article, how would you interpret it?

“Prevalence of disease was 8%”, 95% CI: 4% - 12%

A

Interpretation:
The estimate of the prevalence from the study was 8% and one is 95% confident the true prevalence lies somewhere btwn 4.0% and 12%.

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16
Q

The smaller the sample, the _______ the Confidence Interval.

A

The smaller the sample, the LARGER the confidence interval.

17
Q

T/F - If 95% CI for the Odds Ratio does NOT include 1, the Odds Ratio is statistically significant.

A

True!

18
Q

T/F - If the 95% CI for the Odds Ratio INCLUDES 1, the Odds Ratio is NOT statistically significant.

A

True!

19
Q

To be statistically significant, the P-value must be…

A
20
Q

A P-value > 0.05 means…

A

the association is NOT statistically significant and could have been used by chance.
NO association!

21
Q

A P-value

A

95% confident that an ass. as large as the one in our study was NOT caused by chance; 95% confident an ass. this large could not have been caused by chance

22
Q

A hypothesis of NO association is a…

A

Null Hypothesis

23
Q

A hypothesis with an ass. btwn exposure and disease is a…

A

Alternative Hypothesis

24
Q

A p-value

A

P-value reject the Null, Accept the Alternative

25
Q

A P-value >0.05 means you do what with the null/alternative hypotheses?

A

P-value >0.05 –> Accept the Null, reject Alternative

26
Q

A type 1 (a) error…

A

false +

reject the null when it is NOT false (no ass. exists)

27
Q

A type 2 (b) error…

A

false -

not rejecting the null when it IS false (an ass. truly exists)

28
Q

Power is…

A

the ability of a study to detect an association, if one does NOT exist
Larger sample sizes –> more power!

29
Q

What indicates the strength and direction of a linear relationship between 2 variables?

A

Correlation Coefficient (r)

30
Q

A strong r:

A

> 0.80

31
Q

A weak r:

A