Portfolio Management Pathway (11.17.24) Flashcards
Overlay
A derivative position(s) used to adjust a pre-existing portfolio closer to its objectives
Completion overlay
A type of overlay that addresses an indexed portfolio that has diverged from its proper exposure
Rebalancing overlay
A type of overlay that addresses a portfolio’s need to sell certain constituent securities and buy others
Currency overlay
A type of overlay that helps hedge the returns of securities held in foreign currency back to the home country’s currency
Program trading
A strategy of buying or selling many stocks simultaneously
Tracking error
Indicates how closely the portfolio behaves like its benchmark and measures a manager’s ability to replicate the benchmark return
square root of variance of excess return
excess return = (return on portfolio - return on benchmark)
Excess return
Tell the investor how the manager performed relative to the benchmark
Sources of tracking error in an indexed equity fund
1) Fees
2) Number of securities held vs. the benchmark
3) Cash drag
Cash drag
Tracking error caused by temporarily uninvested cash
What could make net expenses negative in low cost index portfolio
Securities lending
Risks of securities lending
1) Credit quality of the borrower (credit risk)
2) Value of the posted collateral (market risk)
3) Liquidity risk
4) Operational risk
Special situations investment style
Focuses on the identification and exploitation of mispricings that may arise as a result of corporate events such as divestitures or spinoffs of assets or divisions or mergers with other entities
Portfolio overlay
An array of derivative positions managed separately from the securities portfolio to achieve overall intended portfolio characteristics
Factor-mimicking portfolio (FMP)
Theoretical long/short portfolio that is dollar neutral with a unit exposure to a chosen factor and no exposure to other factors
Fundamental investment process
1) Define the investment universe and the market opportunity (investment thesis)
2) Prescreen the universe to obtain a manageable set of securities for further analysis
3) Study screened set by performing industry, competitive, and financial report analysis
4) Forecast company performance, in terms of cash flows or earnings
5) Covert forecasts to valuations and identify ex ante profitable investments
6) Construct a portfolio of these investments with the desired risk profile
7) Rebalance the portfolio with buy and sell disciplines
Value trap
Stock that appears to be attractively valued (low P/E, etc.) because of a significant price fall but that may still be overpriced given its worsening future prospects
Growth trap
Stock that is overpriced and so above average or in-line earnings/cash flow growth does not cause the price to move higher
Categories of data used in quantitative investing
1) Company mapping
2) Company fundamentals
3) Survey data
4) Unconventional data
Company mapping
Used to track many companies over time and across data vendors (names, tickers, and other identifiers that change across different data vendors)
Survey data
Details of corporate earnings, forecasts and estimates by various market participants, macroeconomic variables, sentiment indicators, and information on funds flow
Unconventional data
Also known as unstructured data
Include satellite images, measures of news sentiment, customer-supplier chain metrics, and corporate events
Pearson IC
Simple correlation coefficient between the factor scores (essentially standardized exposures) for the current period’s and the next period’s stock returns
Spearman rank IC
Pearson correlation coefficient between the ranked factor scores and the ranked forward returns
Implicit vs Explicit trading costs
Explicit is commissions, fees, and taxes
Implicit is bid-ask spread and market impact
Two types of active equity management approaches
1) Fundamental
2) Quantitative
Two approaches to style analysis
1) Returns-based
2) Holdings-based
Holdings based approach
Aggregates the style scores of individual holdings
Returns based approach
Analyzes the investment style of portfolio managers by comparing the returns of the strategy to those of a set of style indexes
4 main building blocks of portfolio construction
1) Factor weightings
2) Alpha skills
3) Position sizing
4) Breadth of expertise
Three factors that describe the sources of manager’s active returns
1) Exposure of rewarded risks
2) Timing of exposures to rewarded and unrewarded risks
3) Position sizing and its implications for idiosyncratic risk
Information coefficient
Correlation between forecast return and actual return
What does information coefficient measure
Effectiveness of investment insight
Breadth
The number of truly independent decisions made each year
Transfer coefficient
The ability to translate portfolio insights into investment decisions without constraint
Expected active portfolio return formula
IC * Sq(BR) * manager’s active risk * TC
Active share
A measure of how similar a portfolio is to its benchmark
A manager who precisely replicates the benchmark will have active share of zero
Active risk
The standard deviation of active returns
Absolute approach objective
maximize sharpe ratio
relative approach objective
maximize information ratio
Risk budgeting
Process by which the total risk appetite of the portfolio is allocated among the various components of portfolio choice
Incremental VAR (IVAR)
Change in portfolio VaR when adding a new position to a portfolio, thereby reducing the position size of current positions
Marginal VAR (MVAR)
Effect of a very small change in the position size; in a diversified portfolio, marginal VaR may be used to determine the contribution of each asset to the overall VaR
