P1 - Budgeting Flashcards
What is a buget?
A financial and/or quantitative plan of what an organisation intends to achieve for the forthcoming period
What are the 5 main benefits of budgeting?
- Control
- Responsibility
- Integration (co-ordination)
- Motivation
- Evaluation
What are the 3 main ways of forecasting future figures?
- Simple average growth
- Estimates based on judgement
- Time series analysis
What is a time series forecast?
A set of data observed over a period of time that is used to forecast the future
What are the 4 elements of a time series forecast?
- Trend (underlying long term movement in historic data)
- Seasonal Variation (short term periodic fluctuations)
- Cyclic Variation
- Random Variations
When is it better to use the additive model of seasonal variations?
In simple modelling, when there is little underlying growth
TS = T + S
When is it better to use the mutiplicative model of seasonal variations?
In complex modelling, when there has been underlying growth or recession
TS = T x S
What does using linear regression give us?
The ‘line of best fit’ in our historic data
What does the correlation coefficient show?
The strength of the relationship between two variables (how close the line of best fit is to the real data)
What does the coefficient of determination show?
The proportion of the change in the dependent variable that is caused by the change in the independent variable
What is a data outlier?
Data that does not fit with the other results in the population
What are 4 possible internal sources of budget data?
- Accounting systems
- HR records
- Marketing department records
- Production department records
What are 4 possible external sources of budget data?
- Government stats
- Financial press
- Trade publications
- The internet and Big Data
What is Big Data?
It involves capturing and processing data on a vast scale and converting it into useful information
What are the 3 Vs of Big Data?
- Volume
- Velocity
- Variety
What is the aim of data analytics?
To obtain insights from big data, and to discover trends/relationships that can help to address business issues
What 4 impacts might big data have on budgeting?
- Make budgeting estimates more accurate by providing missing data or showing correlations
- Identifying revenue opportunities by improving customer offerings/targeting
- Building a better picture of competitions, which allows better forecasting of their own results
- Identifying ways of reducing costs through efficiencies and removing non-value adding activities
What are the 3 main issues with big data?
- Systems need to be sophisticated to deal with the speed, volume and variety of data
- Fourth V - veracity (is it reliable?)
- Knowing what is actually useful is complex and time consuming
What is the principle budget factor?
The factor which limits what an organisation can achieve
Why is it critical that companies monitor their cash balances?
A lack of cash is the most common cause of business failure
What is a cash budget?
A detailed budget of estimated cash inflows and outflows, incorporating both revenue and capital items
What 4 things might a business do if they identify a potential cash shortage?
- Organise an overdraft
- Offer early payment discounts
- Delay payables
- Raise other finance