Part 4 Flashcards
What are the three external factors leading to capital rationing
- Risk Aversion and Lender Pessimism
- Interest Rate constraints and market dynamics
- Information Asymmetry and default risk
Factor 1: limited knowledge and over optimism
Catt (1965) explains that lenders often view potential borrowers with skepticism due to their limited knowledge of the industry and perceived over-optimism on the part of borrowers.
Factor 1: borrower projections, macroeconomic risks
Lenders also discount borrower projections, factoring in macroeconomic risks that borrowers may overlook
Factor 1: supply curve
This results in a supply curve that does not fully accommodate borrowers’ demand for funds, especially when lenders cannot raise interest rates sufficiently to clear the market without increasing default risk
Factor 1: sticky interest rates
The concept of sticky interest rates, as discussed by Stiglitz and Weiss (1981), emphasizes that increasing rates too much may deter cautious borrowers and lead to adverse selection.
Factor 2: interest rates and sources
According to Wilson Committee (1980) and subsequent studies by Lonie, Power, and Sinclair (1990), raising interest rates to control demand can inadvertently lead to capital rationing.
Factor 2: smaller firms impact
Smaller firms are more affected by these external capital constraints due to their limited access to capital markets and high sensitivity to rate increases.
Factor 2: short term interest rate spikes impact
For example, short-term interest rate hikes intended to curb inflation may impact corporate financing indirectly by reducing customer demand, which in turn affects company revenues and, thus, internal funding availability.
Factor 3: information asymmetry
Information asymmetry—where lenders cannot fully observe the borrower’s intended use of funds or their ability to repay—often results in restricted lending.
Factor 3: unsatisfied fringe
This scenario leads to a persistent “unsatisfied fringe” in the market where demand for capital remains unmet.
Factor 3: default risks
Lenders, concerned about default risks, are reluctant to extend additional credit, causing firms to face rationing despite the presence of positive NPV projects.
what does default risk mean
risk of repayment of investment, risk borrower unable to meet debt obligations
what literature is referred to in risk aversion and lender pessimism
Catt 1965 - lenders view borrowers with skepticism due to limited knowledge and perceived optimism from borrowers
Stiglitz and Weiss 1981 - sticky interest rates
what literature is referred to in interest rate constraints and market dynamics
Wilson committee 1980
Lonie, Power and Sinclair 1991