Part 2 Flashcards
Fundamental Economic Principles
A. Fiscal policy
1. _ and _ set budget
- a. Taxation
- b. _
- The _ is responsible for voting approval of the budget submitted by the _.
B. Monetary policy
1. Federal Reserve Board—three tools
- a. _ requirement (most drastic)
- b. _ rate—set by the Fed
- c. _ operations (most common)
- Other interest rates
- a. Fed funds—most volatile
- b. Prime rate—set by large banks
- Money supply shrinks (tight money)
- a. Interest rates increase
- b. Economic activity decreases
- Money supply grows (easy money)
- a. Interest rates fall
- b. Economic activity increases
Fundamental Economic Principles
A. Fiscal policy
1. President and Congress set budget
- a. Taxation
- b. Spending
- The United States Congress is responsible for voting approval of the budget submitted by the president.
B. Monetary policy
1. Federal Reserve Board—three tools
- a. Reserve requirement (most drastic)
- b. Discount rate—set by the Fed
- c. Open market operations (most common)
- Other interest rates
- a. Fed funds—most volatile
- b. Prime rate—set by large banks
- Money supply shrinks (tight money)
- a. Interest rates increase
- b. Economic activity decreases
- Money supply grows (easy money)
- a. Interest rates fall
- b. Economic activity increases
Fundamental Economic Principles
C. Balance of payments
1. Balance of trade—largest part
2. Value of the dollar
- a. Dollar _
- 1) Exports less competitive
- 2) Imports more competitive
- 3) Trade deficit
- b. Dollar _
- 1) Exports more competitive
- 2) Imports less competitive
- 3) Trade surplus
D. Top down
- Economy
- Industry
- Company
Fundamental Economic Principles
C. Balance of payments
1. Balance of trade—largest part
2. Value of the dollar
- a. Dollar up
- 1) Exports less competitive
- 2) Imports more competitive
- 3) Trade deficit
- b. Dollar down
- 1) Exports more competitive
- 2) Imports less competitive
- 3) Trade surplus
D. Top down
- Economy
- Industry
- Company
Business Cycle
A. Economy
1. GDP
2. _
3. Economic indicators (LO3)
a. Leading
b. _
c. Lagging
4. Business cycle
Recession vs Depression: # of quarters
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced within a country’s borders, by citizens and non-citizens alike. GNP measures the value of goods and services produced by only a country’s _ but both domestically and _.
Business Cycle
A. Economy
1. GDP
2. CPI
3. Economic indicators (LO3)
a. Leading
b. Coincident
c. Lagging
4. Business cycle
Recession vs Depression: # of quarters, 2 vs 6
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced within a country’s borders, by citizens and non-citizens alike. GNP measures the value of goods and services produced by only a country’s citizens but both domestically and abroad.
Business Cycle
a. Sector rotation
1) Follows the _ cycle
2) Sell those sectors that are _
3) Buy those sectors that are _
B. Industry
- Defensive
- Cyclical
- Counter-cyclical
Business Cycle
a. Sector rotation
1) Follows the business cycle
2) Sell those sectors that are peaking
3) Buy those sectors that are expanding
Inflation and Deflation
A. Inflation: Decrease in purchasing power of monetary unit
1. Measured by _ ( _average _ for a basket of goods and services)
B. Deflation: Opposite of inflation
1. Can lead to _ GDP rate
C. Core inflation: CPI minus _
D. _ inflation: Inflation is steady until an economic shock
Economic indicators
- Leading
a. Where the economy is headed—increasing inflation or deflation - Coincident
a. Where we are now—prices stable - Lagging
a. Where we’ve been—explains past inflation or lack of
Inflation and Deflation
A. Inflation: Decrease in purchasing power of monetary unit
1. Measured by Consumer Price Index (CPI) ( weighted average cost for a basket of goods and services)
B. Deflation: Opposite of inflation
1. Can lead to negative GDP rate
C. Core inflation: CPI minus food and energy
D. Inertial inflation: Inflation is steady until an economic shock
Yield Curves
A. Positive (normal) yield curve
- Yields _ as maturities lengthen
- Greater risk, greater return
B. Negative (_) yield curve
- Short-term maturities _ yield than long-term
- Most _ to Fed policy
- Indicates that rates will _ soon
C. Flat yield curve
- Yields are the same for all maturities
- Generally a sign of _
D. Yield spread (credit spread) compare:
- Same maturity—different risk
- Same issuer—different maturity
- Narrow spread versus wide spread
* Spread _ during bad economy and _ during good economy.
