POLI 244 Flashcards
The stability of an international system is determined by the relationship between: (Gilpin’s theory)
- The distribution of material power.
- The distribution of prestige: hierarchy of prestige, equivalent of authority in domestic politics —> less powerful states obey the commands of dominant states. Based on reputation of power.
- The rights and rules that set parameters of behaviour:
—> hegemonic war determines the hierarchy of prestige by reflecting the true redistribution of power and thereby determines which state will govern the international system. Hegemonic wars restore equilibrium when power is mal distributed.
Explain Robert Gilpin’s theory of systemic change (hegemonic war):
- System is state of equilibrium (consolidated hegemony), satisfaction with the current international order.
—> Differential growth of power. - Redistribution of power in the system (declining hegemony).
—> Rise of challenger. - Disequilibrium of the system.
—> Bipolarization. - Resolution of systemic crisis (hegemonic war). - Challenger initiates war to bring a change in the system or the declining hegemony launches a preemptive war. Equilibrium is reset.
—> Peace settlement.
Cycle restarts.
Explain status quo vs. Revisionist states:
Revisionist states: states that are dissatisfied with the current international order and are willing to pay some cost to bring change.
—> more power = less satisfaction = more revisionist. The state gains power, but the perception of power does not change = dissatisfaction = more incentives to bring change in the international order.
Status quo states: states that are generally satisfied - not going to try to use their power to bring change in the system.
Why would the dominant state’s power decline in terms of uneven growth in power?
Exogenous factors: factors that are not explained by Gilpin’s theory itself and that may be taken as a given.
- Technical innovations - increases international trade and the wealth generated by it.
- Political organization.
- Good (regional) leadership.
Endogenous factors: factors that are explained by the theory, by the dynamics elaborated in the theory itself.
1. Uneven environmental pressures in terms of security.
—> security concerns are less pressing for the dominant state due to power advantage.
Explain achieving cooperation under anarchy.
International and domestic characteristics, state interests (preferences over outcomes), and external characteristics determine the strategic setting.
Their behaviour and strategic choices align to produce cooperative outcomes. Based on expectations about other and preferences over strategies.
If there is no cooperation problem, states can gain from cooperation.
If states end up in a mutual defection outcome, it is Pareto inferior to mutual cooperation. They will need to coordinate their actions through strategies cooperation or international institutions.
What are strategies to cooperation under anarchy?
- Altering the payoff structure.
- Lengthening the shadow of the future (iterated games).
- Reducing the number of players.
Explain international stability without cooperation under anarchy:
- Hegemonic systems.
- Balance of power systems.
- states are stuck in a Pareto0suboptimal equilibrium of mutual-defection. Underlying instability.
Explain international stability with cooperation under anarchy.
- Concert systems.
- great powers can achieve cooperation in their security relations through multilateral mechanisms and self-restraint. The Concert of Europe consisted of a series of regular international conferences where concerns and solutions were discussed between leading powers. Happened after the defeat of Napoleon. - Collective-security systems.
Explain the Concert of Europe.
—> Concerts occur after a major war against a potential threat. Fear of the threat against old power, alliance between other powers —> concert. War is too costly.
- The Great Powers govern Europe (Russia, Prussia, Austria-Hungary, UK, France).
- Strategic territorial divisions create spheres of influence without regard for history, nationality, etc.
- Distribution of power reflected bargaining power of each Great power.
What is collective security?
A state’s act of agression against another state is met with a collective (diplomatic/condominium/military) response. Moves away from a self-help system towards a collective security system. The individual response to aggression is replaced with a collective response.
The action should not depend upon who the aggressor is —> immediate response. Goal to enforce a norm of non-aggression.
What are the goals of collective security?
- Deter agression:
- Prevent aggression from happening in the future.
- Payoff matrix is altered —> aggressor thinks twice.
- When collective security works, we don’t see it work. - Neutralize aggression and eliminate its benefits:
- It can minimize/neutralize an act of agression if collective security fails.
- Reenforces the idea that agression does not pay —> benefits are eliminated. - Mitigate the need of military buildup:
- Solution to security dilemma —> no longer a self-help system.
- You don’t need to arm up, reliance on the security of the collective.
- No longer pays to build up individual military, investment in other things —> eases the arms race.
Compare forms of managing security in terms of deployable power to meet aggression and the flexibility to respond or not against an act of aggression:
- Internal balancing.
P: minimum, individual power/military capabilities.
F: maximum, individual decision. - External balancing (alliance)
P: higher than individual, pooling resources from members of alliance.
F: lower than individual response, joint decision. - Concerts.
P: high, great powers have greater resources.
F: compromised, agreement from all great powers. - Collective security.
P: maximum, collective response by the entire international community.
F: minimum, automatic response, non-negotiated.
Why do realists reject collective security systems?
- The system can only work when it is not needed (the aggressor is not a great power threat) —> only works when small states commit an act of agression.
—> False: unless the aggressor is too powerful (hegemony). Selective responses —> the collective consider power capabilities before responding to an act of agression. - A security system geared towards an abstract threat (no identified enemy) limits strategic strategic preparation to effectively deter/face the aggressor.
—> Partially true: there are expectations of the next aggressor + overwhelming force compensante next act of agression. - The animating motive for constructing a collective security system (no more war) reflects abhorrence of war, but the system requires going to war where immediate self-interest might not.
