polling Flashcards

1
Q

impact of polling in 1992

A

predicted a labour win so more conservatives voted than expected (TO was 78%)

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2
Q

how did 2015 polling impact turnout

A

predicted a labour and SNP coalition so more cons voted and more labour and SNP voted making the TO 65%

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3
Q

how did polling in 2001 impact TO

A

created a forgone conclusion so only 59% voted

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4
Q

how ere the 2017 polls misleading

A

suggested a 5-22% lead for conservative but resulted in a hung parliament

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5
Q

indyref polling being wrong

A

suggested vote for independance would be 51% at some point

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6
Q

polling in the 1979 election

A

suggested consisitently predicted a con win by 5 - 12%, and they won by a 7% lead

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7
Q

how did the 1992 polls fail

A

didnt account for shy tories in the polls and predicted a labour hung parliament, when major actually won a 20 seat majority

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8
Q

polling in 1997

A

consistently predicted around 20% lead

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9
Q

how was brexit polling wrong

A

consitently predicted that remain would win by a narrow margin

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10
Q

how is refrom currently polling apr 2024

A

9-15%

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11
Q

con polling apr 2024

A

18-28%

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12
Q

lab polling apr 2024

A

39 - 49 %

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