PP 4 – Political, Legal, and Regulatory Environments Flashcards
Understanding the Political Environment: Risk Management Strategies
Localization
Partnerships
Insurance
Localization:
Adjusting logistics and public relations in direct response to target market needs.
Customizing the product mix.
Altering Product attributes (packaging, warranty, client support etc.) to suit local tastes.
Partnerships:
Effective for a long-term presence.
Can be informal or formal.
Short-term;
select an agent or distributor.
Long term – joint ventures for:
Local production.
‘Country-of-origin’ packaging.
Customer support.
Insurance – to protect against:
Operational losses due to political risks such as war and terrorism.
Non-payment by foreign customers due to financial, economic and political uncertainties.
Forms of Government
Ruled by one (monarchy or dictatorship).
Ruled by ‘the few’ (aristocracy or oligarchy).
Ruled by ‘the many’ (democracy).
Monarchy that runs as a democracy.
Dictatorship Monarchy that presents itself as a democracy.
Oligarchy that presents itself as a democracy.
Political Risk
Executives often fail to understand political risk because they have not studied political science.
The ideal political climate for an international firm is a stable, friendly government. When the perceived political risk is high, a country will have difficulty attracting foreign direct investment.
Based on surveys of international businesses, political instability accounts for about 80% of the known variables when making the decision to expand internationally.
Some examples of political risk include:
–> War.
–> Social unrest, fractionized by language, ethnic and/or religious groups.
–> Changes in government/pro-business orientation.
–> Tolerated corruption and crime.
–> Tax and tariff discrimination.
–> Repatriation restrictions.
Nationalization:
a government takes control of some or all of the businesses within a specific industry; foreign-owned assets are usually the first target.
This action is deemed as ‘Acceptable’ according to international law if it:
–> Satisfies a ‘public purpose’ (a perception).
–> Includes compensation (by what standards?).
Taxes
Government taxation policies: excessively-high taxation leads to black market growth and promotes cross-border shopping and smuggling.
For example:
–> High taxes in Ontario leads to smuggling of cigarettes from the US.
–> Most Canadian provinces have laws that severely limit the amount of alcohol that can be transported across provincial borders.
–> China: many imports are subject to double-digit duties plus a 17 percent value-added tax. As a result, oil, cigarettes, photographic film, personal computers (as examples) are smuggled into China.
Corporate Taxation
High taxes encourage many enterprises to engage in cash or barter transactions that are ‘off the books’ and sheltered from the eyes of tax authorities. This creates a liquidity squeeze that prevents companies from paying wages and local debts.
‘Earnings stripping’ refers to making loans to a foreign subsidiary rather than using direct investment to finance the business. The subsidiary can deduct interest on these loans to reduce its tax burden. It will also make the interest payments to the parent business; this action changes profits into operational expenses (to avoid government profit-transfer rules).
Seizure of Assets - Expropriation:
Expropriation: a government takes ownership of land and/or assets from a foreign company or investor.
Under expropriation terms, compensation is provided. The problem; who defines the asset value?
Example: In 1959, Castro’s Cuban government:
–> Nationalized U.S. sugar companies’ properties.
–> Valued them based on declared tax revenue, not asset value.
–> Paid for them with Cuban government bonds.
Confiscation: no compensation is provided.
Creeping Expropriation (Domestication):
defined as a multi-year change in the government’s policies regarding the rules for conducting business. This action usually ends with a loss of control (or a loss of the entire business).
A government’s most effective tools include:
- Limits on returning profits to the home country.
- Increased government business fees, tougher import rules, local content laws and local hiring quotas.
- Discriminatory laws on technology as a requirement for getting business licenses.
Country Risk Assessment Models - Target: India
Low to Medium Risk - what this means:
The Commercial Country Ceiling (CCC) Risk Rating is measured from low to high, and is meant to represent the best possible rating that can be assigned to a commercial business (obligor) in a country
Strategies for Reducing Political Vulnerability
- Joint Ventures
- Expand the Investment base
- Licensing
- Planned Domestication
- Political Contribution
- Insurance