Population Growth and Regulation Flashcards
Human Population Growth: A Case Study
Humans have a large impact on the global environment
Our population has grown explosively
Along with our use of energy and resources
Human population reached 7.7 billion in 2019 more than doubled since 1960
Our use of energy and resources has grown even more rapidly
From 1860 to 1991, the human population quadrupled in size
Energy consumption increased 93-fold
For thousands of years, our population grew relatively slowly
reaching 1 billion for the first time in 1825
Now we are adding 1 billion people every 13 years
Growth rate has slowed to about 1.18%/ year (even though the population is still growing)
Ecological Footprint:
Total area of productive ecosystems required to support a population
Data used on agricultural productivity, production goods, resource use, population size, and pollution
Area required to support these activities is then estimated
In 2007:
11.9 billion hectares of productive land available globally
Average ecological footprint: 2.7 hectares
Suggests a carrying capacity of 4.4 billion
Population: 6.7 billion, a 50% overshoot of carrying capacity
Using resources in the same rate as:
U.S. citizens in 2006, carrying capacity would be 1.3 billion people
Indian citizens in 2006, carrying capacity would be 14 billion people
Introduction:
“ No population can increase in size forever”
The limits imposed by a finite planet restrict a feature of all species: A growth capacity for rapid population growth
Ecologists try yo understand the factors that limit or promote population growth
Population Dynamics:
The ways in which populations change in abundance over time
Population Size Changes as a Result of:
1. Birth
2. Death
3. Immigration
4. Emigration
Population Dynamics Formula
LOOK AT LECTURE NOTES
Geometric Growth
If a population reproduces in synchrony at discrete time periods and growth rate doesn’t change
Geometric and exponential growth can lead to rapid increases in population size
Population increase by constant proportion:
The number of individuals added is larger with each time period
Growth Rate (λ): ratio of population size in year t+1 (Nt+1) to population size in year t (Nt )
λ(landa): geometric growth rate or per capita finite rate of increase
Graph:
The blue point is exponential growth
Geometric Growth Formula
LOOK AT LECTURE NOTES
Exponential Growth
When individuals reproduce continuously, generations can overlap.
If a population is growing geometrically or exponentially
a plot of the natural logarithm of population size versus time will result in a straight line
dN/ dt: rate of change in population size at each instant in time
R: exponential population growth rate or per capita intrinsic rate of increase
Exponential Growth Formula
LOOK AT LECTURE NOTES
Exponential Growth pt.2
Much higher growth rates have been observed in many species
Western grey kangaroos (λ = 1.9)
Field voles (λ = 24),
Rice weevils (λ = 10^17)
Some bacteria double in number every 30 minutes, resulting in an annual growth rate of λ = 10^5,274.
In natural populations, favourable conditions result in exponential growth, but it CAN NOT continue indefinitely
There are limits to population growth
Effects of Density
Population size can be determined by density-dependent and density-independent factors
Under ideal conditions, λ > 1 for all populations
But conditions rarely remain ideal
λ fluctuates over time
Density-Dependent Factors
Decrease population size at higher population
1. Birth
2. Death
3. dispersal rates change as the density of the population changes
As density increases, birth rates often decrease, death rates increase, and dispersal (emigration) increases, all of which tend to decrease population size
Population Regulation
Density-dependent factors cause population to increase when density is low and decrease when density is high.
Food, space, or other resources are in short supply and population size decreases
Density-independent factors can have larger effects on population size
Do not regulate population size
Density-dependent mortality has been observed in many populations
Ex. Egg density affects mortality in flour beetles
Ex. Population growth rates decline at high densities for grasses and water fleas
Density-Independent Factors
Effects on birth and death rates are independent of the number of individuals in the population:
Temperature and precipitation, catastrophes such as floords or hurricans
Warming drys up soil and extends growing seasons and leads to less snowfall
Illegal poaching the primary cause of a decline in elephant population growth rate in Africa
Growth rate must remain above 1 to avoid extinction
Logistic Growth
Population increases rapidly, then stabilizes the carrying capacity
Growth rate decreases as population nears carrying capacity
Because resources begin to run short
At carrying capacity: the growth rate is 0… the population does not change