3 Rules of thumb for slippage
1) Slippage costs are more important than commission costs
2) Slippage costs are greater for smaller-cap securities than for large-cap securities
3) Slippage costs can vary substantially over time, especially when market volatility is higher
2 Inherent limitations of market neutral strategies
1) Difficult to maintain zero beta, as correlations between exposures are continually shifting
2) Limited upside in a bull market unless they equitized
Benefits of long/short strategies
1) Ability to more fully express short ideas than under a long-only strategy
2) Efficient use of leverage and of the benefits of diversification
3) Greater ability to calibrate/control exposure to factors, sectors, geography, or any undesired exposures
Inherent risk of a short strategy
1) Unlike a long position, a short position will move against the manager if the price of the security increases
2) Require significant leverage
3) Cost of borrowing can be prohibitive, especially if the security is hard to borrow
4) Collateral requirements will increase if a short position is squeezed
Systematic vs. discretionary approach
Systematic strategies incorporate research-based rules across a broad universe of securities, while discretionary strategies integrate the judgement of the manager on a small subset of securities
How much of global financial assets by market value does fixed income make up
75%
Immunization
An asset/liability management approach that structures investments in bonds to match (offset) liabilities’ weighted-average duration; a type of dedication strategy
Expected fixed-income portfolio returns
Coupon income +/- rolldown return +/- expected change in price due to investor’s view of:
1) benchmark yields +/-
2) yield spreads +/-
3) currency value changes
Primary factors that affect yield curve and how much they account for changes in yield curve
1) Level (parallel “shift”) - 82%
2) Slope (flattening or steeping “twist”) - 12%
3) Shape or curvature (“Butterfly movement”) - 4%
Butterfly spread
A measure of yield curve shape or curvature equal to double the intermediate yield-to-maturity less the sum of short- and long-term yields-to-maturity
= - (short-term yield) + (2 * medium-term yield) - long-term yield
Bullet portfolio
a fixed-income investment strategy that focuses on the intermediate term (or “belly”) of the yield curve
Barbell portfolio
A fixed income strategy combining short and long-term bond positions
When is convexity a valuable metric
when interest rate volatility is expected to rise
Two basic ways a manager may actively position a bond portfolio versus a benchmark index to generate excess return from a static yield curve
increase risk by adding either duration or leverage to the portfolio
Futures Basis point value (BPV)
BPV (CTD) / CF (CTD)
CF = conversion factor
CTD = cheapest to deliver
Swap BPV
ModDur (Swap) * Swap Notional/10,000
Bull Steepening
An increase in the yield spread between long and short-term maturities across the yield curve, which is largely driven by a decline in short-term bond yields-to-maturity
Bear Steepeing
An increase in the yield spread between long and short-term maturities across the yield curve, which is largely driven by a rise in long-term bond yields-to-maturity
Bear flattening
A decrease in the yield spread between long and short-term maturities across the yield curve, which is largely driven by a rise in short-term bond yields-to-maturity
Bull flattening
A decrease in the yield spread between long- and short-term maturities across the yield curve, which is largely driven by a decline in long-term bond yields-to-maturity
Butterfly strategy
A common yield curve shape strategy that combines a long or short bullet position with a barbell portfolio in the opposite direction to capitalize on expected yield curve shape changes
Negative butterfly
An increase in the butterfly spread due to lower short and long-term yields-to-maturity and a higher intermediate yield-to-maturity
Positive butterfly
A decrease in the butterfly spread due to higher short and long-term yields-to-maturity and a lower intermediate yield-to-maturity
Effective Duration formula
((PV-) - (PV+)) / (2 * delta curve * PV0)
Effective convexity formula
((PV-) + (PV+) - 2*PV0) / (delta curve^2 * PV0)
Swaption
An instrument that grants a party the right, but not the obligation, to enter into an interest rate swap at a pre-determined strike (fixed swap rate) on a future date in exchange for an upfront premium
Uncovered interest rate parity
The proposition that the expected return on an uncovered (unhedged) foreign currency (risk-free) investment should equal the return on a comparable domestic currency investment
Forward rate bias
An empirically observed divergence from interest rate parity conditions that active investors seek to benefit from by borrowing in a lower-yield currency and investing in a higher-yield currency
What does the yield curve slope measure
Difference between the yield-to-maturity on a long-maturity bond and the yield-to-maturity on a shorter-maturity bond
What are stand-alone interest rate put and call options generally based on
Bond’s price, not yield-to-maturity
What strategy is commonly used to capitalize on expected yield curve shape changes
Butterfly strategy
Credit valuation adjustment (CVA)
The present value of credit risk for a loan, bond, or derivative obligation
Credit loss rate
the realized percentage of par value lost to default for a group of bonds equal to the bonds’ default rate multiplied by the loss severity
Empirical duration
Estimation of the price-yield relationship using historical bond market data in statistical models