Part 1: Debt Capital Flashcards
Debt Capacity
The amount of debt a firm is able to borrow
Risk of debt
The problem of balancing the amount and timing of cash inflows and outflows (the risk of being out of cash)
Why does firms borrow to different extents according to Myers (1977?)
- Tax advantage
- Financial distress
- Personal taxation
- Imperfect capital markets
- Incomplete capital markets
- Credit rationing
- Managerial incentives
- Signalling for risk and profitability
(Explains why firms set target debt ratios in terms of book value rather than market value)
(Explains why firms tend to match maturities of assets and debt obligations)
Theoretical propositions of Myers (1977)
- Firms with risky debt will, in some states, pass up valuable investment opportunities
- By issuing risky debt, the market value of the firms should decrease because of the suboptimal strategy
(However, if there is a tax advantage, there is a trade-off between the PV of tax shields and the cost of a suboptimal strategy)
What does Myers (1977) mean with real options?
The equity of a firm is a call option on the underlying value of the firm
Growth opportunities can thus be seen as a call option on a real asset = real options
What are the takeaways from Myers (1977)?
- Firms with valuable growth opportunities would never issue risky debt
(credit rationing can occur even in perfect capital markets) - Debt might change the actions of the firm in some circumstances
(it might lead to situations ex-post in which management can serve shareholders’ interest only by making sub-optimal decisions. Ex-ante this reduces the value of the firm and thus the shareholders’ wealth)
Credit rationing
An offer by the firm to pay a higher interest rate, given that the point they cannot borrow more has been reached, reduces the credit available
What did Myers (1984) discuss?
- Static trade-off theory (target debt-to-value ratio)
- Old pecking order framework (internal vs external; debt vs equity)
- Modified pecking order theory
Static trade-off theory
Assumes that firms identify and set a fixed capital structure, based on the trade-off between the benefits and costs at a given debt level
A negative correlation between leverage and profitability
Cost of adjustments
Taxes and debts
Costs of financial distress
Old pecking order theory
- Firms prefer internal finance to external
- Firms adapt target dividend ratios to investment opportunities
- Sticky dividend policies -> internally generated cash flows first
- In case of external finance needed, debt > hybrid > equity
- No well defined target debt-equity mix
Modified pecking order theory
- Firms tend to AVOID finance real investments by issuing common stock or other risky securities
(because they don’t want to pass by positive NPV projects or issue undervalued stock) - Firms set target dividend ratios so that normal rates of equity investments can be met by internally generated funds
- Firms tend to partly cover investments with debt, but they try to keep it safe
(to avoid financial distress and to maintain financial slack in the form of reserve borrowing power) - Target dividend ratios are sticky and investments fluctuate, thus firms tend to exhaust their ability to issue safe debt
(then turn to risky debt or convertibles, and last to common stock)
The efficient market hypothesis
- An efficient market provides accurate signals for resource allocation
- Security prices should reflect all available information
- Three forms: Weak (historical prices), Semi-strong (public information), and Strong (inside information)
- Equilibrium expected return - risk relationship
- The random walk model: independence of returns over time and identically distributed returns
How do you test for different forms of efficient markets?
- Weak form tests - how well do past returns reflect future returns -> return predictability
- Semi-strong form tests - how quickly do security prices reflect public information announcements? -> event studies
- Strong form tests - do investors have private information that is not fully reflected in market prices
Equity as a call option (Merton 1974)
- Equity can be seen as a call option on the assets with a strike price equal to the value of debt
- If firm value exceeds the strike price, equity holders get whatever is left once the debt is paid
- If firm value does not exceed value of debt, the firm must declare bankruptcy and the equity holders receive nothing
Debt holders as going short on a call option (Merton 1974)
- If firm value exceeds the dept, the call will be exercised, and the debt holders will receive the strike price
- If firm value does not exceed the debt, the call will be worthless and firm will declare bankruptcy -> the debt holders will be entitled to the firm’s assets
- Debt can also be viewed as a portfolio of risk-less debt and a short position in a put option on the firm’s asset with a strike price equal to the required debt payment -> when the assets are worth less than the debt payment, the owner of the option will exercise and receive the difference between the debt payment and the firm’s assets