—> False: the goal is no more aggression, not no more war. - Rigidly conservative, as it requires honouring the status quo ante irrespective of its merits.
—> False: presumes war is the only path to change (peaceful path). - It makes the world more unstable, because it discourages the formation of a balance of power to prevent unipolarity.
—> Partially true: assumes that unipolarity is unstable and ignores internal balancing. - It makes the world more unstable, because it exacerbates revisionists.
—> Partially true: assumes exacerbated revisionists cannot be stopped/deterred by the community.
What are the challenges to collective security systems?
- Joint decision-making problems.
- Coordination action is needed.
- Calculation in terms of self-interest: do they contribute? How much? How will their security be affected?
- Self défense and who is the aggressor? - Collective action problems.
- Collective security is a public good —> free riding (non-excludable and non-rivalrous). Collective response is too weak if there is free-riding.
- The hegemony solution: they provide public goods and distribute and can monitor other states. They can punish free-riders because of their overwhelming power.
What is power? How do we measure power?
The ability to influence the behaviour of others to get the outcomes one wants. Making others do something that they would not have done without the influence of a powerful state.
- Power resources: military capabilities, economic power, status.
- Behavioural outcome: the outcome that the particular actor was able to bring about their actions.
- Always getting what you want = very powerful.
- Problem: we cannot measure power until it is put in place.
—> important to create causal links between power and behavioural outcomes, they are not indépendant.
What are the 3 dimensions of power in terms of relational power?
- Command power.
- Power exercise through a command (simple and visible) —> coercion.
- Associated with hard power and resources. - Framing and agenda-setting power.
- Creating a structure/environment that will prioritize some actors over others (less subtle and visible).
- Focuses on power to frame social interactions and to set the agenda in which they take place.
- Depending on the content, can be hard or soft power, or a mix. - Preference formation.
- Altering the preference that others have through influence.
- Soft power, cheaper to enforce.
- Co-option, invisibility.
What are the 4 strategic functions of military force?
- Defense.
- Deterrence.
- Compellence.
- Swaggering.
Explain Defense as a strategic function of military force.
- Purpose:
- Dissuade an adversary from attacking.
- Minimizing damage if attacked and failed to prevent it. - Means: adversary’s victory is made less likely and more costly.
- Employment: Passive (no violence, often military technology) or Active.
—> Active:- Repellent (second) strikes: counterattack to adversary’s attack.
- Offensive (first) strikes: preemptive (attacking first when it is known that the adversary will soon attack) or preventive (unknown when they will attack, but buildngup resources and material power).
Explain Deterrence as a strategic function of military force.
- Purpose: dissuade an adversary from starting an attack.
- Means:
- Credible threat of retaliation with unacceptable damage (nuclear weapons or mass destruction —> worse off attacking).
- Adversary’s victory is made less attractive. - Employment:
- Passive, necessary when dissuasion by defensive forces is weak.
Explain Compellence as a strategic function of military force. How is it different from deterrence?
- Purpose: persuade an adversary to change their behaviour.
- Command of power —> coercion by military resources. - Employment: active.
—> Deterrence keeps things unchanged and preventing a military attack. Compellence uses military force to make a behavioural change for the adversary. Changes the status quo.
Explain Swaggering as a strategic function of military force.
- Purpose: increase prestige, reputation for power, showing others how powerful you are.
- Means: visible displays of military might and/or technology.
- Employment: passive. Hard or soft power.
Hard: what is behind the threat is known.
Soft: success story, other states look up to the state for military strategies.
Explain vertical and horizontal nuclear proliferation. What is the nuclear non-profile ration treaty?
Vertical: increase of nuclear weapons within a state overtime (acquiring more).
Horizontal: more states acquire nuclear weapon overtime.
For states that have nuclear weapons, they have an obligation to not help other states get some. States that don’t have any have the obligation to to acquire them. Regime of nuclear inspectors that check compliance with regulations. States can build nuclear plants if they are used for peaceful purposes.
What is the difference between brute facts and social/institutional facts? What is defined as an action?
Brute facts: exist regardless of shared ideas (e.g. a rock).
- Behaviour is a brute fact.
Social facts: can only exist in virtue of collectively shared knowledge (e.g. 20$ bill). Politics is about social facts.
- Action is a social fact.
Action = behaviour + meaning. Collectively shared meanings distinguish behaviour (brute fact) from action (social fact) —> e.g. eye wink vs. Eye twitch, behaviour is the same, meaning is different. We need to understand the meaning (and collectively shared meaning) to deconstruct behaviour and their meanings attacked.
Explain Regulative vs. Constitutive rules. What about norms?
Regulative: rules that regulate an activity that exists independently of those rules These rules can be broken (e.g. driving of RHS of a road, but driving existed before the rule).
- Norms: norms that regulate interstate interactions.
Constitutive: creates the possibility of a certain activity (e.g. rules of chess create the game of chess).
- Norms: norms that define the main actors and their capacities. Changes in constitutive norms are mostly associated with systemic change.
—> Social/institutional facts can only exist within systems of constitutive rules. The meaning that makes something material or immaterial becomes a social fact, operate as a constructive rule (e.g. belief of a state).