part 2 Flashcards
stages of deep history of climate
- margine life diversifies in extreme heat
- land plants develop and absorb CO2
- polar ice caps form
- volcanoes and erosion cause CO2 level cycling
- mammals eveolve
- recent claciations and rapid warming in Holocence/anthropocene
Gaia hypothesis
idea by lovelock on marguilis that earth’s systems self regulate, non-living and living systems feed into eachother
what is a hothouse
period of global warm temperatures (without ice caps), most severe at poles
basis for gaia hypotheses
earth’s temperature stays within a narrow range for past 3.6 Ga despite increase in solar intensity by 25%
dasiyworld model
model by lovelock and watson that showed how daisies with different albedos regulate the temperature/are regulated by temperature
climatic optimum
5.5-9ka when temepratures were warmer, had the greatest amount of solar luminosity
end of the younger dryas
time after 11.6 ka, end of a cold event
what period are we currently in
neoglacial period (since 5ka), post little ice age, more glacial advances than previous years
how does treeline change with climate
higher treelines indicate warmer climates (higher during holocene optimum compared to now)
climate variability over past 1500 years
2 cool, 2 warm periods: dark ages, medieval warm period, little ice age, modern global warming
mean annual solar insolation at TEA
340w/m^2
variation in irradiation
400 @ equator
190 @ poles
how much have milankovitch cycles affected radiance
up to 25%
solar constant/radiation if earth was a disc
1360w/m^2
what causes runaway warming/cooling
when incoming shortwave radiation does not equal outgoing longwave radiation
what are some factors that decrease absorbed radiation at the surface
backscattering from air, absorption from water vapor/dust/ozone/clouds, reflection by clouds/surface
how does the greenhouse effect work
shortwave passes through co2, but longwave (outgoing) excites it and reflects it back to earth
what do plancks curves show
that when CO2 goes from 300-600ppm there is a difference in absorption of 3.4w/m^2
when does co2 increases have the most effect
lower levels of co2
how to compare greenhouse gases
radiative force: gas characteristics, abundance, indirect effect
water vapor and clounds greenhosue effect
largest greenhouse effect, short cycling times, positive feedback loop with increased temperatures
breakdown of radiative forcing
50% water vapor
25% clouds
20% co2
5% other gasses
natural sources of radiative forcing
cyclical varations in solar activity, volcanic activity (short term cooling effect
why is CO2 such a concern
despite having a low atmospheric composition 0.04%, it has major role in warming, intertial/long cycling –> future warming, high rate of growth
mauna loa CO2 levels
275ppm (ice core), 315 in 1958, 420ppm today
range of co2 levels in past 800ka
180-275ppm (higher in history)
per capita co2 emissions
15 ton per person in canada
what is gis
geographical information system
georefrenced data
it must be possible to relate data points to a location
vector vs raster points
vector: discrete features
raster: continuous phenomena as a regular grid of cells
increase in temperature from 1900
1.5C warmer today, land (2) warmer than oceans (1) because of thermal lag
issues with historic climate records
geographic bias, high extrapolation pre 19000
warming bias from urbanization
90+% of weather stations dont meet citing requirements, leading to artificially warm temperature
urban heat island effect
3C warmer in cities than rural because of concrete and no tree cover
satellite vs weather station climate anomaly
0.13/decade vs 0.16/decade
climate anomaly since pre-industrial times
1-1.5 varied by region
global dimming
sulfate reduce expected climate warming by blocking solar heating
arctic amplification
climate warming is greater at higher latitiudes/altitudes because of positive feedback from seaicemelt and air warming because of ice albedo
- up to 4C higher
sea ice extent
september is when sea ice is lowest, most ice now is annual ice