participation crisis?? Flashcards
turnout has fallen
average turnout 1945 to 1997 76%
post 2001 results consistently below 70
by election with low turnout
wellingborough (peter bone’s old constituency) 2024 38 percent
rochdale by election (george galloway!!!!) had 40 percent turnout but 60 percent turnout at last ge
args re compulsory voting?
intent: don’t have compulsory voting
-increases turnout and legitimacy
-however, more importantly uninformed voting
-judgement: the numbers may look better but if the voting is uninformed it isn’t really representative so is meaningless
-hurts the chances of extremist parties
-however, more importantly marginalises the most politically engaged
-judgement: extremist parties don’t have that much impact bc of fptp so this isn’t a big issue
eval the view that referendums do more to help than hinder british democracy
-places too much power in unenlightened hands
-prima facie more representative
-however, undermines representative democracy
eval the view that media has had a substantial influence on elections since 1997
intent: no, it hasn’t
-print media seems to have influence
-but shrinking influence (in numbers and impact)
-tv debates seem to play a role in education
-however, shrinking influence
-social media seems to play a role in education too
-however, small influence (as of now)
-conclusion: anticipate growing influence of impact of social media without regulation
-social media and tv are much more impactful than print, social media esp with research into making it drill ads into our brains
-but right now still can’t be judged to be significant
youth reliance on social media
-79 percent 18-19 relied almost totally on online sources
-59 relied on social media to discover other opinions
social media impactful bc unregulated
-not regulated therefore abuse, cambridge analytica, mined 100k facebook users to taarget political advertising
statistic that young don’t vote now
-young vote don’t vote, most apathetic 25 perentage point gap young to old turnout 2019
-54 percent turnout 18-24
high spend on social media
-con 100k per month 2019
-lab 1.9m facebook 2019
tv debate significant
-tv debates education, clegg nom nom nom ate up the labour votes, like pac man, “I agree with nick”
-sun/yougov poll 51 percent said clegg was the star of the show
-may sent amber rudd to debate for her, and had a bad 2017
tv viewership
LOW!!! -`. tv debates not significant
47 percent
tv regulation
-ofcom regulation means e.g. bbc amount of time for party political broadcast reflects seats in commons time to the minute, tight regulations
-heightened by fptp, seats dont reflect votes
print media significant (reel off examples sami!!!) (numbers)
-‘sun backs blair’, ‘if kinnock wins’, sun has only backed winners since 70s, correlation explain by causation (media motivates voting)
-3.9m sun, 2.4m daily mail -> large readership -however qualify: mail online 4.1m views daily
-political leaders recognise importance, e.g. blair dinner australia, starmer did same
print media readership
2.4m -> 909k daily mail now
3.9m -> 1.4m sun
this shows lower number of people affected by these messages
evidence for reinforcement theory
kinnock’s longest suicide note in history led to headline ‘if kinnock wins today…’
murdoch chanigng positions for blair, ‘sun backs blair’, bc obviously those positions would be popular