- Narrow spread versus wide spread
Yield Curves
A. Positive (normal) yield curve
- Yields increase as maturities lengthen
- Greater risk, greater return
B. Negative (inverted) yield curve
- Short-term maturities higher yield than long-term
- Most sensitive to Fed policy
- Indicates that rates will change soon
C. Flat yield curve
- Yields are the same for all maturities
- Generally a sign of uncertainty
D. Yield spread (credit spread) compare:
- Same maturity—different risk
- Same issuer—different maturity
- Narrow spread versus wide spread
* Spread widens during bad economy and narrows during good economy. During good economy, investors will take more chances and buy more corporate bonds instead of gov. bonds, thus driving down coporate bond yields.
- Narrow spread versus wide spread
Balace Sheet
Current Assets - Can be converted into cash in 12 months
Fixed Assets - property, _, factory. Usually can be depreciated. Unlike current assets, cannot be easily converted into _.
Intangible Assets - rights, trademarks, _
Balace Sheet
Current Assets - Can be converted into cash in 12 months
- Cash and equivalents
- Accounts receivable
- Prepaid expenses
- Inventory
Fixed Assets - property, equipment, factory. Usually can be depreciated. Unlike current assets, cannot be easily converted into cash.
Intangible Assets - rights, trademarks, goodwill
Balance sheet
Current Liabilities
Current liabilities are corporate debt obligations due for payment within the next 12 months. These include the following:
■
■
■
■
■
Long-Term Liabilities
Long-term debts are financial obligations due for payment after _ months. Examples would include bonds and mortgages.
Current Liabilities
Current liabilities are corporate debt obligations due for payment within the next 12 months. These include the following:
■ Current long-term debt- any portion of long-term debt due within 12 months
■ Accounts payable- amounts owed to suppliers of materials and other business costs
■ Accrued wages payable- unpaid wages, salaries, commissions, and interest
■ Accrued taxes- unpaid federal, state, and local taxes
■ Notes payable- the balance due on equipment purchased on credit or cash borrowed
Long-Term Liabilities
Long-term debts are financial obligations due for payment after 12 months. Examples would include bonds and mortgages.
_ equity, also called net worth or _ equity, is the stockholder claims on a company’s assets after all of its creditors have been paid.
Shareholder equity = total _ - total _.
On a balance sheet, shareholder equity = capital _ + capital _ + _
Capital stock includes preferred and common stock, listed at par value. Par value is the dollar value per share assigned when a corporation’s owners (the stockholders) first contributed capital. Par value of common stock is an arbitrary value with no relationship to market price. As you will see in Unit 12, it plays an important role with preferred stock.
Capital in excess of par, often called additional paid-in capital or paid-in surplus, is the amount of money over par value that a company received when issuing its common stock. For example, if the par value was $1 per share and the stock was issued at $ 5 per share, there is a paid-in surplus of $4 per share.
Retained earnings, sometimes called earned surplus or accumulated earnings, are profits that have not been paid out in dividends. Retained earnings represent the total of all earnings held since the corporation was formed less dividends paid to stockholders. Operating losses in any year reduce the retained earnings from prior years.
Shareholder equity, also called net worth or owners’ equity, is the stockholder claims on a company’s assets after all of its creditors have been paid.
Shareholder equity = total assets - total liabilities.
On a balance sheet, shareholder equity = capital stock at par + capital in excess of par + retained earnings.
Capital stock includes preferred and common stock, listed at par value. Par value is the dollar value per share assigned when a corporation’s owners (the stockholders) first contributed capital. Par value of common stock is an arbitrary value with no relationship to market price. As you will see in Unit 12, it plays an important role with preferred stock.
Capital in excess of par, often called additional paid-in capital or paid-in surplus, is the amount of money over par value that a company received when issuing its common stock. For example, if the par value was $1 per share and the stock was issued at $ 5 per share, there is a paid-in surplus of $4 per share.
Retained earnings, sometimes called earned surplus or accumulated earnings, are profits that have not been paid out in dividends. Retained earnings represent the total of all earnings held since the corporation was formed less dividends paid to stockholders. Operating losses in any year reduce the retained earnings from prior years.
Shareholder equity = Net worth = _ stock at par + capital in _ of par + retained _.
Net worth = assets - liabilities = total assets - intangible assets - liabilities.
Capitalization =_ + _
Capital structure = the relative amount of _ and _ that composes a company’s capitalization.
Shareholder equity = Net worth = capital stock at par + capital in excess of par + retained earnings.
Net worth = assets - liabilities = total assets - intangible assets - liabilities.
Capitalization = equity securities + long term debt
Capital structure = the relative amount of debt and equity that composes a company’s capitalization.
