Operations Management-decision Making Flashcards
What are squares represented as in decision trees?
Decision points
What is a decision tree
They attempt to quantify the likely outcome of any decision taken using numbers to give a financial return and the probability of this occurrence
What do circles represent in decision trees?
probability outcomes
What are 3 other factors you need to consider?
Time scale of the options
Objectives of the business
Risk attitude of the decision makers
What are 3 advantages of using decision trees?
Can quantify risk (know what % it actually could happen)
Makes us consider other options
Consider if it’s even worth doing
What are 3 disadvantages of using decision trees?
Doesn’t give definitive answers- estimated risks
Doesn’t take into account company’s attitudes towards risk
Time lag
What is critical path analysis?
a tool used to plan activities
breaks down a job into a number of tasks and looks at the dependency of them
In a critical path, what does an arrow represent?
an activity-it requires time and/or resources
In a critical path, what does a circle represent?
a node-represents start/end of an activity
In a critical path, in a node, what does the left hand number represent?
The order of the activities
In a critical path, in a node, what does the top right hand number represent?
Earliest start time
In a critical path, how do you work out earliest start time?
earliest start time of one before+number under arrow
In a critical path, what does the number in the node on the bottom right represent?
latest finishing time
In a critical path, how do you work out latest finishing time?
latest finishing time of following activity-duration of that activity
What is spare time also know as in a cpa?
float