Income Statement
B. Income statement reflects period of time
1. _ income = Sales (revenues) minus expenses
- Profit margin = (_ - _) ÷ _
- Profit margin = operating income ÷ _
- Operating income minus _ and _ = _ income
- _ income minus _ on stock = balance carried to retained earnings
Income Statement
B. Income statement reflects period of time
1. Operating income = Sales (revenues) minus expenses
- Profit margin = Net Sales(revenue) - Cost of goods sold(COGS) ÷ Net Sales
- Profit margin = operating income ÷ Net Sales
- Operating income minus interest and taxes = net income
- Net income minus dividends on stock = balance carried to retained earnings
SEC Reporting
A. Form _-K
1. Event driven
- a. Sale of significant asset
- b. Management change
- c. Change of company name
- d. Bankruptcy filing
- e. Resignation of disgruntled board member
- Relocation of a _ would not trigger
- Filed within _ business days of event
B. Form _-K
1. Annual _ financial report
- a. Must use _ accountant
C. Form _-Q
1. Quarterly financial report
D. Annual report
- Sent to _—may use Form _-K
SEC Reporting
A. Form 8-K
1. Event driven
- a. Sale of significant asset
- b. Management change
- c. Change of company name
- d. Bankruptcy filing
- e. Resignation of disgruntled board member
- Relocation of a subsidiary would not trigger
- Filed within four business days of event
B. Form 10-K
1. Annual audited financial report
- a. Must use independent accountant
C. Form 10-Q
1. Quarterly financial report
D. Annual report
- Sent to stockholders—may use Form 10-K
Present value of a future sum:
a. Value today of the future cash flows of an investment
discounted at a specified interest rate
b. Formula is: PV = FV ÷ (1 + r)^n where FV is the value to be
received, r is the investor’s required rate of return (generally
the current market rate), and n is the number of years until the
FV is received
c. Commonly used to determine FMV of a bond
If I will be receiving $50,000 in 5 years and I can get a 10% rate of return, what should thepresent value of that sum be today?
Solution:
PV = FV ÷ (1 + r)^n
$50,000 ÷ (1 + .10)^5 = $50,000 ÷ (1.61051) =
$31,046.07
Rule of 72
- Approximate formula for doubling of investment
- 72 ÷ return percentage = _
- 72 ÷ number of years = _
Example: If you can earn 4%, divide 72 by 4 = 18
years time to double your money
Example: If you have 3 years, divide 72 by 3 = 24%
earnings needed to double your money
Rule of 72
- Approximate formula for doubling of investment
- 72 ÷ return percentage = years to double
- 72 ÷ number of years = percentage return needed to double
Example: If you can earn 4%, divide 72 by 4 = 18
years time to double your money
Example: If you have 3 years, divide 72 by 3 = 24%
earnings needed to double your money
Net present value (NPV)
- Subtract cost of the investment from the present value of the future returns (DCF)
a. _ NPV is desirable
- 1) Cost of bond is $940; if present value is $990
- 2) NPV is +$50—make the investment
- 3) If present value is $900, NPV is –$40 = No!
Internal rate of return (IRR)
1. The discount rate that results in a net present value of _ for a series of future cash flows
- a. In our $25k example above, IRR = 6%
- b. Rate of return needed to get from PV to FV
- Yield to _ of a bond reflects IRR
- Expressed as a percentage, not dollar amounts
Net present value (NPV)
- Subtract cost of the investment from the present value of the future returns (DCF)
a. Positive NPV is desirable
1) Cost of bond is $940; if present value is $990
2) NPV is +$50—make the investment
3) If present value is $900, NPV is –$40 = No!
Internal rate of return (IRR)
1. The discount rate that results in a net present value of zero for a series of future cash flows
- a. In our $25k example above, IRR = 6%
- b. Rate of return needed to get from PV to FV
- Yield to maturity of a bond reflects IRR
- Expressed as a percentage, not dollar amounts
A. Mean
1. Arithmetic mean—simple average
2. Geometric mean—always _ (unless all returns equal)
B. Median
C. Mode - appears the _
D. Range/mid-range
- Add together the highest number and the lowest number and divide by _.
A. Mean
1. Arithmetic mean—simple average
2. Geometric mean—always lower (unless all returns equal)
B. Median
C. Mode - appears the most often
D. Range/mid-range
- Add together the highest number and the lowest number and divide by two.
Beta (β)
1. Measure of stock’s co-movement relative to _
2. Measures systematic risk: risk associated with the market in general, not the total risk that pertains to a specific security
β = 1 … Average risk investment
β > 1 … Above average risk investment
β < 1 … Below average risk investment
Beta (β)
1. Measure of stock’s co-movement relative to benchmark
2. Measures systematic risk: risk associated with the market in general, not the total risk that pertains to a specific security
β = 1 … Average risk investment
β > 1 … Above average risk investment
β < 1 … Below average risk investment